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FxWirePro: Global equity sell-offs prompt FX vols – An EUR/USD hedging perspective

Feb 15, 2018 06:58 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The violent sell-off in equities has lifted FX vols to fair value. Past vol recovery cycles suggest that the correction has further to run before vols plateau at a higher level. Global equities are now down on the year...

Announcement: Moody's: Azerbaijan's credit profile affected by legacy effects of oil shock and limited diversification, despite rebound in oil prices

Feb 13, 2018 01:14 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that Azerbaijans (Ba2 stable) GDP growth and fiscal revenue will benefit from higher oil prices, but the legacy effects of the 2014-16 oil shock that significantly and durably hit the...

FxWirePro: Delta calls for USD/TRY hedging on hawkish CBRT’s revised inflationary forecasts

Jan 31, 2018 13:02 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

In its latest Inflation Report, CBRT did the obvious and revised up its year-end inflation forecast from 7% to 7.9%. But, this compares with market expectations in the 9% range. CBRT also revised up its end-2019 inflation...

FxWirePro: USD/BRL/JPY vega spreads to tackle high beta JPY

Jan 31, 2018 12:37 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The weak US dollar was the chief driver of the bounce, accounting for almost three-quarters of the rise in the value of global reserves. Beyond dollar weakness, global imbalances remain persistent and have been another...

FxWirePro: A bird’s eye-view on global crude forecasts turning the table and WTI-Brent spreads

Jan 31, 2018 11:01 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

If you glance through the crude oil prices (Brent) that have risen by 16% especially in 4Q17 and over 13% since mid-December 2017. Given the latest rally swiftly catching up on two of our last upward revisions, we have...

FxWirePro: Deploy debit call spread to hedge WTI crude’s risks ahead of EIA inventory check

Jan 31, 2018 10:15 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Global crude oil prices have steadied at close to $70/bbl in recent weeks and have pushed to fresh three-year highs while articulating. Current prices have been slightly edgy extending losses into a third session, amid...

FxWirePro: A glimpse though FX options market amid Italian election risks

Jan 31, 2018 08:34 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

There is a late swing in the Italian opinion polls in favour of MS5. While holding forecasts unchanged, we have established a decent long EUR position in the macro portfolio (vs JPY, NZD, and an EURUSD proxy). The...

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Economy

Goldman Sachs, ANZ Cut Oil Forecasts Amid U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Hopes

Brent crude oil prices have tumbled more than 11% this week after the United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, raising hopes that the Strait of Hormuz one of the worlds most critical oil shipping lanes ...

Bank of Japan Governor Signals Accommodative Stance Amid Negative Real Rates

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed on Thursday that Japans real interest rates remain firmly in negative territory, signaling that the countrys financial conditions continue to support economic growth. His...

Japan Consumer Confidence Drops Sharply Amid Rising Fuel Costs and Middle East Tensions

Japans consumer confidence took a significant hit in March, declining for the first time in three months as escalating fuel costs linked to the ongoing Middle East conflict continued to weigh heavily on the countrys...

China Set to Exit Deflation Cycle in Early 2026, ANZ Analysts Say

China may be closer to ending its prolonged deflationary period than financial markets currently anticipate, according to a recent note from ANZ analysts. The bank projects that three key price indicators the producer...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady as Middle East Ceasefire Doubts Weigh on Markets

Asian currencies showed little movement on Thursday following strong gains in the prior session, as investor caution mounted over the stability of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire deal amid escalating Middle East tensions. The U.S....

Politics

Trump Warns Iran: No Deal Means Military Action as U.S. Forces Hold Position

President Donald Trump escalated tensions with Iran on Wednesday, declaring that all U.S. military assets including ships, aircraft, and personnel would remain stationed in the region until a formal agreement with Tehran...

U.S. Pushes for Crypto Regulation to Keep Digital Asset Growth at Home

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is calling on Congress to pass landmark federal cryptocurrency legislation, warning that regulatory uncertainty is pushing blockchain innovation and investment out of the United States. In...

North Korea Tests Advanced Cluster Bombs, Electromagnetic Weapons in Latest Military Display

North Korea has conducted a series of weapons tests this week, showcasing cutting-edge military technology including cluster-bomb warheads, electromagnetic weapons, and carbon-fibre bombs, according to state media outlet...

Trump Pardon Clears Juan Orlando Hernández as U.S. Court Dismisses Drug Conviction Appeal

A U.S. federal appeals court has dismissed the case against former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández, vacating his prior conviction following a presidential pardon granted by Donald Trump in December. The...

Taiwan Defense Budget: U.S. Senator Urges Legislature to Pass Spending Plan

Republican Senator Jim Banks visited Taipei and delivered a direct message to Taiwans President Lai Ching-te: the islands parliament must stop stalling and approve a proposed special defense budget. Banks, a member of the...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

Bank of America Identifies Top Asia-Pacific Semiconductor Stocks Poised for AI-Driven Growth

Bank of America has spotlighted a select group of Asia-Pacific semiconductor companies well-positioned to ride the wave of surging artificial intelligence chip demand, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company...

China's AI Stocks Surge as Zhipu and MiniMax Hit Record Highs

Chinese artificial intelligence stocks continued their remarkable rally on Thursday, with Zhipu AI and MiniMax Group posting strong gains in Hong Kong trading as a wave of new model launches and product announcements...

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Posts Strong Q3 Earnings, Announces AI-Driven Job Cuts

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank delivered an impressive financial performance in its third quarter, reporting a 12.8% surge in cash earnings to A$137.9 million for the three months ending March 31. The result came in roughly 12%...

Alibaba Shares Slide as Jefferies Slashes Price Target Over AI Spending and Business Losses

Alibabas Hong Kong-listed shares (HK:9988) dropped 2.9% to HK$122.70 on Thursday, emerging as one of the heaviest drags on the Hang Seng Index, which closed 0.6% lower. The selloff came after investment bank Jefferies...

Anthropic Fights Pentagon Blacklisting in Dual Federal Court Battles

A federal appeals court in Washington, D.C., has refused to halt the Pentagons national security blacklisting of AI company Anthropic, delivering a temporary win for the Trump administration. The ruling comes as another...