FxWirePro: Taiwanese dollar appears to be more rates sensitive – Uphold USD/TWD longs

Sep 13, 2016 07:11 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

We emphasize potential trading opportunities related to anomalies or dislocations in emerging market currencies. TWD has been too strong versus rate differentials, The TWD is more correlated to interest rate...

FxWirePro: EUR/JPY spot gains move in sync with 1w OTC bets – Bid bullish RR flashes to deploy shorts in “credit put spreads”

Sep 13, 2016 06:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

As the delta risk reversals of EURJPY have again shown in bullish interests as the progressive increase in positive numbers to signify the traction for short term upside sentiments in 1w expiries but no changes for further...

FxWirePro: Directional traders short USD/BRL gamma via calendar spreads

Sep 12, 2016 12:46 pm UTC| Insights & Views

One of a handful of currencies where we do not mind earning the fat vol carry on offer is BRL. Front-end USDBRL vols have popped higher over the past two weeks alongside a bounce in thespot, and are once again packing in a...

FxWirePro: EUR/USD and EUR/JPY implied correlations collapse to 15-year lows

Sep 12, 2016 12:10 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

In correlation space, around 20% (see above chart), with USDJPY vols having taken off since early June in anticipation of the September BoJ meeting even as EURUSD and EURJPY vols have floundered. One interpretation of...

Downside risks to inflation outlook likely to keep BoC on an accommodative monetary policy stance

Sep 12, 2016 09:50 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks Economy

Canadian economy started 2016 on a strong footing, growing 0.6 percent q/q in Q1. However, it was unable to sustain the strong momentum into Q2. Oil production downtime caused by the wildfires was the main drag. That said,...

FxWirePro: Stay long in USD/TWD 3m NDFs carrying attractive risk reward ratio

Sep 12, 2016 07:28 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

Initiate long in USDTWD at spot reference 31.75 entered via 3m NDF with a stop target of 33.14 (+4.3%) and a stop slightly below the recent low at 30.99 (-2.3%). The trade horizon would be 3-4 months. With negative...

FxWirePro: USD/TWD longs seem appealing on both the Fed and China angles

Sep 12, 2016 06:50 am UTC| Insights & Views

We encourage longs in USDTWD on its attractive carry and China exposure sentiment toward EM currencies could be in the procedure of shifting and we prefer to focus on regional low yielders in expressing a bullish dollar...