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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Essence of dollar appreciation against Turkish lira lures prospects in USD/TRY vanilla calls and spreads

Nov 17, 2016 07:53 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

With the deterioration in the local political situation and a less supportive environment from higher G3 yields, the outlook for the lira is worsening, in our view. We find option exposure most attractive at present,...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 17th November, 2016

Nov 17, 2016 05:44 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Lots of economic dockets and events scheduled for today and some with high risks associated. Data released so far: Australia: Net employment rose by 9,800 and unemployment rate remained at 5.6...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: MXN still appears vulnerable despite lingering hopes of Banxico rate hikes – Affix married ATM gamma puts on 1m HY IVs for hedging

Nov 16, 2016 11:44 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

As expected, the MXN plunged on Trumps victory. We had warned previously that the MXN was not pricing much in terms of excess premium going into the US election, which explains the move higher in USDMXN following the...

There is more to good central bank governance than independence

Nov 16, 2016 11:39 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Throughout the Presidential campaign Donald Trump repeatedly criticised the United States Federal Reserve, accusing it of creating a big fat ugly bubble through its monetary decisions, among many other things. Trumps...

Currency War Series

Banxico plans to fight Trump effects with higher interest rate

Nov 16, 2016 09:17 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Banco de México, popularly known as Banxico will announce interest rate decision tomorrow at 19:00 GMT and it is expected that the central bank will increase interest rate sharply to fight of the recent effects of a...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: GDT index in line with projections – “Vertical Straps” to speculate and hedge AUD/NZD swings on monetary policy divergence

Nov 16, 2016 08:56 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

TheGDT dairy auctionovernight resulted in a 5% rise overall, with WMP up 3% and SMP up 10%. The result is roughly in line with earlier futures predictions which had priced in a response to weather affected...

India’s consumer inflation eases in October, bolsters hope for RBI December rate cut

Nov 16, 2016 05:28 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Consumer prices in India eased during the month of October, bolstering hopes for a December interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI). Indias October consumer price index (CPI) Inflation fell to 14-month low...

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Economy

Bessent: Global Oil Market Well Supplied as U.S. Eyes Hormuz Navigation Control

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reassured markets on Monday that the global oil supply remains stable, pointing to increased vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz as a key indicator of improving conditions....

Aluminum Prices Surge Toward Four-Year Highs After Gulf Smelter Strikes

Global aluminum prices shot up sharply on Monday, approaching levels not seen in nearly four years after Iranian missile and drone attacks caused significant damage to major smelting facilities across the Gulf region. The...

Goldman Sachs Sees Value in European Real Estate Stocks Despite Sharp Selloff

European real estate stocks have taken a significant hit since late February, tumbling roughly 14% as rising bond yields and widening credit spreads weigh heavily on the sector. According to Goldman Sachs, valuations have...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady Amid U.S.-Israel-Iran Tensions and BOJ Signals

Asian currencies traded within a narrow range Monday as geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran continued to weigh on regional sentiment. Most currencies in the region remained under...

Asian Stocks Drop Amid Iran War Fears and BOJ Rate Hike Signals

Asian equity markets declined sharply on Monday as investors reacted to mounting geopolitical tensions surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, while hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan added further pressure on...

Politics

Trump Warns of Iran Strikes as Nuclear Deal Talks Intensify

President Donald Trump signaled cautious optimism Monday over ongoing negotiations with Iran, while simultaneously issuing stark warnings about potential military escalation if a deal fails to materialize. In a Truth...

Ukrainian Drones and the #MadeByHousewives Movement: Kyiv Fires Back at Rheinmetall CEO

Ukraines drone program has become a global flashpoint after Rheinmetall CEO Armin Papperger sparked widespread backlash by dismissing Ukrainian defense innovation as amateur work carried out by women with 3D printers at...

U.S.-Iran War Talks Emerge Amid Ongoing Strikes and Economic Fallout

Diplomatic efforts to end the month-long U.S.-Iran war are gaining momentum, even as military operations intensify across the Middle East. President Donald Trump confirmed Sunday that the United States and Iran have...

Myanmar's Military Chief Steps Down to Pursue Presidency After Controversial Election

Myanmars military leader Min Aung Hlaing resigned as commander-in-chief on Monday to pursue the countrys presidency, marking a significant political shift following the nations first elections since the 2021 military coup...

UNIFIL Peacekeeper Killed in Southern Lebanon as Tensions Escalate

A United Nations peacekeeper was killed and several others were wounded after a projectile struck a UNIFIL position near the southern Lebanese village of Adchit al-Qusayr on Sunday. Indonesias foreign ministry confirmed...

Science

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Technology

Cybersecurity Stocks Tumble After Anthropic's Claude Mythos AI Leak Sparks Market Fears

Major cybersecurity stocks took a sharp hit Friday following reports that Anthropic accidentally exposed details about its next-generation AI model before its official launch. CrowdStrike fell 7%, Palo Alto Networks...

Chinese Universities with PLA Ties Found Purchasing Restricted U.S. AI Chips Through Super Micro Servers

Procurement records reveal that four Chinese universities, two of which have direct ties to the Peoples Liberation Army, acquired Super Micro Computer servers loaded with restricted Nvidia AI chips over the past year. The...

Federal Judge Blocks Pentagon's Blacklisting of AI Company Anthropic

A federal judge has temporarily prevented the Pentagon from enforcing its designation of Anthropic as a national security supply-chain risk, dealing an early blow to the Trump administration in a growing dispute over...

SMIC Allegedly Supplies Chipmaking Tools to Iran's Military, U.S. Officials Warn

Chinas top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation), has reportedly been transferring chipmaking equipment to Irans military industrial complex, according to two senior Trump...

Google's TurboQuant Algorithm Sends Memory Chip Stocks Tumbling

Major memory chipmakers took a significant hit on Thursday after Google researchers introduced a groundbreaking compression algorithm that threatens to reduce artificial intelligence demand for memory chips. Samsung...