Emerging Market Crisis Series

India’s WPI inflation decelerates in January on drop in food inflation, likely to turn positive in Q1

Feb 15, 2016 08:59 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Indias wholesale price inflation surprisingly decelerated in January; however, it might turn positive in Q1. WPI inflation dropped to -0.9% y/y in January from -0.7% y/y in December, as compared with Bloombergs median...

Thailand’s GDP grows in Q4 on government spending

Feb 15, 2016 06:56 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Thailands GDP grew 0.8% q/q on seasonally adjusted terms in Q4, on par with market expectations and lower than Barclays forecast of 1.2%. On a yearly basis, the nations economy was stable at 2.8%, as compared with Q3s data...

Japan’s economy contracts in Q4 2015 on falling private consumption

Feb 15, 2016 05:57 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Japans economy shrank more than expected in Q4 2015, mainly due to declining private consumption. Before important reforms in the labor market are pushed through, significant convincing turnaround is unlikely. GDP deflator...

Negative Rates Series

Japanese economy back in contraction zone

Feb 15, 2016 05:46 am UTC| Commentary Economy

2015 didnt end well for Japan and BOJ too. According to latest estimate released Japans economy shrank in final quarter of 2015 and more than it was expected. AQs per latest data, Japans GDP shrank by 0.4% in fourth...

How did Britain fall out of love with privatisation?

Feb 13, 2016 10:18 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy

When Labour party leader Jeremy Corbyn flagged up the potential re-nationalisation of British railways, and later made similar comments about the energy industry, his ideas were dismissed as a return to the past. But the...

Emerging Market Crisis Series

2016 - another year of economic contraction in Brazil

Feb 12, 2016 16:45 pm UTC| Commentary Economy

The current recession in Brazil is now the longest since the 1930s and the situation still remains extremely challenging. The Brazilian economy illustrates signs of cyclical and structural weakness. GDP outlook for 2016 is...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome Signs Series: US recession 100 basis points away?

Feb 12, 2016 12:31 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Yes you are reading it right. US treasury market, which has been a successful predictor of US recession in the past is just shy of 100 basis points from indicating a recession. Since 2014, due to lower oil price and...