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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: BoE’s OBR cut expectation anchors IV pace in pounds OTC market - Hedge GBP/JPY downside risks using Vega ATM options in 3way straddles

Sep 12, 2016 08:08 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

1W and 2W ATM IVs of GBP crosses are rising dramatically in OTC markets, GBPJPY flashing more than 13% and 16% respectively ahead of this weeks monetary policy by Bank of England which is likely to stand pat but previous...

FxWirePro: Stay long in USD/TWD 3m NDFs carrying attractive risk reward ratio

Sep 12, 2016 07:28 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

Initiate long in USDTWD at spot reference 31.75 entered via 3m NDF with a stop target of 33.14 (+4.3%) and a stop slightly below the recent low at 30.99 (-2.3%). The trade horizon would be 3-4 months. With negative...

Czech National Bank likely to have intervened more in August to defend EUR/CZK floor at 27

Sep 12, 2016 07:09 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Czech National Banks latest balance sheet data implies that the central bank has had to intervene more in recent weeks in order to defend the EUR/CZK floor at 27, said Commerzbank in a research note. The preliminary...

No action from BoE in Sept, all attention likely on the minutes to gauge future rate cuts

Sep 09, 2016 12:07 pm UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks Economy

After delivering a comprehensive package of policy easing measures in August, the Bank of England is widely expected to stay pat at its September policy meeting scheduled next week. Focus is likely to be on the wording in...

Higher Swiss jobless rate poses concern for SNB; overvalued franc deepens the cause

Sep 09, 2016 10:06 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The jobless rate in Switzerland rose for the first time since May, during the month of August, shrugging expectations for an unchanged figure, raising concerns for the Swiss National Bank. Also, an overvalued franc is...

Bank of Korea keeps policy rate on hold, expects economy to sustain modest growth

Sep 09, 2016 07:34 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As widely expected, the Bank of Koreas Monetary Policy Board kept the Base Rate on hold at 1.25 percent for the third consecutive month. According to the Board, the South Korean economy is expected to sustain its trend of...

BOC monetary policy decision: Assessing the bias

Sep 08, 2016 14:19 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Bank of Canada (BOC) as expected kept interest rates on hold, however, the Canadian dollar remained weak as theeconomy, the housing sector and oil price remainweak. But how the bank is planning for future? Lets...

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Economy

U.S. Trade Rep Dismisses WTO's Future Role After Failed Cameroon Summit

U.S. Trade Representative Jamieson Greer declared on Monday that the World Trade Organization will play only a marginal role in shaping future global trade policy, following a contentious ministerial meeting in Cameroon...

Bessent: Global Oil Market Well Supplied as U.S. Eyes Hormuz Navigation Control

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reassured markets on Monday that the global oil supply remains stable, pointing to increased vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz as a key indicator of improving conditions....

Aluminum Prices Surge Toward Four-Year Highs After Gulf Smelter Strikes

Global aluminum prices shot up sharply on Monday, approaching levels not seen in nearly four years after Iranian missile and drone attacks caused significant damage to major smelting facilities across the Gulf region. The...

Goldman Sachs Sees Value in European Real Estate Stocks Despite Sharp Selloff

European real estate stocks have taken a significant hit since late February, tumbling roughly 14% as rising bond yields and widening credit spreads weigh heavily on the sector. According to Goldman Sachs, valuations have...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady Amid U.S.-Israel-Iran Tensions and BOJ Signals

Asian currencies traded within a narrow range Monday as geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran continued to weigh on regional sentiment. Most currencies in the region remained under...

Politics

Trump Administration Resumes Partial Asylum Processing After Temporary Halt

The Trump administration has announced it will resume processing certain asylum applications following a temporary suspension that was triggered by a high-profile shooting involving an asylum seeker. U.S. Citizenship and...

Trump's Name Spreads Across America: Airports, Warships, and Currency

Florida Governor Ron DeSantis signed legislation Monday renaming Palm Beach International Airport after former and current President Donald Trump, marking yet another addition to a growing list of American institutions,...

Israel Passes Death Penalty Law Targeting Palestinians in Military Courts

Israels parliament has approved a controversial new law establishing hanging as the default sentence for Palestinians convicted in military courts of carrying out deadly attacks. The legislation, championed by far-right...

U.S. Army Investigates Military Helicopters Flying Near Kid Rock's Home and Anti-Trump Protests

The U.S. Army has launched an administrative review after military Apache helicopters were spotted flying near the Nashville home of rock star and Trump supporter Kid Rock, as well as near anti-Trump demonstrations held...

Ukraine Open to Energy Ceasefire Amid Global Oil Crisis

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskiy revealed on Monday that several of Kyivs Western allies have quietly urged Ukraine to scale back its long-range strikes targeting Russias oil and energy infrastructure. The request...

Science

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Technology

Cybersecurity Stocks Tumble After Anthropic's Claude Mythos AI Leak Sparks Market Fears

Major cybersecurity stocks took a sharp hit Friday following reports that Anthropic accidentally exposed details about its next-generation AI model before its official launch. CrowdStrike fell 7%, Palo Alto Networks...

Chinese Universities with PLA Ties Found Purchasing Restricted U.S. AI Chips Through Super Micro Servers

Procurement records reveal that four Chinese universities, two of which have direct ties to the Peoples Liberation Army, acquired Super Micro Computer servers loaded with restricted Nvidia AI chips over the past year. The...

Federal Judge Blocks Pentagon's Blacklisting of AI Company Anthropic

A federal judge has temporarily prevented the Pentagon from enforcing its designation of Anthropic as a national security supply-chain risk, dealing an early blow to the Trump administration in a growing dispute over...

SMIC Allegedly Supplies Chipmaking Tools to Iran's Military, U.S. Officials Warn

Chinas top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation), has reportedly been transferring chipmaking equipment to Irans military industrial complex, according to two senior Trump...

Google's TurboQuant Algorithm Sends Memory Chip Stocks Tumbling

Major memory chipmakers took a significant hit on Thursday after Google researchers introduced a groundbreaking compression algorithm that threatens to reduce artificial intelligence demand for memory chips. Samsung...
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