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FxWirePro: More RORO than Euro-up on perplexed macro plot, OTC FX to substantiate

May 09, 2017 07:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Macrons victory has been greeted by markets with a big yawn, which in hindsight should not be too surprising given that it was anticipated. The euro had rallied last week in expectation of a Macron presidency. Perhaps...

Government spending explained in 10 charts; from Howard to Turnbull

May 09, 2017 03:51 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics Economy

Successive Australian governments are usually judged on how they balance the budget and spend taxpayers dollars. The stereotypes are that Liberal governments keep a tight hold on the purse strings, while Labor governments...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Easing trend in Chinese Trade - Calendar straddles for USD/CNH and relative value delta hedging for EUR/CNH

May 08, 2017 12:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Chinese PMIs indicate easing Trend in Trade: Chinas NBS manufacturing PMI eased in April, declining to 51.2 from 51.8 in March, which was the highest reading since April 2012. Easing was broad-based across the major...

FxWirePro: VXY vols print fresh Fed-cycle lows after French polls

May 08, 2017 12:23 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

VXY printed fresh Fed-cycle lows this past week and is screening 1 vol cheap vis-à-vis macro correlations. The undershoot is not yet at historical extremes but bears close watching in a seasonally volatile...

China’s export growth momentum likely to soften in Q2, outlook to remain stable through 2017

May 08, 2017 12:11 pm UTC| Economy Insights & Views

Chinas exports and imports data surprised negatively in April, suggesting that Chinas export growth momentum is likely to soften in Q2. Data released earlier on Monday that Chinas exports in April rose 8 percent...

FxWirePro: Uphold longs in Swiss franc versus USD via option structures and against EUR in spot

May 08, 2017 10:18 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We do not believe the French election watershed moment for CHF. The uptrend in CHF was doubtless aggravated by political risk, and this is apparent from the accelerated intervention the SNB has needed to undertake this...

FxWirePro: Mid-tenor CNY swap rates likely to agonize amid bearish bond market

May 08, 2017 09:55 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

There has been a total of CNY310bn of reverse repos matured in thee recent past, with no MLF due. The PBoC is likely to provide liquidity when the market needs it but will maintain a neutral-to-mild tightening stance its...

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Economy

Asian Stock Markets Trade Flat as Holiday Liquidity Thins and BOJ Minutes Watched

Asian stock markets traded mostly flat on Wednesday as subdued year-end trading volumes and holiday-thinned liquidity limited investor activity across the region. With Christmas and New Year holidays approaching, many...

US and Japan Fast-Track $550 Billion Strategic Investment Initiative

The United States and Japan have agreed to accelerate coordination on their Strategic Investment Initiative, a major bilateral framework backed by a $550 billion fund established under the two countries tariff agreement....

Japan Plans $189 Billion Bond Issuance as Record Budget Signals Expansionary Fiscal Policy

Japan is preparing to issue new government bonds worth approximately $189 billion to help finance a record-breaking national budget for the next fiscal year, according to a draft budget reviewed by Reuters. The move...

BOJ Minutes Reveal Growing Debate Over Interest Rate Hikes and Inflation Risks

Bank of Japan (BOJ) policymakers actively debated whether to continue raising interest rates toward levels considered neutral for the economy, according to minutes from their October policy meeting released on Wednesday....

Gold Price Breaks $4,500 as Safe-Haven Demand and Rate Cut Bets Fuel Rally

Spot gold surged past the key psychological level of $4,500 per ounce for the first time on Wednesday, marking a historic milestone for the precious metal and reinforcing its status as a preferred safe-haven asset. The...

Politics

Anutin Charnvirakul Named Bhumjaithai PM Candidate Ahead of Thailand’s February Election

Thailands caretaker prime minister Anutin Charnvirakul has been officially selected by the Bhumjaithai Party as its candidate for prime minister in the upcoming general election scheduled for February 8. The decision comes...

EU Condemns U.S. Visa Ban on European Figures, Warns of Firm Response

The European Commission has strongly criticized the United States over its decision to impose a visa ban on five European individuals, including former EU Commissioner Thierry Breton, calling the move unjustified and...

Zelenskiy Urges High-Level Talks With Trump as Ukraine, U.S. Near 20-Point Peace Framework

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy has called for a direct meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump to resolve the most sensitive elements of a potential peace agreement with Russia, particularly issues related to...

U.S. Signs $2.3 Billion Global Health MOUs With Four African Nations

The United States has signed four new global health memorandums of understanding (MOUs) with Madagascar, Sierra Leone, Botswana, and Ethiopia, reinforcing its long-term commitment to strengthening global health security...

U.S. Discusses Migrant Transfer Plan With Palau Despite Lawmaker Opposition

The United States has renewed discussions with Palau over a controversial proposal to transfer third-country nationals to the Pacific Island nation, despite clear resistance from Palaus lawmakers earlier this year....

Science

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Technology

Texas App Store Age Verification Law Blocked by Federal Judge in First Amendment Ruling

A federal judge in Texas has blocked the enforcement of a new state law that would have required app stores and developers to verify users ages, marking a significant legal win for major technology companies and digital...

FTC Praises Instacart for Ending AI Pricing Tests After $60M Settlement

The U.S. Federal Trade Commission has welcomed Instacarts decision to end its artificial intelligence-based price testing, a move that follows weeks of consumer backlash and regulatory scrutiny. FTC Chair Andrew Ferguson...

John Carreyrou Sues Major AI Firms Over Alleged Copyrighted Book Use in AI Training

Investigative journalist John Carreyrou, widely known for exposing fraud at Silicon Valley blood-testing startup Theranos and for authoring the bestselling book Bad Blood, has filed a new copyright infringement lawsuit...

Italy Fines Apple €98.6 Million Over App Store Dominance

Italys competition authority has imposed a 98.6 million ($115.53 million) fine on U.S. technology giant Apple and two of its subsidiaries, citing alleged abuse of a dominant market position related to the distribution of...

Moore Threads Unveils New GPUs, Fuels Optimism Around China’s AI Chip Ambitions

Moore Threads Technology Co Ltd (SS:688795), often described as Chinas potential alternative to NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA), attracted investor attention after unveiling a new lineup of graphics processing units at...