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Steady decline in realized volatility suggests further rise in S&P 500

Sep 10, 2015 10:25 am UTC| Insights & Views

In spite of sharp drop yesterday, steady decline in realized volatility measured by 10 day Average True Range (ATR) suggests there could be further rise in SP 500. Focus now is on FOMC next Thursday. US stocks might...

BOE’s monetary policy preview

Sep 10, 2015 09:44 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Bank of England (BOE) is scheduled to announce its monetary policy at 11:00 GMT, will release minutes of meeting along with. Pound is trading just below key resistance of 1.543 against Dollar, heading into monetary...

Guide to today’s important data and events

Sep 10, 2015 08:54 am UTC| Insights & Views

Lot of economic dockets scheduled for today, some with high risks associated. Data released so far - Australia - Consumer inflation expectations dropped to 3.2% for September from 3.7% in August. Unemployment rate...

FxWirePro: Improvising odds for AUD/JPY PRBS as IV of ATM instruments increase

Sep 10, 2015 08:22 am UTC| Insights & Views

The implied volatility of near month ATM calls are perceived almost close to 16.55% which is quite higher side while using vega spreads we can neutralize IV effects and participate in prevailing short term downswings.One...

FxWirePro: Certain returns on deep OTM puts in AUD/CAD put ladder – use upswings for new positions, bearish trend to resume

Sep 10, 2015 07:26 am UTC| Insights & Views

Technical Roundup:Those whove constructed the below strategy when we advised this last week, the premiums from deep out of the money puts with shorter expiry would have been certain profits. The downtrend that has been...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD’s relentless downswings and higher IV exert a pull on gamma spreads

Sep 10, 2015 07:02 am UTC| Insights & Views

The prevailing implied volatility rates for AUD/USD ATM 1M and 1W contracts is 13.5%, while delta risk reversal for 3M to 6M contracts is exceeding -2 which means donwside sentiments are piling up. Since Aussie balance of...

Currency snapshot (major pairs)

Sep 09, 2015 18:40 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Dollar index trading at 96.13 (-0.09%). Strength meter (today so far) - Euro -0.25%, Franc +0.24%, Yen -0.60%, GBP -0.18% Strength meter (since last week) - Euro +0.31%, Franc -0.39%, Yen -1.47%, GBP +1.33% EUR/USD...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

Donald Trump Allegedly Offers Oil Execs a Deal to Scrap EV Incentives for $1B Donation

Former President Donald Trump reportedly proposed a $1 billion deal to oil executives, offering to end electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in return for campaign funding, according to The Washington Post. This move underscores...

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Is dark matter’s main rival theory dead? There’s bad news from the Cassini spacecraft and other recent tests

One of the biggest mysteries in astrophysics today is that the forces in galaxies do not seem to add up. Galaxies rotate much faster than predicted by applying Newtons law of gravity to their visible matter, despite those...

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

Technology

AI 'Godfather' Warns of Job Displacement, Advocates for Universal Basic Income

Renowned AI godfather Geoffrey Hinton warns of significant job losses due to AI, urging governments to adopt universal basic income as a countermeasure. Hinton Advocates for Universal Basic Income According to...

Shiba Inu: Top Analyst Identifies Coin as 'Potential Gold Mine'; Price Analysis Suggests 35% Upside

Top analyst Davie Satoshi sees Shiba Inu (SHIB) as a potential gold mine; price analysis predicts a 35% upside. Key Pattern in SHIBs Price Chart The Shiba Inu (SHIB) memecoin has caught the eye of many analysts....

Tesla Cybertruck Powers Houston Gas Station, Elon Musk Reacts to Saudi Prince’s Photo

A TikTok video showed a Tesla Cybertruck powering a Houston gas station after a tornado, while Elon Musk responded to a photo of a Saudi prince with a Cybertruck. Cybertrucks Real-World Test Connecting to a Tesla...

Shanghai's Data Policy Shift Could Propel Tesla's Local Data Center Efforts

Shanghais new data-export policy could accelerate Teslas plans to build a local data center, enhancing its artificial intelligence (AI) development for autonomous driving. Chinas Regulatory Update As China attempts...

CPI Report Spurs Optimism, BlackRock CIO Forecasts Fixed Income Growth

The release of the U.S. The Consumer Price Index (CPI) report provided a wave of relief to the financial markets. This signaled a possible reduction in inflationary pressures. Rick Rieder, Chief Investment Officer of...