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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What drives you writing overstated exorbitant NZD/JPY options?

Oct 28, 2016 06:00 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

For an instance, 1w ATM puts and calls of this pair are trading 28% and 30% respectively more than NPV. While the ATM implied volatilities of the same tenor are at just shy above 9.5%. The standard deviation of this put...

Chart of the Day Series

Chart of the Day: Burning fast

Oct 27, 2016 16:40 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

This chart from Bloomberg markets shows that the Bank of England (BoE) has used almost 2 billion pounds in the very first month of its corporate asset purchase program. Its an 18-month program with 10 billion pounds...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: EUR/CHF OTC advances traction for bearish risks, bid 3m 25-delta RR – Curb hedging cost by “writing exorbitant calls in directional combos”

Oct 27, 2016 12:10 pm UTC| Central Banks Commentary

OTC updates: The ATM implied volatilities are not rising considerably, still below 7.5% (to be precise 6.5% for 1W expiries and 7.25% for 1M expiries). Well, if you have short positions in option and IVs are shrinking...

Upbeat UK Q3 GDP data lowers chances of Bank of England's easing next week

Oct 27, 2016 11:32 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

Data released by the Office for National Statistics on Thursday showed that UK Q3 GDP grew by 0.5 percent, beating forecasts for 0.3 percent growth. Growth was, however, slower than the 0.7 percent recorded in the second...

Riksbank keeps policy rate on hold, likely to expand bond purchase program in H1 2017

Oct 27, 2016 09:06 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Swedish central bank, Riksbank, kept its policy rate on hold at -0.5 percent during its meeting today, as was widely anticipated. However, the central banks message today seems dovish and is expected to ease further,...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: A glimpse on Swiss franc – Uphold USD/CHF put ladders on 1m tepid vols

Oct 27, 2016 07:41 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

Stay short in USDCHF; trade is very close to stop-out level. This trade was initially recommended in September post-BoJs September policy framework change on the expectation that the BoJ shift would bring attention to...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Aussie inflation unlikely to disregard RBA’s easing cycle in 2017 but status quo in next meeting most likely – Collar to hedge AUD/JPY risks

Oct 27, 2016 06:57 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

The RBAs Q3 print sat awkwardly for the market, with the first blush of headline inflation leaving investors pondering if the low has been set. However, underlying inflation was certainly soft and does not eliminate the...

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Economy

Bessent: Global Oil Market Well Supplied as U.S. Eyes Hormuz Navigation Control

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reassured markets on Monday that the global oil supply remains stable, pointing to increased vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz as a key indicator of improving conditions....

Aluminum Prices Surge Toward Four-Year Highs After Gulf Smelter Strikes

Global aluminum prices shot up sharply on Monday, approaching levels not seen in nearly four years after Iranian missile and drone attacks caused significant damage to major smelting facilities across the Gulf region. The...

Goldman Sachs Sees Value in European Real Estate Stocks Despite Sharp Selloff

European real estate stocks have taken a significant hit since late February, tumbling roughly 14% as rising bond yields and widening credit spreads weigh heavily on the sector. According to Goldman Sachs, valuations have...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady Amid U.S.-Israel-Iran Tensions and BOJ Signals

Asian currencies traded within a narrow range Monday as geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran continued to weigh on regional sentiment. Most currencies in the region remained under...

Asian Stocks Drop Amid Iran War Fears and BOJ Rate Hike Signals

Asian equity markets declined sharply on Monday as investors reacted to mounting geopolitical tensions surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, while hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan added further pressure on...

Politics

Trump Warns of Iran Strikes as Nuclear Deal Talks Intensify

President Donald Trump signaled cautious optimism Monday over ongoing negotiations with Iran, while simultaneously issuing stark warnings about potential military escalation if a deal fails to materialize. In a Truth...

Ukrainian Drones and the #MadeByHousewives Movement: Kyiv Fires Back at Rheinmetall CEO

Ukraines drone program has become a global flashpoint after Rheinmetall CEO Armin Papperger sparked widespread backlash by dismissing Ukrainian defense innovation as amateur work carried out by women with 3D printers at...

U.S.-Iran War Talks Emerge Amid Ongoing Strikes and Economic Fallout

Diplomatic efforts to end the month-long U.S.-Iran war are gaining momentum, even as military operations intensify across the Middle East. President Donald Trump confirmed Sunday that the United States and Iran have...

Myanmar's Military Chief Steps Down to Pursue Presidency After Controversial Election

Myanmars military leader Min Aung Hlaing resigned as commander-in-chief on Monday to pursue the countrys presidency, marking a significant political shift following the nations first elections since the 2021 military coup...

UNIFIL Peacekeeper Killed in Southern Lebanon as Tensions Escalate

A United Nations peacekeeper was killed and several others were wounded after a projectile struck a UNIFIL position near the southern Lebanese village of Adchit al-Qusayr on Sunday. Indonesias foreign ministry confirmed...

Science

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Technology

Cybersecurity Stocks Tumble After Anthropic's Claude Mythos AI Leak Sparks Market Fears

Major cybersecurity stocks took a sharp hit Friday following reports that Anthropic accidentally exposed details about its next-generation AI model before its official launch. CrowdStrike fell 7%, Palo Alto Networks...

Chinese Universities with PLA Ties Found Purchasing Restricted U.S. AI Chips Through Super Micro Servers

Procurement records reveal that four Chinese universities, two of which have direct ties to the Peoples Liberation Army, acquired Super Micro Computer servers loaded with restricted Nvidia AI chips over the past year. The...

Federal Judge Blocks Pentagon's Blacklisting of AI Company Anthropic

A federal judge has temporarily prevented the Pentagon from enforcing its designation of Anthropic as a national security supply-chain risk, dealing an early blow to the Trump administration in a growing dispute over...

SMIC Allegedly Supplies Chipmaking Tools to Iran's Military, U.S. Officials Warn

Chinas top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation), has reportedly been transferring chipmaking equipment to Irans military industrial complex, according to two senior Trump...

Google's TurboQuant Algorithm Sends Memory Chip Stocks Tumbling

Major memory chipmakers took a significant hit on Thursday after Google researchers introduced a groundbreaking compression algorithm that threatens to reduce artificial intelligence demand for memory chips. Samsung...
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