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FxWirePro: Place EUR put/SEK call as Riksbank forward guidance ahead of ECB

Jan 05, 2018 12:13 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

In Sweden, the prospects of a policy pivot were delayed not derailed this year. At the October meeting, the central bank signaled that it was waiting for further information which could motivate a QE extension, and also...

FxWirePro: Be choosy and stay long on VXY through 2018

Jan 05, 2018 12:11 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

The global picture on the volatility front hasnt really changed in recent months. Implied and realized volatility is still hovering in their low or very low percentiles. 2017 the trading year is going out rather quietly...

FxWirePro: Capitalize on RBNZ's quietness, EUR/NZD knock out options to tackle uncertainties of ECB and FED

Jan 05, 2018 09:46 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

2017 has been the year in which more central banks broke ranks. We expect this to continue in 2018. The Fed will hike four times and the BoC two, which supports long positions in USD and CAD. Risk-reward-considerations:...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 5th January 2018

Jan 05, 2018 04:50 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Lots of economic data and events scheduled for today, and some with high volatility risks associated. Data released so far: United Kingdom: BRC shop price index down 0.6 percent y/y in December. Japan: Markit...

FxWirePro: Capital flows to intensify Brazilian currency but politics and fiscal deficit still a taboo - USDBRL topside seagull to solve the riddle

Jan 04, 2018 10:10 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Even though the high-yielding currencies have become consensus trades for 2018, we maintain a more bullish stance than consensus on BRL short term. The significant improvement in capital flows linked to the growth boost we...

FxWirePro: “Euro strength or perhaps dollar weakness?” Bid EUR/USD and 10y USD ATMS dual digitals as Euro’s next phase of recovery looming

Jan 04, 2018 07:08 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

Are you puzzled by Euro strength or perhaps dollar weakness instead? Was the latest FX move due to Sterling? The fair elucidation of the exchange rates would always be challenging. Despite robust growth, the ECB would...

ECB likely to change policy tone in spring of 2018, says BoFAML

Jan 04, 2018 05:19 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

The European Central Bank (ECB) is expected to change its monetary policy tone in the spring of this year. The first step would be to sever the link between inflation dynamics and the continuation of QE as Benoit...

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Economy

US Debt Tops $40 Trillion as Global Borrowing Costs Surge

U.S. government debt has surpassed $40 trillion for the first time, highlighting growing fiscal pressures as major economies face rising spending demands from ageing populations, defence, climate change and higher interest...

UK Budget Swings to Surprise £1.8 Billion Deficit in July

Britain recorded an unexpected 1.8 billion ($2.5 billion) budget deficit in July, as inflation-driven government spending outweighed record self-assessed income tax receipts, highlighting continued pressure on the UKs...

US Plans ‘Toughest Sanctions in History’ on Iran, Bessent Says

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said Washington is preparing to impose sweeping new sanctions on Iran, reinforcing President Donald Trumps push to intensify economic pressure on Tehran amid ongoing tensions and...

South Korea Producer Prices Fall 0.4% in July

South Koreas producer prices fell in July for the first time in nearly a year, as lower global crude oil prices helped offset rising agricultural costs caused by extreme summer heat. The producer price index (PPI) declined...

Japan Inflation Rises, Boosting BOJ Rate Hike Bets

Japans inflation accelerated for a third consecutive month in July, strengthening expectations that the Bank of Japan could raise interest rates again in the coming months as underlying price pressures intensify. Japans...

Politics

Prince Harry Faces Potential Multi-Million-Pound Legal Bill in Daily Mail Case

Prince Harry could soon learn how many millions of pounds he and other claimants must pay toward the legal costs of the publisher of the Daily Mail after losing a high-profile privacy lawsuit. On Friday, London High Court...

Russia Arrests Nine Over Alleged Ukraine-Linked Attack Plans

Russian authorities have arrested nine people in separate cases involving alleged plans to target strategic infrastructure and government sites, according to state news agencies citing the Federal Security Service (FSB)....

Trump Eyes Kim Jong Un Summit as North Korea Sets Tough Terms

U.S. President Donald Trump is seeking another meeting with North Korean leader Kim Jong Un later this year, but Pyongyangs guarded response suggests renewed diplomacy could depend on major changes in U.S. policy toward...

Myanmar Military Pushes to Clear Land for Russia-Backed Dawei SEZ

Myanmars military has deployed hundreds of troops around the Russia-backed Dawei Special Economic Zone (SEZ), as authorities seek to revive the strategically important project in the countrys southern Tanintharyi Region....

Imran Khan Returns to Prison After Islamabad Hospital Visit

Pakistans former Prime Minister Imran Khan returned to prison on Friday after spending several hours overnight at an Islamabad hospital for a medical examination ordered by the countrys Supreme Court. Khan, 73, was...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Samsung Shares Rise on $72 Billion Shareholder Return Plan

Samsung Electronics shares climbed on Friday following reports that the South Korean technology giant is preparing a shareholder return package potentially exceeding 100 trillion won ($72 billion). Samsungs board is...

Alibaba Shares Fall as AI Spending Hits Profit

Alibaba shares dropped nearly 3% in Hong Kong trading on Friday after the Chinese technology giant reported a steep decline in quarterly profit, as aggressive artificial intelligence investment weighed on earnings and cash...

Samsung Eyes $72 Billion Shareholder Return Plan as AI Chip Boom Fuels Profits

Samsung Electronics is reportedly preparing a new shareholder return policy worth more than 100 trillion won ($71.75 billion), as booming demand for artificial intelligence chips drives expectations of record profits at...

SK Hynix Shares Surge on Record $28.6 Billion Buyback

SK Hynix shares staged a strong rebound on Thursday after the South Korean memory-chip giant announced a record 40 trillion won ($28.6 billion) share buyback and cancellation plan, providing fresh confidence to investors...

OpenAI Revenue Rises 18% in Q2 as Losses Widen and Anthropic Surges Ahead

OpenAI reported an 18% increase in second-quarter revenue, but widening losses and rapid growth at rival Anthropic are adding pressure on the ChatGPT maker, according to The Wall Street Journal. OpenAI told investors that...