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FxWirePro: External anomalies engulf around Mexican peso, can these factors stem in extra risk on USD/MXN?

Mar 06, 2017 11:38 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Following the Fed minutes last week, the low signal-to-noise ratio delivered from Washington, and the latest global cyclical data, we see fewer catalysts that would push LatAm currencies weaker versus the USD over the...

FxWirePro: Japanese debt fund yields up for roller coaster ride on feeble Mexican peso – No “RORO” in LatAm sovereign debt

Mar 06, 2017 10:37 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The JGB curve bull flattened this week as market sentiment turned positive in the wake of the 20y auction on last Thursday. Mexico is becoming a favored destination for yield-hungry Japanese investors as the pesos...

FxWirePro: EMEA EM FX space stretch risk premia, repellant valuations ahead of risk events (Fed and European elections)

Mar 06, 2017 09:36 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We do not chase the strong price action in higher yielding currenciesand stay neutral on ZAR, TRY and RUB. EM local markets have staged an impressive rally in the past three months. The question for investors is whether or...

FxWirePro: AUD/NZD put writers to capitalize on interim upswing, tepid IVs conducive for short legs in “Ratio Reverse Put Spreads”

Mar 06, 2017 07:49 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Finally sustained the break above the very important 1.0765 area, and now targets 1.0875 (Feb 2016 minor peaks) during the week ahead. The cross remains well below fair value estimates implied by interest rates,...

Full ownership of Sky will increase Rupert Murdoch’s power

Mar 04, 2017 06:14 am UTC| Insights & Views Business

Now that Rupert Murdochs bid for complete control of Sky has been formally notified to the European Commission, the pressure is on the secretary of state, Karen Bradley, to decide whether it should be referred to the...

FxWirePro: Why does “Gilt Futures Open Interest” rise? Is it yield sell off or short covering?

Mar 03, 2017 12:35 pm UTC| Insights & Views

Gilt yields once again rallied this week and outperformed on a cross-market basis with the 2s/10s curve flattening as 10Y outperformed. In swap space, GBP forwards rallied more than 10bp on the week from greens out to...

FxWirePro: Why does Korean Won look so cheaper still? Add hedging package

Mar 03, 2017 12:15 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

KRW still cheap relative to global reflation theme. At face value, we dont believe all of the good news is priced in. The short term fair value model has taken another leg lower and now sits around the 1100 level (refer...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Is dark matter’s main rival theory dead? There’s bad news from the Cassini spacecraft and other recent tests

One of the biggest mysteries in astrophysics today is that the forces in galaxies do not seem to add up. Galaxies rotate much faster than predicted by applying Newtons law of gravity to their visible matter, despite those...

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

Technology

SHIB Whale Activity Surges Amid Plummeting Shibarium Transaction Volumes

While the Shiba Inu developer team continues to work on and implement key updates to the Layer-2 blockchain, Shibarium is seeing a significant drop in transaction volume, which has been ongoing for about a month. This...

AirTag With New Chip and Improved Tracking Due Next Year; No New Mac Studio, Pro Until Mid-2025: Mark Gurman

Apples upcoming AirTag, equipped with an upgraded chip and enhanced tracking, is expected to launch by mid-2025, as detailed by Bloombergs Mark Gurman. He also claimed that Apple will not update the Mac Studio and Mac Pro...

Shibarium Faces 97% Drop in Transactions, Yet Transfers Rise Steadily

While the Shiba Inu developer team continues to work on and implement key updates to the Layer-2 blockchain, Shibarium is seeing a significant drop in transaction volume, which has been ongoing for about a month. This...

High FDVs on Binance Listings Lead to Investor Losses, Analysis Reveals

An analysis of Binance listings over the past six months reveals that high fully diluted valuations often lead to token value loss, adversely affecting regular investors while benefiting insiders. VC-Backed Tokens on...
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