Expansionary monetary policy and robust growth to see increased inflation risks in Norway

Oct 06, 2016 12:05 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

Inflation trend in Norway has accelerated since the start of the year, contrary to Norges Banks expectations. Norwegian central bank had maintained a generally pessimistic economic outlook and stuck to its expansionary...

FxWirePro: German manufacturing manages to produce upbeat factory orders; Does serene ECB imply a higher euro?

Oct 06, 2016 09:46 am UTC| Central Banks

In the euro area, we look for a recovery in German factory orders and informative minutes from the ECB September meeting. In particular, we look for hints as to why the council remained silent about its QE program end date...

FxWirePro: USD vol spread trades in Scandis – USD/SEK better over EUR/SEK owing to premiums of US elections and Riksbank easing cycle

Oct 06, 2016 08:10 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

EURSEK is unchanged over the past month, albeit once again the cross briefly flirted with the upper end of the six-year range at 9.60-9.70. We expect continued range-trading through until year-end and then only very...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Gold seems edgy as downside risk sentiments intensify in short term owing to latest central banks catalysts

Oct 05, 2016 12:56 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary

In the bullion market functions, it appears to be predominantly driven by major central bank catalysts in the recent month with both the BoJ and ECB broadly disappointing on easing policies relative to outlook while the...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Stay positioned in EUR/CZK as CNB indicates exit from floor

Oct 05, 2016 11:07 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

We remain bullish CZK, with the CNB more confident it will exit from the koruna cap in mid-2017 at its latest meeting. This week, the CNB kept the benchmark rate unchanged at 0.05% and attempted to tame market...

Solid PMI readings for September suggest neutral policy stance from BOE

Oct 05, 2016 10:31 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks Economy

Markit/CIPS composite PMI rises to 53.7 in September from 53.2 in August. UK service sector continued to recover from Julys EU referendum-induced shock, however, the rate of expansion slowed. Septembers services PMI saw...

FxWirePro: EUR/CNH bearish bets on Brexit, U.S. election uncertainty intensifies

Oct 05, 2016 09:13 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

A rise in capital outflows would likely to drive further Chinese offshore currency depreciation. We hold the bias that the PBoC would let further weakness in CNY after the September G20 summit, as a policy reaction to the...