UK labor market data to hint at need for tighter monetary policy
Apr 13, 2015 06:58 am UTC| Commentary
Arguably, the UK monetary policy debate will hinge more critically on developments in the labor market. The latest set of data are forecast to provide further evidence that the UK labour market continues totighten.Lloyds...
UK inflation approaching a trough
Apr 13, 2015 06:57 am UTC| Commentary
Last month saw the UK headline inflation rate fall to a record low of 0.0%y/y, largely driven by falls in petrol and food prices. The peak impact of the cuts to energy tariffs announced so far is set to feed through into...
US headline inflation to remain close to zero
Apr 13, 2015 06:53 am UTC| Commentary
Alongside a plethora of Fed speakers, markets will have plenty of other US releases to chew on this week. The data flow includes February industrial production (Weds), business inventories (Tues), housing data (Thurs) and...
Retail sales report a litmus test of US consumers’ health
Apr 13, 2015 06:51 am UTC| Commentary
The March FOMC minutes showed a diverse set of views within the Committee regarding the policy outlook, with some members still favouring a June interest rate hike. However, the meeting took place before the weak March...
Apr 13, 2015 05:49 am UTC| Commentary
Since March the euro has stopped declining. This is not a source of concern yet, given the Feds expectations of delaying its rate hikes.In a joint paper with rates strategists Societe Generale says that: 1) ECB QE could be...
Apr 13, 2015 05:46 am UTC| Commentary
Regarding Greece, the ECB will stick to its stance presented in March. Greece will need to continue to resort to ELA financing of its banks (65.6bn in February, expected to increase to 73bn mid-April), until further...
Talks of early ECB tapering seem premature
Apr 13, 2015 05:43 am UTC| Commentary
It took several months for President Draghi to convince the Governing Council to implement QE. The cost of entry into this unchartered territory has clearly been big. The cost of QE exit is probably high too.As the Feds...