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Outlook for US rates

Mar 25, 2015 13:50 pm UTC| Commentary

Fed to raise interest rates 25bp in June and another 25bp in Q4-2015Reinvestment of maturing debt proceeds to end in early 2016, balance sheet reduction to startSociete Generale notes as follows .... Output gap closing,...

Outlook for EU rates

Mar 25, 2015 13:46 pm UTC| Commentary

ECB plans to buy 60bn of private and public sector debt per month (PSPP) until Sep-2016 Purchases of government debt set at yield limit of -0.20% (deposit rate) Societe Generale notes as follows .... 10y Bund...

Brazilian economy likely stagnated in Q4 14

Mar 25, 2015 07:48 am UTC| Commentary

Societe Generale notes.. The economic activity index suggests that the economy likely stagnated in Q4 14 on a sequential basis (-0.7% yoy) or declined marginally. This implies that it stagnated on a full year basis...

Taiwan’s central bank to put aside its rate hike plans

Mar 25, 2015 07:36 am UTC| Commentary

Societe Generale notes.. We expect Taiwans central bank to put aside its rate hike plans and leave the policy rates unchanged at its Q1 meeting, given that inflation is expected to moderate this year and the global...

Mexican economic activity slowed sharply in January, looks to be an anomaly

Mar 25, 2015 07:18 am UTC| Commentary

Societe Generale notes.. January industrial production (and export growth) was disappointing and surprising given thelack of any meaningful trigger for this development.As a result, we estimate growth to have slowed to...

Business confidence of French economy to improve in March

Mar 25, 2015 07:12 am UTC| Commentary

Societe Generale notes.. The French National Statistical Institute (INSEE) business confidence index for the whole economy is expected to improve from 94 to 95 in March, while the manufacturing index should remain...

Some moderation in German Ifo expected

Mar 25, 2015 07:04 am UTC| Commentary

Societe Generale notes.. In March, we expect the Ifo business climate index to have risen to 106.9, from 106.8 before. While the rebound was stronger than expected in Nov-Jan, the improvement was weaker than expected...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Apple Embarks on AI Chip Development for Data Center Capabilities

Apple Inc. is set to transform the tech landscape with its newly developed AI chip, tailored specifically for data center operations. Dubbed Project ACDC, this initiative marks a significant leap in server technology,...

Kia Drops Images of Its New All-Electric EV3 Model Ahead of Release

Kia Motors announced that its latest electric car model called the EV3, is finally coming to the market this month. Ahead of the release, the South Korean automaker dropped images of the anticipated new EV to tease...

Switch Successor Announcement Expected Before Next April, Nintendo States

Nintendo has stated that it will officially introduce the Switch replacement system within this fiscal year before March 31, 2025. Upcoming Nintendo Direct Focuses on Current Switch Games Nintendo president Shuntaro...

Marathon Digital Soars 18% on News of S&P SmallCap 600 Inclusion

Marathon Digital, a leading Bitcoin miner, is set to join the SP SmallCap 600, propelling its shares up by 18%. Announced to replace Aaon in the index on May 8, the move reflects Marathons growing influence in the...
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