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FxWirePro: EMFX space in 2018 likely to benefit from US expansionary phase

Jan 02, 2018 07:31 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Record US expansion/strong global growth supportive for selective carry if the US expansion can survive until spring 2019 it would be the longest in post-war history. And whether the Fed hikes three times next year or...

Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over next 12 months

Jan 02, 2018 05:40 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC increased interest rates again in December for the third and projected three more hikes in 2018. However, debates among policymakers are growing over hikes as inflation remains low. Charles Evans joined Neel Kashkari...

FxWirePro: ECB to continue corporate bonds purchase this year; QE unlikely to pause suddenly in September

Jan 02, 2018 05:39 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to continue its purchase of corporate bonds through this year and the quantitative easing (QE) program is unlikely to witness any sudden pause in September. GDP growth...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 2nd January 2018

Jan 02, 2018 03:57 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Not many economic data and events scheduled for today, and all with low to medium volatility risks associated. Data released so far: China: Caixin manufacturing PMI rose to 51.7 in...

FxWirePro: BoE and phase II Brexit negotiation to cause sterling vulnerability again, loonie looks robust – Bid 3m GBP/CAD skews and deploy 3-way straddles

Dec 29, 2017 12:02 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The BoE has reversed the pre-emptive interest rate cut after the Brexit referendum in 2017. However, as this does not mark the start of a hiking cycle, monetary policy will no longer give any momentum. Even if it...

ECB likely to change its monetary policy tune in 2018, says CIBC Capital Markets

Dec 29, 2017 10:09 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to change its monetary policy tune going into 2018, according to a recent report from CIBC Capital Markets. Political turmoil is heating up in a number of Eurozone countries....

FxWirePro: CAD vols to construct easy to Carry RV structures for NAFTA and BoC hedge

Dec 29, 2017 08:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

CAD-based implied correlations are priced well below realizeds for nearly the entire CAD-cross universe; owning CADUSD vs CADJPY corr. or a CADJPY - USDJPY vol spread is a positive carry NAFTA hedge. Notably, please be...

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Economy

US Debt Tops $40 Trillion as Global Borrowing Costs Surge

U.S. government debt has surpassed $40 trillion for the first time, highlighting growing fiscal pressures as major economies face rising spending demands from ageing populations, defence, climate change and higher interest...

UK Budget Swings to Surprise £1.8 Billion Deficit in July

Britain recorded an unexpected 1.8 billion ($2.5 billion) budget deficit in July, as inflation-driven government spending outweighed record self-assessed income tax receipts, highlighting continued pressure on the UKs...

US Plans ‘Toughest Sanctions in History’ on Iran, Bessent Says

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Washington is preparing to impose sweeping new sanctions on Iran, reinforcing President Donald Trumps push to intensify economic pressure on Tehran amid ongoing tensions and...

South Korea Producer Prices Fall 0.4% in July

South Koreas producer prices fell in July for the first time in nearly a year, as lower global crude oil prices helped offset rising agricultural costs caused by extreme summer heat. The producer price index (PPI) declined...

Japan Inflation Rises, Boosting BOJ Rate Hike Bets

Japans inflation accelerated for a third consecutive month in July, strengthening expectations that the Bank of Japan could raise interest rates again in the coming months as underlying price pressures intensify. Japans...

Politics

Prince Harry Faces Potential Multi-Million-Pound Legal Bill in Daily Mail Case

Prince Harry could soon learn how many millions of pounds he and other claimants must pay toward the legal costs of the publisher of the Daily Mail after losing a high-profile privacy lawsuit. On Friday, London High Court...

Russia Arrests Nine Over Alleged Ukraine-Linked Attack Plans

Russian authorities have arrested nine people in separate cases involving alleged plans to target strategic infrastructure and government sites, according to state news agencies citing the Federal Security Service (FSB)....

Trump Eyes Kim Jong Un Summit as North Korea Sets Tough Terms

U.S. President Donald Trump is seeking another meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later this year, but Pyongyangs guarded response suggests renewed diplomacy could depend on major changes in U.S. policy toward...

Myanmar Military Pushes to Clear Land for Russia-Backed Dawei SEZ

Myanmars military has deployed hundreds of troops around the Russia-backed Dawei Special Economic Zone (SEZ), as authorities seek to revive the strategically important project in the countrys southern Tanintharyi Region....

Imran Khan Returns to Prison After Islamabad Hospital Visit

Pakistans former Prime Minister Imran Khan returned to prison on Friday after spending several hours overnight at an Islamabad hospital for a medical examination ordered by the countrys Supreme Court. Khan, 73, was...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Samsung Shares Rise on $72 Billion Shareholder Return Plan

Samsung Electronics shares climbed on Friday following reports that the South Korean technology giant is preparing a shareholder return package potentially exceeding 100 trillion won ($72 billion). Samsungs board is...

Alibaba Shares Fall as AI Spending Hits Profit

Alibaba shares dropped nearly 3% in Hong Kong trading on Friday after the Chinese technology giant reported a steep decline in quarterly profit, as aggressive artificial intelligence investment weighed on earnings and cash...

Samsung Eyes $72 Billion Shareholder Return Plan as AI Chip Boom Fuels Profits

Samsung Electronics is reportedly preparing a new shareholder return policy worth more than 100 trillion won ($71.75 billion), as booming demand for artificial intelligence chips drives expectations of record profits at...

SK Hynix Shares Surge on Record $28.6 Billion Buyback

SK Hynix shares staged a strong rebound on Thursday after the South Korean memory-chip giant announced a record 40 trillion won ($28.6 billion) share buyback and cancellation plan, providing fresh confidence to investors...

OpenAI Revenue Rises 18% in Q2 as Losses Widen and Anthropic Surges Ahead

OpenAI reported an 18% increase in second-quarter revenue, but widening losses and rapid growth at rival Anthropic are adding pressure on the ChatGPT maker, according to The Wall Street Journal. OpenAI told investors that...