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FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: SNB cautious on US elections as Swiss Franc lingers to appreciate - Bets on EUR/CHF sideways via iron butterfly as OTC functionality lurks

Nov 07, 2016 15:00 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

It does come as a surprise that - contrary to other risk events such as the Brexit referendum etc. - the SNB does not create a buffer of CHF weakness which would prevent the franc from appreciating excessively in the case...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Excessive yen skew premium to generate gap between EUR/USD and EUR/JPY

Nov 07, 2016 12:07 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

The excessive yen skew premium Yen calls are in high demand for all crosses (see above graph) as the market is behaving in a risk-off way. As we wrote here and here, the yen probably met an inflexion point after months of...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: AUD/NZD reverse ratio spread to magnify yields in mounting bearish environment

Nov 07, 2016 08:13 am UTC| Research & Analysis

AUDNZD in short run: The corrective declines have so far retraced over 50% of the Sep/Oct rally. It has scope to extend this retracement to 62% or 1.0440. 10D at the money volatilities of 50% delta calls are just shy...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Bid EUR/USD 3m risk reversal versus ask EUR/JPY 3m RR on competitive edge of IV skews to keep it dynamically delta-hedge

Nov 07, 2016 08:10 am UTC| Research & Analysis

EUR/USD and yen options at each end of the G10 skew. The revived US election risk created an unusual pattern seeing a weaker dollar combined with higher FX volatility, creating opportunities in skew space. The US...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/CAD neutral bullish risk reversals for leveraged setup and to mitigate upside risks ahead of underlying economic news

Nov 04, 2016 12:42 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The fact that market attention will focus less on the US labour market report today may mean that the Canadian labour market report receives more attention. We doubt whether this will turn out to be quite so positive...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedge TRY with knock-outs as uncertainty looms around EMFX ahead of Trump scenario

Nov 04, 2016 10:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis

The political risk is going to take center stage. The US election presents a major risk for the FX market in the event of a Trump victory that would imply it is high time to look at the question of what an election victory...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Hedge USD vega exposure as currency appreciation nose-dives to drive gamma performance

Nov 04, 2016 07:46 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The stern US dollar has been strengthening fails to drive gamma performance: fade rich USD vols and skews. This week saw a sharp acceleration in the global sovereign rates bearish steepening, on improved global data...

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Economy

U.S. Stocks Rise as Cooler Inflation Boosts Hopes for Fed Rate Cut

U.S. stocks ended higher on Friday as a softer inflation reading strengthened expectations that the Federal Reserve could move forward with an interest-rate cut next week. The SP 500 climbed 0.2%, the Dow Jones Industrial...

U.S. Stocks End Week Higher as Markets Anticipate Fed Rate Cut

U.S. stocks closed the week with modest gains on Friday, as investors weighed a wave of delayed economic data and maintained strong expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate cut at next weeks policy meeting. Despite...

Trump Meets Mexico and Canada Leaders After 2026 World Cup Draw Amid USMCA Tensions

U.S. President Donald Trump met with Mexican President Claudia Sheinbaum and Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney in Washington on Friday, holding private talks focused on trade, immigration, and regional cooperation. The...

Gold Prices Edge Higher as Markets Await Key U.S. PCE Inflation Data

Gold prices moved higher in Asian trading on Friday, supported by a weakening U.S. dollar and strong expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates at its upcoming December 910 meeting. Spot gold rose 0.5%...

Asia’s IPO Market Set for Strong Growth as China and India Drive Investor Diversification

Asias equity capital markets are poised for another strong year as a surge of high-profile IPOs from China and India attracts global investors seeking diversification beyond U.S. assets. In 2025, Asian ECM...

Politics

Trump Backs Review of U.S. Childhood Vaccine Schedule After Hepatitis B Policy Change

President Donald Trump on Friday expressed support for a major shift in U.S. vaccine policy after government advisers voted to eliminate the long-standing recommendation that all newborns receive the hepatitis B vaccine at...

Cuba Quietly Signals Openness to Post-Maduro Venezuela as U.S. Pressure Intensifies

U.S. pressure on Venezuela has triggered discreet outreach from figures inside the Cuban government, according to two sources familiar with the sensitive communications. The individuals, who requested anonymity, said that...

Escalating Conflict in Eastern Congo Despite U.S.-Brokered Peace Efforts

Fighting intensified across eastern Democratic Republic of Congo on Friday, just a day after U.S. President Donald Trump met with Congolese President Felix Tshisekedi and Rwandan President Paul Kagame in Washington. The...

Honduras Awaits Final Election Results as Asfura Holds Slim Lead Amid U.S. Attention

Honduras presidential race tightened further on Friday as conservative candidate Nasry Asfura maintained a razor-thin lead while vote counting stretched into a sixth day. With 87.84% of ballots counted, the National Party...

Trump’s New U.S. Strategy Seeks to Deter China and Protect Taiwan

President Donald Trumps administration has outlined a strengthened U.S. strategy aimed at preventing conflict with China over Taiwan and the South China Sea by expanding American and allied military power. The latest...

Science

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Trump and Merck KGaA Partner to Slash IVF Drug Costs and Expand Fertility Coverage

U.S. President Donald Trump and German pharmaceutical company Merck KGaA have announced a groundbreaking deal aimed at lowering the cost of in-vitro fertilization (IVF) treatments while boosting access to fertility care in...

Technology

Taiwan Opposition Criticizes Plan to Block Chinese App Rednote Over Security Concerns

Taiwans political landscape heated up after the government announced a plan to suspend access to the Chinese social media platform Rednoteknown as Xiaohongshufor one year. The interior ministry said the proposed ban stems...

EU Prepares Antitrust Probe Into Meta’s AI Integration on WhatsApp

The European Commission is reportedly preparing to launch a new antitrust investigation into Meta Platforms Inc. (NASDAQ: META) over the companys recent rollout of artificial intelligence features within WhatsApp....

Sam Altman Reportedly Explored Funding for Rocket Venture in Potential Challenge to SpaceX

OpenAI CEO Sam Altman reportedly explored raising significant capital to acquire or partner with a rocket company, a move that could have created direct competition with Elon Musks SpaceX. According to a report from the...

Wikipedia Pushes for AI Licensing Deals as Jimmy Wales Calls for Fair Compensation

Wikipedia is seeking additional licensing deals with major technology companies to address the growing financial burden caused by artificial intelligence firms heavily scraping its platform, according to co-founder Jimmy...

Firelight Launches as First XRP Staking Platform on Flare, Introduces DeFi Cover Feature

Firelight reaches 25M XRP deposit cap within hours of launch; ushers in a new era for decentralized XRP staking. A new XRP staking platform, Firelight, has officially launched on the Flare blockchain, marking the first...