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FxWirePro: Hedge AUD/NZD bullish risks via options straps as expectations of RBNZ’s OCR cut intensify, IVs to favour holders

Aug 10, 2016 06:52 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks

As early as March the central bank had cut rates due to the strong NZD. And only last month it pointed out that the kiwi is still trading approx. 6% stronger on a trade-weighted basis than it had assumed in its...

FxWirePro: Bidding USD/JPY implied volatilities and RR versus buying time signals OTM put strikes amid Fed’s deferral stances

Aug 09, 2016 13:07 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Volatility shocks and the passage of time have opposite effects on the value of a vanilla option (see ATM strikes on USDJPY options). When it can benefit from more volatility (long vega and gamma on OTM put strikes), time...

FxWirePro: EUR/CHF tepid OTC functions move in sync with underlying spot - Iron butterfly spreads to fetch certain yield

Aug 09, 2016 13:00 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The swiss franc against counterparts has appreciated aftermath Brexit series, but EURCHF has been an exception and trading between in a 1.0715-1.0950 range from last 1 month or so. Short term risk sentiment will...

FxWirePro: Trade “USD/CAD diagonal debit call spreads” as 1m RR evidences bullish hedging interests, IV skews towards OTM call strikes

Aug 09, 2016 11:22 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Any rate hikes by the Fed or any hawkish statements are viewed as bearish for CAD, which struggles to compete with high-yield bearing assets in rising rate environments. USDCAD was almost unchanged at 1.3165. Sentiment...

FxWirePro: Is Italy next potential threat to Eurozone in H2'2016 and 2017? Mounting hedging sentiments in euro exposures

Aug 08, 2016 12:58 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

On-going euro turbulence: The main risks events are now in Europe (ECB in September, Italian referendum, immigration tensions) and in the US (Jackson Hole, presidential election): this should support EUR/USD...

FxWirePro: A what if analysis on NZD/USD hedging framework with “Sure and Fire option strips”

Aug 08, 2016 12:36 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

NZD OTC market functions are likely to intensify contemplating upcoming RBNZ OCR cut in its monetary policy by 25 bps to keep it at 2.00%. As a result of this speculation in the FX market, the New Zealand dollar moved...

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY cast-iron hedge at the OTM strike capitalizing 1m RR, worse than “Outright Forward rate” if unleveraged

Aug 08, 2016 08:06 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

As the delta risk reversals have again shown in bearish interests as the progressive increase in negative numbers signify the traction for hedging sentiments for further downside risks in both short and long term. Amid...

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Economy

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

Extraordinary Vietnam fraud case exposes the inherent vulnerabilities of banks

The financial crisis of 2008 showed just how much the world depends on banks being well run. Since then, regulators have been given new powers to keep some of the biggest institutions on a much shorter leash to stamp out...

Politics

US Urges China, Russia to Reject AI Control in Nuclear Arms, Align with Global Norms

Paul Dean, a senior U.S. arms control official, emphasized the critical need for China and Russia to join the U.S. in declaring that humans will always decide on the deployment of nuclear weapons, not artificial...

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

History for sale: what does South Africa’s struggle heritage mean after 30 years of democracy?

One of my favourite statues is the one of Nelson Mandela at the Sandton City shopping centre in Johannesburg. Larger than life, its oversized bronze shoes shimmer in the evening light, polished by the hands of many...

Sudan: civil war stretches into a second year with no end in sight

In the early hours of April 15 2023, the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) a Sudanese paramilitary force attacked the military airstrip in the town of Merowe and deployed troops across strategic locations in Sudans capital,...

Military conscription is returning to Europe, but is it really a more equal way of mobilising? What history tells us

The idea that conscription, defined as the compulsory enlistment of citizens for military service, can increase equality and instil a sense of solidarity that transcends traditional societal divides has echoed throughout...

Science

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Could a telescope ever see the beginning of time? An astronomer explains

The James Webb Space Telescope, or JWST for short, is one of the most advanced telescopes ever built. Planning for JWST began over 25 years ago, and construction efforts spanned over a decade. It was launched into space on...

US media coverage of new science less likely to mention researchers with African and East Asian names

When one Chinese national recently petitioned the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services to become a permanent resident, he thought his chances were pretty good. As an accomplished biologist, he figured that news...

Technology

Solana's Future Anchored in Four Key Pillars, Developer Outlines Strategy

Vibhu Norby, CEO of Drip Haus, has outlined four essential pillars to define Solanas path forward amid a dynamic period of growth and challenges in the blockchain space. Key Strategies for Solanas Scaling and User...

Shiba Inu Magazine Details Upcoming Shibarium Hard Fork Enhancements

Shiba Inu (SHIB) lovers will get a full description of the highly anticipated Shibarium hard fork in the most recent issue of The Shib magazine. On International Workers Day, the magazine begins with a rallying cry for the...

2025 Sees SK hynix's HBM Chips Fully Booked Amidst AI Surge

SK hynix, a key player in the artificial intelligence (AI) services sector, made a significant announcement on Thursday. HBM Sales Reflect SK hynixs Market Leadership Its high-bandwidth memory (HBM) processors,...

Bitcoin Price May Consolidate for Two Months Post-Halving, Says Bitfinex

As the cryptocurrency market adjusts to the latest Bitcoin halving, analysts from Bitfinex forecast a price consolidation period of up to two months, with significant price fluctuations expected within this...

Former PayPal President Predicts Bitcoin as AI's Future Currency

Amid fluctuating prices, former PayPal President David Marcus champions Bitcoin as the native currency of AI at the Bitcoin for Corporations 2024 event, rekindling interest and optimism in the cryptocurrencys long-term...