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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Central banks activities, geopolitical risks and multi-month low vols suggest EUR/USD FVA hedge

Sep 26, 2016 07:13 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

As the Fed maintained status quo at the conclusion of its monetary policy meeting on Wednesdaybut hinted that a hike could come in December if the job market continued to improve, the key benchmark US treasury yields moved...

Taiwan’s central bank likely to slash rates on Thursday, to stay pat in December

Sep 26, 2016 06:26 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Central Bank of the Republic of China (Taiwan) (CBC) is expected to slash its discount rate at the monetary policy meeting scheduled to be held on Sep 29, 2016. However, it is seen to hold fire at the next policy meet...

FxWirePro: Dovish CBRT stimulates USD/TRY upside risks, 1w calls exorbitantly priced – Construct Diagonal Credit Call Spreads bidding tepid IVs

Sep 23, 2016 13:11 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

CBT lowered its overnight lending rate by 25bps yesterday to 8.25% as had been widely anticipated; the central bank kept other policy parameters unchanged. The MPC statement was strikingly dovish in that its first remark...

FxWirePro: RBI designs new MPC to ensure policy actions on track to keep inflation targets – INR trading baskets

Sep 23, 2016 12:17 pm UTC| Central Banks

RBI finalized the make-up of its new six-member monetary policy committee (MPC). They are three government nominees who are distinguished economists and three RBI members. In a split decision, the governor has the...

Higher inflation and better growth prospects in Norway imply less need for additional rate cuts

Sep 23, 2016 12:17 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

Norges Bank earlier this week left the key policy rate unchanged and revised higher the interest rate path in line with market expectations. Rate path was raised by 24bps in Q4 2016 and 12-19 bps in 2017-19. The rate path...

FxWirePro: EM FX basket, treasury and corporate effects

Sep 23, 2016 11:35 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The corporate bonds in emerging market continue to outperform DM equivalents. However the supply advantage is fading, and currency movements are not big enough to justify the spread tightening. We still see EM corporate as...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Test put/call parity of AUD/NZD options before choosing hedging strategy

Sep 23, 2016 09:17 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

We know that bullish trend has again resumed and it likely to drag further to higher levels up to 1.0705 levels. Uptrend seems to be intensified especially after RBNZ stood pat in its yesterdays monetary policy, leaving...

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Economy

Bessent: Global Oil Market Well Supplied as U.S. Eyes Hormuz Navigation Control

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reassured markets on Monday that the global oil supply remains stable, pointing to increased vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz as a key indicator of improving conditions....

Aluminum Prices Surge Toward Four-Year Highs After Gulf Smelter Strikes

Global aluminum prices shot up sharply on Monday, approaching levels not seen in nearly four years after Iranian missile and drone attacks caused significant damage to major smelting facilities across the Gulf region. The...

Goldman Sachs Sees Value in European Real Estate Stocks Despite Sharp Selloff

European real estate stocks have taken a significant hit since late February, tumbling roughly 14% as rising bond yields and widening credit spreads weigh heavily on the sector. According to Goldman Sachs, valuations have...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady Amid U.S.-Israel-Iran Tensions and BOJ Signals

Asian currencies traded within a narrow range Monday as geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran continued to weigh on regional sentiment. Most currencies in the region remained under...

Asian Stocks Drop Amid Iran War Fears and BOJ Rate Hike Signals

Asian equity markets declined sharply on Monday as investors reacted to mounting geopolitical tensions surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, while hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan added further pressure on...

Politics

Trump Warns of Iran Strikes as Nuclear Deal Talks Intensify

President Donald Trump signaled cautious optimism Monday over ongoing negotiations with Iran, while simultaneously issuing stark warnings about potential military escalation if a deal fails to materialize. In a Truth...

Ukrainian Drones and the #MadeByHousewives Movement: Kyiv Fires Back at Rheinmetall CEO

Ukraines drone program has become a global flashpoint after Rheinmetall CEO Armin Papperger sparked widespread backlash by dismissing Ukrainian defense innovation as amateur work carried out by women with 3D printers at...

U.S.-Iran War Talks Emerge Amid Ongoing Strikes and Economic Fallout

Diplomatic efforts to end the month-long U.S.-Iran war are gaining momentum, even as military operations intensify across the Middle East. President Donald Trump confirmed Sunday that the United States and Iran have...

Myanmar's Military Chief Steps Down to Pursue Presidency After Controversial Election

Myanmars military leader Min Aung Hlaing resigned as commander-in-chief on Monday to pursue the countrys presidency, marking a significant political shift following the nations first elections since the 2021 military coup...

UNIFIL Peacekeeper Killed in Southern Lebanon as Tensions Escalate

A United Nations peacekeeper was killed and several others were wounded after a projectile struck a UNIFIL position near the southern Lebanese village of Adchit al-Qusayr on Sunday. Indonesias foreign ministry confirmed...

Science

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Technology

Cybersecurity Stocks Tumble After Anthropic's Claude Mythos AI Leak Sparks Market Fears

Major cybersecurity stocks took a sharp hit Friday following reports that Anthropic accidentally exposed details about its next-generation AI model before its official launch. CrowdStrike fell 7%, Palo Alto Networks...

Chinese Universities with PLA Ties Found Purchasing Restricted U.S. AI Chips Through Super Micro Servers

Procurement records reveal that four Chinese universities, two of which have direct ties to the Peoples Liberation Army, acquired Super Micro Computer servers loaded with restricted Nvidia AI chips over the past year. The...

Federal Judge Blocks Pentagon's Blacklisting of AI Company Anthropic

A federal judge has temporarily prevented the Pentagon from enforcing its designation of Anthropic as a national security supply-chain risk, dealing an early blow to the Trump administration in a growing dispute over...

SMIC Allegedly Supplies Chipmaking Tools to Iran's Military, U.S. Officials Warn

Chinas top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation), has reportedly been transferring chipmaking equipment to Irans military industrial complex, according to two senior Trump...

Google's TurboQuant Algorithm Sends Memory Chip Stocks Tumbling

Major memory chipmakers took a significant hit on Thursday after Google researchers introduced a groundbreaking compression algorithm that threatens to reduce artificial intelligence demand for memory chips. Samsung...
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