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Worrisome Signs Series

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Economic activity across the globe is slowing down, and a set of signs are pointing the global economic crisis is probably getting deeper. In this exclusive series we highlight signals from financial market and economy that are hoisting some red flags like market crash, recession over the future growth. Omens indicated in the series of articles however not intended to worry investors and readers but to ring an alarm on what might lie ahead.

Worrisome Signs Series

Systemic banking crisis likely to hamper Portuguese growth, says Barclays

Aug 22, 2016 09:00 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Portugals economic growth is expected to slow down through this year and next, as the country struggles with a systemic banking crisis, the lack of a convincing medium-term fiscal plan and excessive public and private...

Worrisome Signs Series

European debt crisis could be back in focus in October

Aug 22, 2016 07:03 am UTC| Commentary Economy

European debt crisis, which has been haunting the region since 2011 and has been off and on from the limelight could again be back into the light in October, depending on the rating agency DBRS Ltd. DBRS is the only one...

Worrisome Signs Series

US federal deficit reaches USD 112.8 billion in July, likely to reach USD 550 billion by 2016-end

Aug 11, 2016 07:55 am UTC| Commentary Economy

In July, the US federal government has recorded a budget deficit of USD 112.8 billion, consistent with the CBOs forecast of USD 113 billion. The deficit in July has narrowed from July 2015s USD 149.2 billion. CBO stated...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome Signs Series: LMCI urges caution

Aug 05, 2016 11:14 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Labor market condition index (LMCI) that was developed by the U.S. Federal Reserve in 2014 to better track the conditions prevailing in the U.S. labor market is sending worrying signals. The LMCI is derived from a dynamic...

Worrisome Signs Series

Global trade report sends distress signal

Jul 25, 2016 09:42 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Both monetary and fiscal authorities, all around the world expressed concerns over and over again about the Great Moderation, post financial crisis of 2008/09, where exceptionally loose and experimental monetary policies...

Worrisome Signs Series

Perfect storm of events could trigger the next financial crisis

Jul 10, 2016 20:58 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Back in 2007, the first signs of stress in the US housing market were starting to appear. Managed investment funds at Bear Sterns and BNP Paribas were forced to close, or suspend payments, as they were unable to liquidate...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome Signs Series: U.S. less than a percent away from recession

May 16, 2016 07:41 am UTC| Commentary

Over the past four decades and more, one reliable indicator has pointed to recession every time successfully and few years ahead. That indicators is the spread between short dated (2 year) and long dated (10 year) treasury...

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Economy

OPEC+ Expected to Hold November Oil Output Quotas Steady

OPEC+ is expected to keep oil production quotas unchanged for November as the ongoing Middle East conflict continues to disrupt crude supplies from several major producers, according to Bloomberg. Seven key members of the...

High Rates Weigh on U.S. Home Improvement Demand

Uncertainty over interest rates, energy prices, housing affordability and geopolitical risks is pressuring the U.S. home improvement industry in 2026, with Citi analysts warning that sluggish conditions could extend into...

Scope Warns US Debt Could Hit 160% of GDP

Scope Ratings warned that the United States is becoming increasingly vulnerable to shifts in investor sentiment as persistent budget deficits drive government debt and interest costs higher. The European credit ratings...

Bank of America Sees EUR/USD at 1.15 by Year-End

Bank of America expects the euro to strengthen against the U.S. dollar over the coming year, forecasting EUR/USD will reach 1.15 by the end of this year before climbing to 1.20 by the end of 2027, according to a research...

G20 Divided Over US Push to Curb Industrial Overcapacity

A U.S.-led effort to tackle excess industrial capacity and non-market economic policies failed to secure unanimous support from Group of 20 trade ministers, highlighting persistent divisions among the worlds major...

Politics

Bosnia Election Puts EU Bid and Foreign Influence in Focus

Bosnians voted Sunday in national and regional elections that could shape the countrys European Union membership ambitions and the influence of the United States and Russia in the Balkan nation. Voters are choosing members...

Iran Keeps Strait of Hormuz Closed as War Talks Stall

Iran said Sunday that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed until Washington accepts seven conditions tied to the Islamabad Memorandum, as negotiations to end the seven-month U.S.-Israeli war with Iran remain deadlocked....

Russia Strikes Kyiv Bridge as Ukraine Infrastructure Attacks Escalate

Russian forces targeted Kyivs Pivnichnyi Bridge with a drone for a second straight day on Sunday, intensifying attacks on critical infrastructure across Ukraine as fighting continued in several regions. Ukrainian President...

Merz Pledges €1 Billion in Ukraine Aid During Kyiv Visit

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz pledged fresh military and energy support for Ukraine during a visit to Kyiv on Sunday, as Russian strikes triggered air raid sirens and explosions across the Ukrainian capital. Merz met...

Japan Protests to US After Marine Arrested in Okinawa Murder Case

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi lodged a formal protest with the United States on Sunday after a U.S. Marine was arrested in Okinawa on suspicion of robbing and murdering a Japanese woman. Japanese police said Devin...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

UK Warned Over Growing Reliance on US Cloud Providers

Britains increasing dependence on U.S. cloud computing companies for critical government services could create a major strategic and economic vulnerability, lawmakers have warned, raising concerns about data sovereignty...

AI Agents Could Disrupt Financial Services, Bernstein Says

Consumer AI agents could reshape financial services by reducing customer inertia and making it easier to switch between financial products, although trust, data access and regulatory hurdles may slow adoption, according to...

SoftBank Shares Fall After $10 Billion OpenAI Investment

SoftBank Group shares dropped sharply on Friday after the Japanese technology conglomerate completed the final portion of its latest OpenAI investment, lifting its total investment in the artificial intelligence company to...

Amazon Eyes $8 Billion Nvidia Chip Spinoff to Fund AI Expansion

Amazon is exploring a plan to transfer roughly $8 billion worth of advanced Nvidia artificial intelligence chips to outside investors as the technology giant looks for new ways to finance its rapidly expanding AI...

California AG Subpoenas OpenAI Over AI Cybersecurity Incidents

California Attorney General Rob Bonta served OpenAI with an investigative subpoena Wednesday, escalating a state investigation into cybersecurity incidents involving the artificial intelligence company and its models. The...