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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: SNB cautious on US elections as Swiss Franc lingers to appreciate - Bets on EUR/CHF sideways via iron butterfly as OTC functionality lurks

Nov 07, 2016 15:00 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

It does come as a surprise that - contrary to other risk events such as the Brexit referendum etc. - the SNB does not create a buffer of CHF weakness which would prevent the franc from appreciating excessively in the case...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Excessive yen skew premium to generate gap between EUR/USD and EUR/JPY

Nov 07, 2016 12:07 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

The excessive yen skew premium Yen calls are in high demand for all crosses (see above graph) as the market is behaving in a risk-off way. As we wrote here and here, the yen probably met an inflexion point after months of...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: AUD/NZD reverse ratio spread to magnify yields in mounting bearish environment

Nov 07, 2016 08:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis

AUDNZD in short run: The corrective declines have so far retraced over 50% of the Sep/Oct rally. It has scope to extend this retracement to 62% or 1.0440. 10D at the money volatilities of 50% delta calls are just shy...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Bid EUR/USD 3m risk reversal versus ask EUR/JPY 3m RR on competitive edge of IV skews to keep it dynamically delta-hedge

Nov 07, 2016 08:10 am UTC| Research & Analysis

EUR/USD and yen options at each end of the G10 skew. The revived US election risk created an unusual pattern seeing a weaker dollar combined with higher FX volatility, creating opportunities in skew space. The US...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/CAD neutral bullish risk reversals for leveraged setup and to mitigate upside risks ahead of underlying economic news

Nov 04, 2016 12:42 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The fact that market attention will focus less on the US labour market report today may mean that the Canadian labour market report receives more attention. We doubt whether this will turn out to be quite so positive...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedge TRY with knock-outs as uncertainty looms around EMFX ahead of Trump scenario

Nov 04, 2016 10:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The political risk is going to take center stage. The US election presents a major risk for the FX market in the event of a Trump victory that would imply it is high time to look at the question of what an election victory...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedge USD vega exposure as currency appreciation nose-dives to drive gamma performance

Nov 04, 2016 07:46 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The stern US dollar has been strengthening fails to drive gamma performance: fade rich USD vols and skews. This week saw a sharp acceleration in the global sovereign rates bearish steepening, on improved global data...

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Economy

Trump Administration Sued Over Suspension of Critical Hudson River Tunnel Funding

New York and New Jersey have filed an emergency lawsuit against the Trump administration, seeking to restore federal funding for the $16 billion Hudson River tunnel project, a critical piece of U.S. transportation...

Asian Markets Wobble as AI Fears Rattle Stocks, Oil and Gold Rebound

Asian stocks traded on shaky ground on Wednesday as global markets digested sharp losses in U.S. and European equities, driven by growing fears that rapid advances in artificial intelligence could disrupt traditional...

Trump Extends AGOA Trade Program for Africa Through 2026, Supporting Jobs and U.S.-Africa Trade

President Donald Trump has signed legislation extending the African Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA), a key U.S.-Africa trade program, through December 31, 2026. The extension is retroactive from September 30, 2025,...

Australian Scandium Project Backed by Richard Friedland Poised to Support U.S. Critical Minerals Stockpile

An Australian scandium mining project backed by billionaire mining executive Richard Friedland is expected to play a role in the United States newly announced $12 billion critical minerals stockpile, according to comments...

Japan Services Sector Records Fastest Growth in Nearly a Year as Private Activity Accelerates

Japans services sector showed strong momentum at the start of the year, expanding at its fastest pace in nearly 12 months, while overall private sector activity recorded its quickest growth in almost three years. According...

Politics

Stephen Miran Resigns as White House Economic Adviser Amid Federal Reserve Tenure

Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran has formally resigned from his role as chair of the White House Council of Economic Advisers (CEA), fulfilling a commitment he made to the U.S. Senate as his tenure at the Federal...

U.S. Condemns South Africa’s Expulsion of Israeli Diplomat Amid Rising Diplomatic Tensions

The United States has sharply criticized South Africas recent decision to expel Israels top diplomat, calling the move politically motivated and harmful to diplomatic norms. The condemnation was delivered on Tuesday by...

Russia Prepares for Post–New START Era as U.S.-Russia Nuclear Arms Control Nears Collapse

Russia has declared it is prepared for a new global security reality in which there are no U.S.-Russian nuclear arms control limits, as the New START treaty is set to expire this week. The landmark agreement, signed in...

Trump Plans Call With Savannah Guthrie After Mother’s Disappearance, Federal Support Considered

U.S. President Donald Trump said Tuesday that he plans to personally reach out to NBC News anchor Savannah Guthrie following the disappearance of her 84-year-old mother, Nancy Guthrie, a case that authorities now believe...

UK and US Reaffirm Strategic Importance of Diego Garcia Base Amid Chagos Sovereignty Dispute

British Prime Minister Keir Starmer and U.S. President Donald Trump have reaffirmed the strategic importance of the U.S.-UK military air base on Diego Garcia in the Chagos Archipelago, committing to close cooperation to...

Science

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Technology

Nvidia Nears $20 Billion OpenAI Investment as AI Funding Race Intensifies

Nvidia is reportedly nearing a major investment deal with OpenAI, signaling a significant development in the global artificial intelligence landscape. According to sources cited by Reuters, the chipmaking giant is in...

Anthropic Eyes $350 Billion Valuation as AI Funding and Share Sale Accelerate

Artificial intelligence startup Anthropic is reportedly preparing a major secondary share sale that would allow some employees to sell shares at a valuation of at least $350 billion, according to a recent Bloomberg report....

AMD Shares Slide Despite Earnings Beat as Cautious Revenue Outlook Weighs on Stock

Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) delivered a solid quarterly earnings beat, topping Wall Street expectations on both revenue and profit, yet its stock slipped in extended trading after the company projected a sequential...

Nintendo Shares Slide After Earnings Miss Raises Switch 2 Margin Concerns

Nintendo shares fell sharply on Wednesday after the Japanese gaming giant reported weaker-than-expected fiscal third-quarter results, intensifying investor concerns over profitability and margins tied to its highly...

Elon Musk’s SpaceX Acquires xAI in Historic Deal Uniting Space and Artificial Intelligence

Elon Musk announced on Monday that SpaceX has acquired his artificial intelligence startup xAI in a landmark deal that brings together his ambitions in space exploration and advanced AI technology. The acquisition combines...
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