China’s growth is set to slow further
Dec 07, 2015 21:57 pm UTC| Commentary
In emerging markets the premium of GDP growth relative to the developed countries should narrow further in 2016. This is primarily due to China, which accounts for 38% of emerging market GDP, where corporate debt has risen...
US November employment report provides further evidence for a December Fed funds rate hike
Dec 07, 2015 21:41 pm UTC| Commentary
US nonfarm payrolls increased by 211k in November, surpassing consensus expectations for a rise of 200k. Adding to the positive tone of the report, the respective figures of September and October were revised higher by 35k...
How will the US corporate bond market handle Fed tightening?
Dec 07, 2015 18:42 pm UTC| Commentary
It is tempting to think that the onset of tighter Fed policy will heap more misery on the US corporate bond market. But economists doubt that this will be the case, given the economic context in which it should be...
Russia’s economy preparing for takeoff
Dec 07, 2015 18:33 pm UTC| Commentary
The Russian economy continues to decline on an annual basis, falling 3.7% y/y in October and over January-October 2015, versus -4.1% y/y in Q3 15, as a continued weak oil price, the lagging effects of aggressive monetary...
Fed’s LMCI drifts higher in November
Dec 07, 2015 17:11 pm UTC| Commentary
The Federal Reserves Labor Market Conditions Index (LMCI) rose 0.5 points in November, the seventh consecutive monthly increase but a more modest pace of improvement than in recent months. The October LMCI increase was...
The US labour market is key to understanding why the Fed wants to hike
Dec 07, 2015 17:00 pm UTC| Commentary
The labour market is key to understanding why the Fed wants to hike As PCE core inflation is still subdued and below the FOMCs 2% target (1.3% y/y in October), the labour market is key to understanding why economists...
South Africa's is on the brink of "junk”-status
Dec 07, 2015 16:47 pm UTC| Commentary
Fitch cut its sovereign rating by one notch to BBB- with a stable outlook on Friday evening. Both Fitch and Standard Poors are now rating the sovereign just one notch above "junk"-status. A weak growth outlook and the...
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IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects