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FxWirePro: Crude price oscillation and NAFTA frictions in 2018 to offer cheap vol trading prospects

Dec 27, 2017 09:57 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Crude oil withstood a wild ride over the past two weeks, first breaking above $65/bbl (Brent) on news of the Forties pipeline outage but collapsing after on increased rhetoric around exit strategy from the current...

FxWirePro: Yen crosses to lure in range-bounded trend with tepid ATM IVs – DNTs highly appealing on eve of New-Year

Dec 27, 2017 08:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We find that yen crosses have strong potential for successful double no-touch (DNT) trades in 2018. Before we proceed further into the core area of this write-up, lets just glance through the technicals of the...

FxWirePro: Sterling bulls never jump the guns, Brexit headwinds to revolve around UK currency in 2018 too – Options straps to tight hedge

Dec 27, 2017 07:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

No doubt, GBPUSD has been performing considerably well in the consolidation phase of its major trend. However, the question is that road ahead for sterling in 2018 remains clear. Almost three quarters after the UK began...

FxWirePro: Sterling stuck in range again – Capitalize on low vols and 1m skews for certain yields in strangle writing

Dec 27, 2017 06:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Sterling constricts in the range: Cable seems to remain in range-bounded trend, it has been oscillating between 1.3300 pivot support and the 1.3550 reaction highs set at the end of November. Further range trading is...

FxWirePro: Spot Swiss Franc’s bearishness perhaps, but not foolishness amid adamance between ECB and SNB - Smart directional hedging for EUR/CHF and USD/CHF risks

Dec 26, 2017 12:39 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

EURCHF depends on euro direction. The EURCHF finally managed to break above the 1.12 ceiling over the summer as it was carried aloft by the broad euro rally. Currently, flying on to multi-month highs, further advances will...

FxWirePro: Crude oil projections for 2018 and petro-bloc FX strategies

Dec 26, 2017 11:10 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Crude oil seems to be in a higher range in 2018, the oil balance would likely constrict and inventories draw, on a likely 9-month extension of the OPEC-Russia accord and amid continued firm demand growth. The speed at...

FxWirePro: A bid adieu to 2017 and roadmap ahead for 2018

Dec 26, 2017 10:04 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

There is no doubt what is right at the top of the future Fed chair Jerome Powells wish list for Father Christmas. Exactly the same that his predecessor Janet Yellen had probably already asked for the previous year:...

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Economy

Goldman Sachs, ANZ Cut Oil Forecasts Amid U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Hopes

Brent crude oil prices have tumbled more than 11% this week after the United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, raising hopes that the Strait of Hormuz one of the worlds most critical oil shipping lanes ...

Bank of Japan Governor Signals Accommodative Stance Amid Negative Real Rates

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed on Thursday that Japans real interest rates remain firmly in negative territory, signaling that the countrys financial conditions continue to support economic growth. His...

Japan Consumer Confidence Drops Sharply Amid Rising Fuel Costs and Middle East Tensions

Japans consumer confidence took a significant hit in March, declining for the first time in three months as escalating fuel costs linked to the ongoing Middle East conflict continued to weigh heavily on the countrys...

China Set to Exit Deflation Cycle in Early 2026, ANZ Analysts Say

China may be closer to ending its prolonged deflationary period than financial markets currently anticipate, according to a recent note from ANZ analysts. The bank projects that three key price indicators the producer...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady as Middle East Ceasefire Doubts Weigh on Markets

Asian currencies showed little movement on Thursday following strong gains in the prior session, as investor caution mounted over the stability of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire deal amid escalating Middle East tensions. The U.S....

Politics

Trump Warns Iran: No Deal Means Military Action as U.S. Forces Hold Position

President Donald Trump escalated tensions with Iran on Wednesday, declaring that all U.S. military assets including ships, aircraft, and personnel would remain stationed in the region until a formal agreement with Tehran...

U.S. Pushes for Crypto Regulation to Keep Digital Asset Growth at Home

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is calling on Congress to pass landmark federal cryptocurrency legislation, warning that regulatory uncertainty is pushing blockchain innovation and investment out of the United States. In...

North Korea Tests Advanced Cluster Bombs, Electromagnetic Weapons in Latest Military Display

North Korea has conducted a series of weapons tests this week, showcasing cutting-edge military technology including cluster-bomb warheads, electromagnetic weapons, and carbon-fibre bombs, according to state media outlet...

Trump Pardon Clears Juan Orlando Hernández as U.S. Court Dismisses Drug Conviction Appeal

A U.S. federal appeals court has dismissed the case against former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández, vacating his prior conviction following a presidential pardon granted by Donald Trump in December. The...

Taiwan Defense Budget: U.S. Senator Urges Legislature to Pass Spending Plan

Republican Senator Jim Banks visited Taipei and delivered a direct message to Taiwans President Lai Ching-te: the islands parliament must stop stalling and approve a proposed special defense budget. Banks, a member of the...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

Bank of America Identifies Top Asia-Pacific Semiconductor Stocks Poised for AI-Driven Growth

Bank of America has spotlighted a select group of Asia-Pacific semiconductor companies well-positioned to ride the wave of surging artificial intelligence chip demand, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company...

China's AI Stocks Surge as Zhipu and MiniMax Hit Record Highs

Chinese artificial intelligence stocks continued their remarkable rally on Thursday, with Zhipu AI and MiniMax Group posting strong gains in Hong Kong trading as a wave of new model launches and product announcements...

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Posts Strong Q3 Earnings, Announces AI-Driven Job Cuts

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank delivered an impressive financial performance in its third quarter, reporting a 12.8% surge in cash earnings to A$137.9 million for the three months ending March 31. The result came in roughly 12%...

Alibaba Shares Slide as Jefferies Slashes Price Target Over AI Spending and Business Losses

Alibabas Hong Kong-listed shares (HK:9988) dropped 2.9% to HK$122.70 on Thursday, emerging as one of the heaviest drags on the Hang Seng Index, which closed 0.6% lower. The selloff came after investment bank Jefferies...

Anthropic Fights Pentagon Blacklisting in Dual Federal Court Battles

A federal appeals court in Washington, D.C., has refused to halt the Pentagons national security blacklisting of AI company Anthropic, delivering a temporary win for the Trump administration. The ruling comes as another...