FX Hedging Strategy Series

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What does EUR/JPY positively skewed 1m IVs mean for hedgers amid cyclical effects of ECB’s bond purchase program?

Nov 28, 2016 09:34 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

We expect the ECB to announce an extension of its bonds purchasing program beyond March 2017 at its last meeting of the year. This step is likely to become even more urgent if it has to stop a further rise of yields on...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Shift in OTC hedging of USD/JPY, Positive risk reversals reasonable as BoJ gets Christmas gifts little swiftly

Nov 28, 2016 06:04 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Bank of Japan (BoJ) got its Christmas presents on 8th November: since the US Presidential elections the yen has been under pressure against USD. Thanks to Trump. As a result, the BoJ can be a little more relaxed when...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Luring option spread trades to bet on risk-off SEK’s appreciation owing to improved economic flashes

Nov 25, 2016 07:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis

In the case of SEK, long positions in USD vols can be advantageously coupled with short vols in the EUR cross. Long gone are the days when the market was testing the Riksbanks nerves in the low 9.0s in EURSEK. The...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: No perplexity by one-off effects in Kiwis trade balance – AUD/NZD delta calls in straps on its efficient functionality, stay firm with hedging conviction

Nov 25, 2016 07:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The Kiwis trade balance for October was -$846m which is better than anticipated, with a stronger than projected export performance. Seasonally adjusted imports increased by 2.1% MoM.The imports were cushioned by a...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: More bearish rout on cards for NZD/USD during Christmas – OTC hedging tools, option strategies and risk reward profile

Nov 25, 2016 06:29 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

We target 0.6812 levels (i.e. 23.6% Fibonacci retracements from the highs of 0.7485 levels) which is sensible based on an assumption the Fed will hike in Dec and the further hiking cycle in 2017 is also on the cards, while...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: CBRT surprises with repo rate to add pressure on lira – 1m HY IVs to stimulate call spreads

Nov 25, 2016 04:35 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Central Bank of Turkey raised its benchmark one-week repo rate by a higher-than-expected 50bps to 8 pct on November 24th and its overnight lending rate by 25 bps to 8.5 pct, while it held its borrowing rate at 7.25...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Should NZD/USD be hedged for bearish risks? A fairly assessment of Kiwis upbeat trade balance flashes, road map ahead for RBNZ and NZD

Nov 25, 2016 02:44 am UTC| Central Banks Commentary

The US dollar index rose to a fresh 14-year high early London but then retraced to be unchanged on the day. The Kiwis trade balance for October was -$846m which is better than anticipated, with a stronger than projected...