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FxWirePro: FX options triangles for dollar softness ahead of central banks’ actions in H1’2018

Mar 06, 2018 09:24 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

A likely by-product of the loss of USD momentum is a pause or even a modest reversal in USD-correlations that have surged this year due to across-the-board dollar weakness. We do not expect any de-correlation to be very...

FxWirePro: Spotlight on VIX, high beta theme and Vega spreads for triplets

Mar 06, 2018 06:55 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The currency market has been acting as the adjustment factor between countries positioned at different parts of the economic cycle clock. It has been one of the few assets on which carrying long volatility positions has...

FxWirePro: Spotlight on Turkish Lira and USD/TRY derivatives trades

Mar 05, 2018 14:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Turkey published CPI data for February this morning. The market expected continued improvement after a favorable reading in January. However, the headline inflation rate didnt moderate notably, standing at 10.26% after...

FxWirePro: Stay long in well priced Vega NZD, CHF, and SGD

Mar 05, 2018 14:03 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Long vega priced well in NZD, CHF and SGD: Amid heightened sensitivity of macro markets to US inflation data and increasing discomfort about the twin US deficits FX vols should remain supported. FX vol ownership at belly...

FxWirePro: Bid EUR/JPY 6M risk reversals for delta hedging, 3m skews for vanilla puts and RVs for directional traders

Mar 05, 2018 12:42 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

It was almost to be expected. Following the parliamentary elections, the political situation in Italy seems to be unclear. Even if the results are still unclear the polls currently suggest: The bad outcome for the...

FxWirePro: AUD/CAD bearish trade setup via 6m debit put spread

Mar 05, 2018 11:43 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

In this write-up, we emphasize on our medium-term bearish AUDCAD trade, structured as a 6m put spread, is predicated on policy rate and commodity divergence. However, the trade has underperformed to-date in part on a...

FxWirePro: Short resilient sterling trades - Sell GBP/CHF in spot, buy 1Y EUR/GBP vol swap

Mar 05, 2018 08:20 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

A tactical short in GBPCHF has been initiated in response to the volatility shock as the UK has the heaviest reliance on short-term funding flows of any major economy (the UKs current account deficit was largely funded by...

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Economy

Goldman Sachs, ANZ Cut Oil Forecasts Amid U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Hopes

Brent crude oil prices have tumbled more than 11% this week after the United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, raising hopes that the Strait of Hormuz one of the worlds most critical oil shipping lanes ...

Bank of Japan Governor Signals Accommodative Stance Amid Negative Real Rates

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed on Thursday that Japans real interest rates remain firmly in negative territory, signaling that the countrys financial conditions continue to support economic growth. His...

Japan Consumer Confidence Drops Sharply Amid Rising Fuel Costs and Middle East Tensions

Japans consumer confidence took a significant hit in March, declining for the first time in three months as escalating fuel costs linked to the ongoing Middle East conflict continued to weigh heavily on the countrys...

China Set to Exit Deflation Cycle in Early 2026, ANZ Analysts Say

China may be closer to ending its prolonged deflationary period than financial markets currently anticipate, according to a recent note from ANZ analysts. The bank projects that three key price indicators the producer...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady as Middle East Ceasefire Doubts Weigh on Markets

Asian currencies showed little movement on Thursday following strong gains in the prior session, as investor caution mounted over the stability of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire deal amid escalating Middle East tensions. The U.S....

Politics

Trump Warns Iran: No Deal Means Military Action as U.S. Forces Hold Position

President Donald Trump escalated tensions with Iran on Wednesday, declaring that all U.S. military assets including ships, aircraft, and personnel would remain stationed in the region until a formal agreement with Tehran...

U.S. Pushes for Crypto Regulation to Keep Digital Asset Growth at Home

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is calling on Congress to pass landmark federal cryptocurrency legislation, warning that regulatory uncertainty is pushing blockchain innovation and investment out of the United States. In...

North Korea Tests Advanced Cluster Bombs, Electromagnetic Weapons in Latest Military Display

North Korea has conducted a series of weapons tests this week, showcasing cutting-edge military technology including cluster-bomb warheads, electromagnetic weapons, and carbon-fibre bombs, according to state media outlet...

Trump Pardon Clears Juan Orlando Hernández as U.S. Court Dismisses Drug Conviction Appeal

A U.S. federal appeals court has dismissed the case against former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández, vacating his prior conviction following a presidential pardon granted by Donald Trump in December. The...

Taiwan Defense Budget: U.S. Senator Urges Legislature to Pass Spending Plan

Republican Senator Jim Banks visited Taipei and delivered a direct message to Taiwans President Lai Ching-te: the islands parliament must stop stalling and approve a proposed special defense budget. Banks, a member of the...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

Bank of America Identifies Top Asia-Pacific Semiconductor Stocks Poised for AI-Driven Growth

Bank of America has spotlighted a select group of Asia-Pacific semiconductor companies well-positioned to ride the wave of surging artificial intelligence chip demand, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company...

China's AI Stocks Surge as Zhipu and MiniMax Hit Record Highs

Chinese artificial intelligence stocks continued their remarkable rally on Thursday, with Zhipu AI and MiniMax Group posting strong gains in Hong Kong trading as a wave of new model launches and product announcements...

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Posts Strong Q3 Earnings, Announces AI-Driven Job Cuts

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank delivered an impressive financial performance in its third quarter, reporting a 12.8% surge in cash earnings to A$137.9 million for the three months ending March 31. The result came in roughly 12%...

Alibaba Shares Slide as Jefferies Slashes Price Target Over AI Spending and Business Losses

Alibabas Hong Kong-listed shares (HK:9988) dropped 2.9% to HK$122.70 on Thursday, emerging as one of the heaviest drags on the Hang Seng Index, which closed 0.6% lower. The selloff came after investment bank Jefferies...

Anthropic Fights Pentagon Blacklisting in Dual Federal Court Battles

A federal appeals court in Washington, D.C., has refused to halt the Pentagons national security blacklisting of AI company Anthropic, delivering a temporary win for the Trump administration. The ruling comes as another...