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FxWirePro: Brent futures soar to resume bullish streaks, what causes flip in crude forecasts – Open Arbitrage via box spreads

Oct 11, 2017 11:35 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We raise 4Q17 oil price forecasts by 4.50/bbl on Brent and $1/bbl on WTI to reflect the tighter balances now forecast, to $54.50 and $50.00/bbl, respectively. Similarly, for 2018 we raise Brent to $47/bbl, and WTI to...

FxWirePro: Turkish lira IVs highest among EMFX – Bid USD/TRY one touch knock-ins with striking risk/reward

Oct 11, 2017 10:48 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The push and pull of offsetting factors that had nudged us towards a more balanced view on vol were on full display this week. EM gamma spiked sharply as the shakeout in dollar shorts played out most violently in...

FxWirePro: Escalate diplomatic rigidities and mitigate negative carry to short TRY – RVs to smartly positioned

Oct 11, 2017 09:48 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Escalating diplomatic tensions. Following the diplomatic row between the US and Turkey, we entered a short lira position. To mitigate negative carry, the preferred structure is also short in TRYRUB. Go short TRY on...

FxWirePro: Commodity price outlook propels AUD/USD projections but China still a hindrance

Oct 11, 2017 09:35 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Revising up RBA forecasts and in turn revise and AUDUSD projections on a brighter commodity price outlook and monetary policy stability in 2018. We still expect AUDUSD to decline modestly over the year ahead. However,...

FxWirePro: Hedge AUD/USD risks via Theta short/Vega longs in Reverse Put Spreads to sync with bullish/bearish scenarios and OTC indications

Oct 11, 2017 07:05 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The bearish AUDUSD scenario below 0.75 if: 1) The unemployment rate moves back towards 6%, forcing the RBA to respond more aggressively to weak inflation; 2) The Fed responds to firm labor market outcomes and...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD bears back in action, major trend acts as per FxWirePro’s whims and fancy popping up with shooting star to drift back in range

Oct 11, 2017 06:06 am UTC| Technicals Insights & Views

Shooting star pattern candles have occurred at 0.8051 and again at 0.8033 levels on AUDUSD peaks of rallies (refer daily chart). The same pattern has occurred at 0.7825 levels on monthly terms Consequently, the bears...

Economist who helped behavioral 'nudges' go mainstream wins Nobel

Oct 10, 2017 14:06 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

The 2017 Nobel Prize in economics was awarded to University of Chicagos Richard Thaler for his work in behavioral economics, which is the integration of economics with psychology. While the award was not a total...

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Economy

Wall Street Ends Higher as S&P 500, Nasdaq Extend Gains Ahead of Holiday Week

U.S. stock markets closed higher on Monday, extending recent gains as investors look to finish the year on a strong note despite thinning trading volumes in a holiday-shortened week. The SP 500 rose 0.5% by the closing...

Global Markets Rise as Tech Stocks Lead, Yen Strengthens, and Commodities Hit Record Highs

Global financial markets started a holiday-shortened week on a positive note, with most major stock indexes posting gains as technology stocks rebounded and investor sentiment improved. Wall Street was supported by...

Platinum Price Surges Past $2,000 as Demand and Supply Dynamics Tighten

Platinum prices surged sharply at the start of the week, rallying more than 4.6% on Monday to break above the $2,000 per ounce level for the first time since 2008. The move marks a 17-year high for the precious metal and...

U.S. Dollar Slips as Yen Finds Support on Intervention Signals and Geopolitical Risks Rise

The U.S. dollar edged lower on Monday after posting modest gains last week, as cautious market sentiment and rising geopolitical tensions weighed on risk appetite. Currency markets remained largely subdued in Asia, showing...

Why U.S. Coffee Prices Are Staying High Despite Trump’s Tariff Rollbacks

U.S. coffee drinkers hoping for cheaper coffee after President Donald Trump rolled back key import tariffs are likely to be disappointed. While the tariff reductions removed duties on hundreds of food items, including...

Politics

Trump Administration Recalls Nearly 30 U.S. Ambassadors in Push for “America First” Agenda

The Trump administration has recalled nearly 30 U.S. ambassadors and senior career diplomats from overseas posts, a move officials say aligns embassies more closely with the presidents America First foreign policy, but...

Mexico Antitrust Review of Viva Aerobus–Volaris Deal Signals Growth for Airline Sector

Mexicos antitrust commission is set to review a proposed tie-up between low-cost airlines Viva Aerobus and Volaris, a move that has drawn positive remarks from President Claudia Sheinbaum and sparked interest across the...

Australia Moves Toward Tougher Gun Laws After Bondi Shooting

Australias most populous state, New South Wales, is set to introduce significantly tougher gun laws alongside new measures targeting terrorism and public protests, following a deadly mass shooting in Sydneys Bondi area....

Trump Announces Ambitious Plan for New U.S. Navy Super Battleships

U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Monday an ambitious proposal for the United States Navy to begin building a new class of advanced battleships, a move that could significantly reshape the future of American naval...

China’s Nuclear Expansion Raises Arms Control Concerns as Pentagon Report Warns of Growing Military Ambitions

China is rapidly expanding and modernizing its nuclear weapons arsenal, with a draft Pentagon report warning that Beijing may have loaded more than 100 intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) across three newly...

Science

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Technology

John Carreyrou Sues Major AI Firms Over Alleged Copyrighted Book Use in AI Training

Investigative journalist John Carreyrou, widely known for exposing fraud at Silicon Valley blood-testing startup Theranos and for authoring the bestselling book Bad Blood, has filed a new copyright infringement lawsuit...

Italy Fines Apple €98.6 Million Over App Store Dominance

Italys competition authority has imposed a 98.6 million ($115.53 million) fine on U.S. technology giant Apple and two of its subsidiaries, citing alleged abuse of a dominant market position related to the distribution of...

Moore Threads Unveils New GPUs, Fuels Optimism Around China’s AI Chip Ambitions

Moore Threads Technology Co Ltd (SS:688795), often described as Chinas potential alternative to NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA), attracted investor attention after unveiling a new lineup of graphics processing units at...

U.S. Lawmakers Urge Pentagon to Blacklist More Chinese Tech Firms Over Military Ties

A group of nine Republican U.S. lawmakers has formally urged the Pentagon to expand its list of Chinese companies accused of supporting Chinas military, intensifying scrutiny of Beijing-linked technology firms amid rising...

Dina Powell McCormick Resigns From Meta Board After Eight Months, May Take Advisory Role

Dina Powell McCormick has resigned from Meta Platforms board of directors effective immediately, just eight months after joining the social media company, Meta confirmed on Friday. The unexpected departure comes at a time...