EC’s weak February ESI to add pressure on ECB to ease policy significantly

Feb 29, 2016 08:22 am UTC| Commentary

Euro areas economy is slowing down based on Februarys EC business and consumer survey supporting other survey indicators message. The European Commissions Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) fell to 103.8 from 105.1, more...

Migrant Crisis Series

Migrant crisis: Iron Chancellor’s iron will and single plan

Feb 29, 2016 07:47 am UTC| Commentary

When the Migrant crisis came into focus, we strongly suggested to our readers this crisis is likely to reshape Europe, more than it did during the debt crisis and it would also make the immigration key arguments in...

Euro area inflation in Feb likely decelerated below zero again as oil and food prices drop

Feb 29, 2016 07:29 am UTC| Commentary

Euro area has likely entered deflation again with CPI data for Germany showing that inflation in February fell below zero again, along with weak readings for Spanish and French inflation. Germanys headline harmonised...

Briferendum Series

Briferendum series: Weaker Pound strengthens in camp’s arguments

Feb 29, 2016 06:59 am UTC| Commentary

Last week pound ended down -3.6%, its worst week since 2008/09 crisis. Pounds terrible performance decline from 1.44 area against Dollar is strengthening David Prime Minister David Camerons in camp group, who are as of now...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

One-off revenues and base effects likely to improve Brazil’s 2016 fiscal results

Feb 29, 2016 06:38 am UTC| Commentary

Brazils primary balance for the general government in January reached a surplus of BRL27.9bn, with BRL8.0bn from regional governments, BRL20.9bn from the central government and a deficit of 1 billion from SOEs. This is an...

Fundamentals to watch out for this week

Feb 29, 2016 06:17 am UTC| Commentary

Compared to last two weeks heavy risky events such as US GDP, talks relating to Brexit, FOMC minutes, this week has even more riskier, simply because it has one major event surrounding China, that everybody will have their...

Fed Hike Aftermath Series

US economy unlikely to enter deflationary period, Fed likely to hike rates two more times in 2016

Feb 29, 2016 05:54 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The stronger consumer spending and income report for January is very re-assuring for the US economy. Consumer spending recorded a moderate growth during the end of 2015 and is off to the races in 2016 with real consumption...