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Sun, May 05, 2024 03:02 PM All times are UTC

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Supply glut and global slowdown hamper commodity currencies - AUD, BRL, CAD & NZD among the major susceptible crosses

Feb 10, 2016 07:52 am UTC| Insights & Views

The pressure remians during 2016 amongcommodity drivencurrencies - iron ore for AUD and BRL, copper for CLP, dairy for NZD - supply growth in 2016 will be below the peak rates of the past few years but still too strong to...

EUR/USD 1M IVs rise to highest since early December at around 11 pct, risk reversal favors dollar again

Feb 09, 2016 13:05 pm UTC| Insights & Views

As we saw in our recent risk reversal computation of EURUSD, we may see little upside movements but those rallies may lose momentum and holds stronger for next 1 month or so, certainly not in a long run.Please be noted...

Oil in Global Economy Series

Crude seems to shrugs off Russian talks with OPEC – target $25 back in on action

Feb 09, 2016 12:31 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Over the past couple of days, every now and then Russia has apparently raised the proposals for a 5% curtail in the production beside OPEC, this advancement has brought in a little relief in crude price over the short term...

Currency Peg Series

Renminbi Series

CNY devaluation fears adding pressure on EM currency pegs; will it trigger competitive devaluation?

Feb 09, 2016 11:53 am UTC| Insights & Views

China and Japan are the largest economies in Asia and currency movements in these countries are likely to have crucial implications for the whole region. Most Asian currencies are managed floats, but a few pegs remain in...

FxWirePro: WTI crude tests support at neckline of head and shoulder, trend indicators signal downtrend to prolong

Feb 09, 2016 11:48 am UTC| Insights & Views

Price curve has been moving "Head and shoulder pattern" but has tested the neckline support at 29.53 levels. HS with peak at 33.78 and right shoulder at 32.72 and left shoulder at 32.50.Although it seems like this...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Brazilian debt to GDP resembles Greece crisis but need not panic, hedge USD/BRL upside risks via bull call spreads

Feb 08, 2016 09:53 am UTC| Insights & Views

Off late retracements in USD versus emerging market currencies looks overdone, but BRL will likely underperform on any risk-off event. We foresee BRL as one of the most vulnerable currencies because of looming...

China Crisis Series

Renminbi Series

Decline in Chinese FX Reserves - No exciting celebration during Chinese New year

Feb 08, 2016 09:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Central Banks

Foreign exchange reserves in China declined $99.5bn to $3.23tn in January of 2016, slightly lower than the monthly fall of $107.9bn in December, which was the biggest on record. The China international reserve number...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Crypto.com's F1 Sponsorship Expansion Sparks Global Visibility Drive

Crypto.com, one of the top exchanges in the digital currency ecosystem, is set to expand its sporting ad budget. Notably, the trading platform is looking to expand its dominance in its push for global...

Stablecoins Set to Overtake Visa, Ripple CEO Affirms XRP and ETH Not Securities

Stablecoins are poised to challenge Visas dominance in payment volume, marking a significant shift in the crypto landscape. Meanwhile, Ripple CEO Brad Garlinghouse asserts that XRP and Ethereum (ETH) are not securities,...

Justin Sun Dominates Swell L2 with 46% of Deposits in eETH

Justin Sun, founder of Tron, has again surged into the limelight, this time for his colossal cryptocurrency deposits. The crypto tycoon, utilizing the pseudonymous address 0x7a9…3095, recently funneled a staggering...

Leaked: New Huawei Luxeed SUV Images Fuel Anticipation for Tech Upgrades

Recently leaked photos allegedly showcasing the Huawei Luxeed SUV have ignited speculation over the vehicles advanced features and smart technology, potentially setting a new benchmark in the automotive...

Bitfinex CTO Deems Database Breach Claims 'Fake' Amidst Hacker Allegations

Bitfinexs Chief Technology Officer Paolo Ardoino has cast doubts on claims of a database breach by hacker organization FSOCIETY, branding the allegations as fake. Ardoino refuted the purported leak of 22,500 user emails...