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FxWirePro: Overpriced 1w IVs, interest rates differentials keep NZD/USD call writers on upper hand

Sep 14, 2016 07:00 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

1w implied volatilities are flashing at 12.61%, while ATM calls of this time frame are priced at 15.38% more than Net Present Value. Hence, these call options are deemed as overpriced in prevailing bearish...

FxWirePro: Risk reversal trades seem attractive in USD/KRW

Sep 13, 2016 13:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The KRW has rallied significantly in the past three months; typically this would mean sharply lower implied vol and skew. KRW implied vol (1m to 1y) is in the upper half of the 5-year range whereas 25d risk reversals...

A glimpse on US elections, 3m FX HVs and IVs

Sep 13, 2016 12:53 pm UTC| Insights & Views Research & Analysis

The US polls currently give Clinton a 2-5 point advantage over Trump. Polls also highlight a near-record lack of trust in government, which increases the risk of a surprise anti-establishment vote. In the floating...

FxWirePro: MXN cheap valuation versus crude oil, US polls and 1m-3m ATM tenors

Sep 13, 2016 08:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The MXN is around two standard deviations cheap versus oil prices as you can observe in the above chart (based on a weekly regression of FX and oil prices since 2014), while the rest of G10 and EM oil-driven currencies are...

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY spot gains move in sync with 1w OTC bets – Bid bullish RR flashes to deploy shorts in “credit put spreads”

Sep 13, 2016 06:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

As the delta risk reversals of EURJPY have again shown in bullish interests as the progressive increase in positive numbers to signify the traction for short term upside sentiments in 1w expiries but no changes for further...

Moody's: Rated Chinese banks show continued negative performance trend in 1H 2016

Sep 13, 2016 00:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that the 1H 2016 results of its 12 rated listed Chinese banks showed a continued weakening in their overall performance, while some improvements were evident for new problem loan formation,...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Delta hedge on AUD/USD’s bumpy ride as Aussie tumbles despite RBA’s status quo in cash rates

Sep 12, 2016 11:28 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Australian dollar was weaker, AUDUSD continuesto slide down 0.45% at 0.7506 despite the RBA left the cash rate unchanged at 1.5% and provided little forward guidance. The Banks comments on the housing market were...

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Economy

India Services Sector Rebounds in January as New Business Gains Momentum: HSBC PMI Shows Growth

Indias dominant services sector showed a strong rebound in January after slipping to an 11-month low in December, supported by a rise in new business activity, according to the latest HSBC India Services Purchasing...

Asian Currencies Trade Sideways as Dollar Stabilizes, Yen Weakens Ahead of Japan Election

Most Asian currencies traded within a narrow range on Wednesday as the U.S. dollar steadied following a strong rebound over the past week, while the Japanese yen underperformed amid growing political uncertainty ahead of a...

Australia’s Corporate Regulator Urges Pension Funds to Boost Technology Investment as Industry Grows

Australias corporate regulator has warned the countrys rapidly expanding pension fund industry that it must significantly increase investment in systems, technology, and governance to safeguard its future and avoid...

Trump Administration Sued Over Suspension of Critical Hudson River Tunnel Funding

New York and New Jersey have filed an emergency lawsuit against the Trump administration, seeking to restore federal funding for the $16 billion Hudson River tunnel project, a critical piece of U.S. transportation...

Asian Markets Wobble as AI Fears Rattle Stocks, Oil and Gold Rebound

Asian stocks traded on shaky ground on Wednesday as global markets digested sharp losses in U.S. and European equities, driven by growing fears that rapid advances in artificial intelligence could disrupt traditional...

Politics

Illinois Joins WHO Global Outbreak Network After U.S. Exit, Following California’s Lead

Illinois will join the World Health Organizations Global Outbreak Alert and Response Network (GOARN), marking a significant public health move following the United States official withdrawal from the WHO last month....

U.S.-Iran Nuclear Talks Expected in Oman Following Venue Change Request

Nuclear negotiations between the United States and Iran are expected to take place in Oman on Friday, according to a report by Axios journalist Barak Ravid, who cited an Arab source familiar with the matter. The upcoming...

Trump Extends AGOA Trade Program for Africa Through 2026, Supporting Jobs and U.S.-Africa Trade

President Donald Trump has signed legislation extending the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), a key U.S.-Africa trade program, through December 31, 2026. The extension is retroactive from September 30, 2025,...

Australian Scandium Project Backed by Richard Friedland Poised to Support U.S. Critical Minerals Stockpile

An Australian scandium mining project backed by billionaire mining executive Richard Friedland is expected to play a role in the United States newly announced $12 billion critical minerals stockpile, according to comments...

Stephen Miran Resigns as White House Economic Adviser Amid Federal Reserve Tenure

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran has formally resigned from his role as chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), fulfilling a commitment he made to the U.S. Senate as his tenure at the Federal...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Tencent Shares Slide After WeChat Restricts YuanBao AI Promotional Links

Shares of Tencent Holdings (HK:0700) fell sharply on Wednesday after its popular messaging platform WeChat blocked certain promotional links related to YuanBao, the companys artificial intelligence chatbot. The move...

Nvidia Nears $20 Billion OpenAI Investment as AI Funding Race Intensifies

Nvidia is reportedly nearing a major investment deal with OpenAI, signaling a significant development in the global artificial intelligence landscape. According to sources cited by Reuters, the chipmaking giant is in...

Anthropic Eyes $350 Billion Valuation as AI Funding and Share Sale Accelerate

Artificial intelligence startup Anthropic is reportedly preparing a major secondary share sale that would allow some employees to sell shares at a valuation of at least $350 billion, according to a recent Bloomberg report....

AMD Shares Slide Despite Earnings Beat as Cautious Revenue Outlook Weighs on Stock

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) delivered a solid quarterly earnings beat, topping Wall Street expectations on both revenue and profit, yet its stock slipped in extended trading after the company projected a sequential...

Nintendo Shares Slide After Earnings Miss Raises Switch 2 Margin Concerns

Nintendo shares fell sharply on Wednesday after the Japanese gaming giant reported weaker-than-expected fiscal third-quarter results, intensifying investor concerns over profitability and margins tied to its highly...