When cows attack: how dangerous are cattle and how can you stay safe around them?
Jun 19, 2017 15:13 pm UTC| Insights & Views Life
A well-respected retired academic was recently trampled to death by cattle while walking in Oxford. In 2012, my father was hospitalised after being attacked by cows while walking his dogs through a field next to his...
FxWirePro: Driving forces of LATAM FX basket and derivatives trades roundup
Jun 19, 2017 12:29 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
In Brazil, reform optimism has not waned and there is increasing risk that Temer may not complete his term. USDBRL should move higher as reform optimism wanes. Economic activity should recover and the rate easing cycle is...
Jun 19, 2017 12:23 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
Hawkish DM monetary policy surprises this week may spur 1-2 weeks of decent realized volatility but are unlikely to be durable enough to upend placid option pricing through the summer. Option implied USD-correlations...
Fed's tightening plans could be in jeopardy if weakness in inflation and retail sales continues
Jun 19, 2017 11:58 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks
Despite the unexpected dip in US consumer Price Index and drop in retails sales in May, the Federal Reserve went on to raise US benchmark interest rate for the second time in three months and also forecasted one more rise...
FxWirePro: Deploy 3m forwards on lucrative RUB correction structure
Jun 19, 2017 11:35 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
Beware of RUB correction: Are you concerned that RUB positioning is too heavy, stagnant price action is a warning sign, fundamentals could turn, and a significant correction could happen? We are. In the recent past, weve...
Jun 19, 2017 10:09 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
Option Trade Strategy: Buy 3m USDRUB call strike 59, Sell call strike 62 knock-in 65 Indicative offer: 1.23% (vs 1.06% for the vanilla call spread, spot ref: 56.50) The position entails buying a USDRUB 3m call strike 59...
FxWirePro: A glimpse through EMFX trading atmosphere and trading perspectives
Jun 19, 2017 08:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views
Increased buy-in to the carry thesis. The vast majority of US investors is bullish emerging market assets; with most participating in EM carry plays. Of note, previous holdouts who were uber-bearish EM and who have...
Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility
Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget
Why Germany ditched nuclear before coal – and why it won’t go back
Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board
Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight