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Worrisome Signs Series

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Economic activity across the globe is slowing down, and a set of signs are pointing the global economic crisis is probably getting deeper. In this exclusive series we highlight signals from financial market and economy that are hoisting some red flags like market crash, recession over the future growth. Omens indicated in the series of articles however not intended to worry investors and readers but to ring an alarm on what might lie ahead.

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome signs series: Baltic dry index hits record low

Feb 26, 2016 08:54 am UTC| Commentary Economy

In our previous article under the series we discussed about the weakness in global trade that is likely to hinder global growth, citing World Trade Monitor report, which showed global trade contracted by -13.8% in 2015, in...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome signs series: Global trade contracts biggest since 2008/09 crisis

Feb 26, 2016 07:31 am UTC| Commentary Economy

Historically speaking, without recovery in trade there has hardly been any economic and social recovery. So far, since 2008/09 crisis, ultra-loose monetary policy from United States has achieved low unemployment, in US it...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome Signs Series: US recession 100 basis points away?

Feb 12, 2016 12:31 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy

Yes you are reading it right. US treasury market, which has been a successful predictor of US recession in the past is just shy of 100 basis points from indicating a recession. Since 2014, due to lower oil price and...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome signs series – US business cycle coming to end?

Jan 14, 2016 09:11 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Last time US faced business cycle contraction dates back to 2007, at a time of great recession, which finally ended in June 2009 and it has been expanding since then. Though it is very difficult to gauge how the world...

Worrisome Signs Series

Worrisome signs series – Global corporate defaults hit highest since 2008/09 crisis era

Jan 05, 2016 11:06 am UTC| Commentary

According to data from Standard Poor rating agency, global corporate defaults are on the rise and in 2015, it has hit highest since 2009. According 34 year history, as shown in figure default rates move up during...

Worrisome Signs Series

US December ISM manufacturing index signals further contraction

Jan 05, 2016 07:03 am UTC| Commentary

US ISM manufacturing index dropped to 48.2 in December, which marks second month of outright contraction in national manufacturing activity. This release was below consensus expectations of 49.0. This report, which is...

Worrisome Signs Series

China Crisis Series

Chinese stock plunge and next day move – lessons from history

Jan 05, 2016 06:46 am UTC| Commentary

Chinese stock market facing heavy swings today. From more than 3% down to almost 1% up and again back to red, down -2%. Despite all the swings, todays move is relatively small compared to yesterday circuit breaking 7%...

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Economy

OPEC+ Expected to Hold November Oil Output Quotas Steady

OPEC+ is expected to keep oil production quotas unchanged for November as the ongoing Middle East conflict continues to disrupt crude supplies from several major producers, according to Bloomberg. Seven key members of the...

High Rates Weigh on U.S. Home Improvement Demand

Uncertainty over interest rates, energy prices, housing affordability and geopolitical risks is pressuring the U.S. home improvement industry in 2026, with Citi analysts warning that sluggish conditions could extend into...

Scope Warns US Debt Could Hit 160% of GDP

Scope Ratings warned that the United States is becoming increasingly vulnerable to shifts in investor sentiment as persistent budget deficits drive government debt and interest costs higher. The European credit ratings...

Bank of America Sees EUR/USD at 1.15 by Year-End

Bank of America expects the euro to strengthen against the U.S. dollar over the coming year, forecasting EUR/USD will reach 1.15 by the end of this year before climbing to 1.20 by the end of 2027, according to a research...

G20 Divided Over US Push to Curb Industrial Overcapacity

A U.S.-led effort to tackle excess industrial capacity and non-market economic policies failed to secure unanimous support from Group of 20 trade ministers, highlighting persistent divisions among the worlds major...

Politics

Bosnia Election Puts EU Bid and Foreign Influence in Focus

Bosnians voted Sunday in national and regional elections that could shape the countrys European Union membership ambitions and the influence of the United States and Russia in the Balkan nation. Voters are choosing members...

Iran Keeps Strait of Hormuz Closed as War Talks Stall

Iran said Sunday that the Strait of Hormuz will remain closed until Washington accepts seven conditions tied to the Islamabad Memorandum, as negotiations to end the seven-month U.S.-Israeli war with Iran remain deadlocked....

Russia Strikes Kyiv Bridge as Ukraine Infrastructure Attacks Escalate

Russian forces targeted Kyivs Pivnichnyi Bridge with a drone for a second straight day on Sunday, intensifying attacks on critical infrastructure across Ukraine as fighting continued in several regions. Ukrainian President...

Merz Pledges €1 Billion in Ukraine Aid During Kyiv Visit

German Chancellor Friedrich Merz pledged fresh military and energy support for Ukraine during a visit to Kyiv on Sunday, as Russian strikes triggered air raid sirens and explosions across the Ukrainian capital. Merz met...

Japan Protests to US After Marine Arrested in Okinawa Murder Case

Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi lodged a formal protest with the United States on Sunday after a U.S. Marine was arrested in Okinawa on suspicion of robbing and murdering a Japanese woman. Japanese police said Devin...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

UK Warned Over Growing Reliance on US Cloud Providers

Britains increasing dependence on U.S. cloud computing companies for critical government services could create a major strategic and economic vulnerability, lawmakers have warned, raising concerns about data sovereignty...

AI Agents Could Disrupt Financial Services, Bernstein Says

Consumer AI agents could reshape financial services by reducing customer inertia and making it easier to switch between financial products, although trust, data access and regulatory hurdles may slow adoption, according to...

SoftBank Shares Fall After $10 Billion OpenAI Investment

SoftBank Group shares dropped sharply on Friday after the Japanese technology conglomerate completed the final portion of its latest OpenAI investment, lifting its total investment in the artificial intelligence company to...

Amazon Eyes $8 Billion Nvidia Chip Spinoff to Fund AI Expansion

Amazon is exploring a plan to transfer roughly $8 billion worth of advanced Nvidia artificial intelligence chips to outside investors as the technology giant looks for new ways to finance its rapidly expanding AI...

California AG Subpoenas OpenAI Over AI Cybersecurity Incidents

California Attorney General Rob Bonta served OpenAI with an investigative subpoena Wednesday, escalating a state investigation into cybersecurity incidents involving the artificial intelligence company and its models. The...