Downside surprise in South Africa core CPI reduces probability for another hike
Aug 21, 2015 04:58 am UTC| Commentary
South Africas July CPI data released this week showed headline CPI inflation rising to 5.0% y/y, 0.3pp higher than the June print. This was in line with consensus expectations. The higher headline CPI inflation took...
Aussie slides on weak China data
Aug 21, 2015 04:26 am UTC| Commentary
The closely-watched Caixin-Market China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) fell from 47.8 in July to a preliminary 47.1 in August; its lowest in more than six years, and weaker than the forecast reading of...
Daily Economic Outlook: 21 August, 2015
Aug 21, 2015 04:18 am UTC| Commentary
The euro area PMIs have held relatively firm in recent months, even as Greek concerns intensified. In fact, despite modest declines in both the manufacturing and services PMIs for July, their respective levels remain...
Further TRY, RUB and BRL depreciation likely
Aug 21, 2015 04:12 am UTC| Commentary
10y inflation breakevens have jumped 50 basis points in the aftermath. The RUB has continued depreciating more or less in line with oil price declines. Besides the effect oil prices have on the RUB equilibrium value, the...
Aug 21, 2015 04:04 am UTC| Commentary
Asian markets traded with heavy losses for a second-consecutive session on Friday, with several key global events diminishing risk sentiment. Political tensions in Turkey, Greece, and Korea also added to the general...
EM vulnerabilities return as the USD rises
Aug 21, 2015 03:47 am UTC| Commentary
EM private sector balance sheet mismatches (ZAR, TRY and MYR), foreign positioning in local currency bonds (CEE, IDR, ZAR and MXN), a dependence on foreign financing (CEE) and the lack of foreign currency reserves (TRY,...
Further CNY weakness, buy USD/CNH call spread
Aug 21, 2015 03:43 am UTC| Commentary
The market continues to take stock of Chinas move early last week to adjust the fixing mechanism for USD/CNY. Although spot USD/CNY has been stable in the aftermath and has kept the fixes relatively unchanged, this has...
South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed
Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections
IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects