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Fed Hike aftermath Series: Hike probabilities over coming meetings

Mar 04, 2019 04:34 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC followed through its promise and hiked rates four times in 2018 and forecasted two more rate hikes for 2019. Current Federal funds rate - 225-250 bps (Note, all calculations are based on data as of 4th...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 4th March 2019

Mar 04, 2019 04:17 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Not many economic data and events scheduled for today, and all with medium volatility risks associated. Upcoming: Australia: TD securities inflation up 0.1 percent in February. Building permits rose 28.6 percent...

BoT likely to keep policy rate on hold despite concerns of financial stability, says ANZ Research

Mar 01, 2019 08:57 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Bank of Thailand (BoT) is expected to keep its policy rate on hold at 1.75 percent at its meeting on March 20 even though concerns of financial stability are likely to persist, according to the latest report from ANZ...

FxWirePro: AUD/USD Call Spreads Unlikely to Fetch Desired Yields Amid Jittery Monetary Policy Outlook

Mar 01, 2019 07:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

AUDUSD downside risks remain intact, the next target 0.7070 and below 0.70 levels in medium terms. Medium-term perspective:The FOMCs dovish shift may have driven Aussie towards near 0.73 levels while the RBAs subsequent...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 1st March 2019

Mar 01, 2019 05:11 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Lots of economic data and events scheduled for today, and some with high volatility risks associated. Upcoming: Japan: Nikkei manufacturing PMI came at 48.9 in February. Consumer confidence index declined to 41.5...

FxWirePro: Reshuffle EURHUF call spread on low vols scenario

Feb 28, 2019 13:38 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Hungarian MPC meeting went more or less as we had expected: the central bank reiterated that it was ready to gradually normalize monetary policy, depending on the persistence of the inflation trend the MPC but did not...

FxWirePro: Fed or RBA? Never get caught-up between two stools - Caution on AUD/USD call spreads

Feb 28, 2019 12:46 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

Anyone, if at all, is holding AUDUSD call spreads with the optimism that USD would come under modest pressure in the wake of the dovish FOMC, and that AUD was well placed to capitalize on this given the already inverted...

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Economy

Samsung Strike Talks Resume as South Korea Weighs Emergency Action

South Korea is considering all available measures, including emergency arbitration, to prevent a potential labor strike at Samsung Electronics, according to Prime Minister Kim Min-seok. The government is aiming to minimize...

Australia Capital Gains Tax Reform Sparks Housing Market Debate

Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers has strongly defended the federal governments proposed overhaul of capital gains tax laws, arguing that major reform is necessary to address Australias worsening housing affordability...

Oil Prices Surge Above $109 as Strait of Hormuz Crisis and U.S.-Iran Tensions Escalate

Global oil prices soared Friday, posting strong weekly gains as tensions between the United States and Iran continued to intensify and the Strait of Hormuz remained effectively closed, fueling fears of a prolonged global...

Gold Prices Post Worst Weekly Drop Since March as Strong Dollar and Fed Rate Hike Bets Pressure Metals

Gold prices tumbled sharply on Friday, recording their biggest weekly decline since mid-March as a stronger U.S. dollar and growing expectations of Federal Reserve rate hikes weighed heavily on the precious metals market....

Powell Named Fed Chair Pro Tempore as Trump Prepares to Install Kevin Warsh

The Federal Reserve Board announced Friday that Jerome Powell will serve as chair pro tempore until Kevin Warsh is officially sworn in as the next leader of the U.S. central bank. The move comes as President Donald Trump...

Politics

Colombia Election Violence: Two Campaign Workers for Abelardo De La Espriella Killed Ahead of Presidential Vote

Political violence in Colombia has intensified after two campaign workers supporting right-wing presidential candidate Abelardo De La Espriella were killed just weeks before the countrys 2026 presidential election. The...

Alex Saab Deported to U.S. as Maduro Investigation Deepens

Venezuelan official Alex Saab, a close ally of former President Nicolas Maduro, has reportedly been deported to the United States, according to Venezuelas migration agency SAIME. The move marks another major development in...

Taiwan Says U.S. Arms Sales Remain Key to Regional Stability

Taiwan reaffirmed on Saturday that U.S. arms sales remain vital to maintaining peace and stability in the Asia-Pacific region after President Donald Trump said he had not yet decided whether to approve a new weapons...

Amazon Faces Class-Action Lawsuit Over Trump Tariff Price Hikes

Amazon.com Inc. (NASDAQ: AMZN) is facing a proposed class-action lawsuit after consumers accused the company of inflating product prices due to tariffs later ruled unlawful by the U.S. Supreme Court. The case, filed in...

Alberta Separatist Movement Faces Major Legal Setback Ahead of Referendum Push

Albertas separatist movement has suffered a significant blow after a provincial court ruled against a petition campaign seeking a referendum on Alberta independence from Canada. The decision creates new uncertainty for...

Science

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

Technology

Samsung Union Talks Enter Final Stage as Strike Threat Looms

Samsung Electronics and its largest labor union are set to resume critical wage negotiations on Monday as both sides race to prevent a major strike that could disrupt South Koreas economy and global semiconductor supply...

SpaceX Shareholders Approve 5-for-1 Stock Split Ahead of Potential IPO

A majority of SpaceX shareholders have reportedly approved a 5-for-1 stock split proposed by the companys board, according to a Bloomberg News report published Friday. The decision comes as interest continues to grow...

FTC Antitrust Probe Targets Arm Holdings Over Chip Licensing Practices

Arm Holdings Plc (NASDAQ: ARM) is reportedly under formal investigation by the U.S. Federal Trade Commission (FTC) over concerns tied to its semiconductor licensing business, according to Bloomberg. The probe marks a...

Applied Materials Forecasts Strong Q3 Revenue as AI Chip Demand Accelerates

Applied Materials posted record fiscal second-quarter revenue on Thursday and issued a stronger-than-expected forecast for the third quarter, fueled by rising global investment in artificial intelligence infrastructure and...

Anthropic Nears $30 Billion Funding Round at $900 Billion Valuation

AI startup Anthropic is reportedly close to securing a massive $30 billion fundraising deal that would value the company at approximately $900 billion, according to a Financial Times report published Friday. The new...