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Daily Economic Outlook: March 12th, 2015

May 12, 2015 05:13 am UTC| Commentary

Todays economic calendar kicks off with the release of UK industrial production for March (0830 GMT). Industrial output rose by 0.1% m/m in February following monthly falls of 0.2% and 0.1% in December and January...

Philippines exports rebound following easing of port congestion

May 12, 2015 02:10 am UTC| Commentary

Exports rebounded more strongly than expected in March, with shipments up 7.4% m/m sa. This followed a more modest recovery of +4.6% m/m sa in February, though exports still remain some 12.1% below the recent peak reached...

China’s monetary policy easing should lower financing costs

May 11, 2015 22:02 pm UTC| Commentary

The broad-based 25bps interest-rate cut announced on 10 May signals that the Peoples Bank of China (PBoC) is maintaining a prudent monetary policy stance with an easing bias to stabilise growth.The rate cut should help...

China’s April growth indices were likely weak

May 11, 2015 21:44 pm UTC| Commentary

The market keenly awaits Chinas April growth indicators (due 13 May) and monetary indicators (due 12-15 May).IP growth is expected to have improved to 6.0% y/y in April from 5.6% in March, but weak new orders likely kept...

Ghana's monetary policy committee likely to hold prime rate at 21%

May 11, 2015 21:26 pm UTC| Commentary

The Bank of Ghana (BoG) is expected to hold its prime rate steady at 21% when it announces its interest-rate decision on Wednesday.Although recent Ghanian cedi (GHS) depreciation will likely add to inflationary pressure,...

Euro area GDP expected to have been buoyant in Q1

May 11, 2015 21:17 pm UTC| Commentary

The euro area likely registered its fastest GDP growth since 2011 in Q1-2015; 0.5% q/q is expected. The recovery was likely broad-based, with consumption and net trade likely contributing the most to growth.That said,...

Japan's current account surplus likely reached a record high in March

May 11, 2015 21:07 pm UTC| Commentary

Japan will release March current account (C/A) data on 13 May. A current account surplus of JPY 1.96tn is expected, the highest since October 2010.The current account surplus tends to be high in March owing to seasonal...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Hong Kong Central Bank Leads Initiative to Explore Asset Tokenization Advancements

The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) has spearheaded the formation of a specialized community to explore asset tokenization. Partnering with various industry players and regulators, this initiative seeks to drive...

Shiba Inu Lead Shytoshi Kusama Unveils Mysterious 'Evita' Teaser, Sparking Frenzy

Shytoshi Kusama, the elusive figure at the helm of the renowned cryptocurrency Shiba Inu (SHIB), has set tongues wagging with a cryptic teaser shared across social media platforms. The enigmatic message features the word...

Amazon Opens Online Shopping for South African Customers

Amazon has finally arrived in South Africa. With its launch in the region, Jeff Bezos e-commerce platform is expected to compete with the leading local online shopping player, Takealot.com. The American e-commerce giant...

Apple Embarks on AI Chip Development for Data Center Capabilities

Apple Inc. is set to transform the tech landscape with its newly developed AI chip, tailored specifically for data center operations. Dubbed Project ACDC, this initiative marks a significant leap in server technology,...
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