Indonesian Rupiah to strengthen on tax amnesty inflows

Sep 28, 2016 11:51 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks Economy

The Indonesian Rupiah strengthened to a six-month high against the US dollar on the back of higher tax amnesty inflows. The government has been optimistic about tax amnesty inflows and has approved a total of 21 banks, 18...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome Sings Series: Low rates erode banks’ profitability and rises pension deficit

Sep 28, 2016 11:01 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The debate about the cost and benefits of low rates has started heating up. Central bankers like Mario Draghi, Janet Yellen speak in favor of low rates arguing that they have brought stability and without them, the world...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: SNB chairman defends negative rate policy – Option portfolios for Swiss franc

Sep 28, 2016 10:37 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

The positive flow position for CHF is enhanced by an ongoing re-appraisal of the SNBs interest rate policy. Negative interest rates can work in a small economy is what the chairman of a Swiss national bank said...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Swedish Krona among Scandis underperforming despite economy seems prosperous – Hedge SEK’s further depreciating risks

Sep 28, 2016 10:22 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

Apart from Sterling the Swedish krona has recorded one of the weakest performances amongst the G10 currencies this year. That is particularly interesting as the Swedish economy is growing at a comparatively high...

FxWirePro: Buy Swiss franc with 2:7 risk reward ratio

Sep 28, 2016 09:51 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

We expect the Swiss franc to be an outperformer among the group of majors, even if the U.S. Federal Reserve moves with a hike in rates. Swiss franc, thanks to the intervention of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) remains quite...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Prefer selling yen risk premia post-BoJ via writing EUR/JPY straddle

Sep 28, 2016 08:18 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Median 4-week horizon returns (vol pts.) and information ratios from selling cross-yen 6-week straddles in 2016. Options delta-hedged daily at LDN close using smile forward deltas and option-expiry matched...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: AUD/USD 3m bids in OTC and IV skews to encompass major macro events – Uphold calendar combinations

Sep 28, 2016 07:47 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Please be noted that the skewness in implied volatility of 3m tenors of this pair signifies the hedgers interest in OTM put strikes. While delta risk reversals of the similar expiries reveal more sentiments in hedging...