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Downside surprise in South Africa core CPI reduces probability for another hike

Aug 21, 2015 04:58 am UTC| Commentary

South Africas July CPI data released this week showed headline CPI inflation rising to 5.0% y/y, 0.3pp higher than the June print. This was in line with consensus expectations. The higher headline CPI inflation took...

Aussie slides on weak China data

Aug 21, 2015 04:26 am UTC| Commentary

The closely-watched Caixin-Market China Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) fell from 47.8 in July to a preliminary 47.1 in August; its lowest in more than six years, and weaker than the forecast reading of...

Daily Economic Outlook: 21 August, 2015

Aug 21, 2015 04:18 am UTC| Commentary

The euro area PMIs have held relatively firm in recent months, even as Greek concerns intensified. In fact, despite modest declines in both the manufacturing and services PMIs for July, their respective levels remain...

Further TRY, RUB and BRL depreciation likely

Aug 21, 2015 04:12 am UTC| Commentary

10y inflation breakevens have jumped 50 basis points in the aftermath. The RUB has continued depreciating more or less in line with oil price declines. Besides the effect oil prices have on the RUB equilibrium value, the...

Asian equities in Free-Fall

Aug 21, 2015 04:04 am UTC| Commentary

Asian markets traded with heavy losses for a second-consecutive session on Friday, with several key global events diminishing risk sentiment. Political tensions in Turkey, Greece, and Korea also added to the general...

EM vulnerabilities return as the USD rises

Aug 21, 2015 03:47 am UTC| Commentary

EM private sector balance sheet mismatches (ZAR, TRY and MYR), foreign positioning in local currency bonds (CEE, IDR, ZAR and MXN), a dependence on foreign financing (CEE) and the lack of foreign currency reserves (TRY,...

Further CNY weakness, buy USD/CNH call spread

Aug 21, 2015 03:43 am UTC| Commentary

The market continues to take stock of Chinas move early last week to adjust the fixing mechanism for USD/CNY. Although spot USD/CNY has been stable in the aftermath and has kept the fixes relatively unchanged, this has...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

Technology

Binance Enhances SHIB, USTC, AGIX Trading and Liquidity for Better Market Dynamics

Binance has announced efforts to enhance liquidity and trading for Shiba Inu (SHIB), USTC, and SingularityNET (AGIX), including tick size adjustments aimed at improving market dynamics and trading experience. Binances...

OpenAI Disbands Team Tackling AI Risks Amid Leadership Changes and GPT-4o Launch

OpenAI has dismantled its Superalignment team, initially formed to address AI risks, following the resignations of key leaders Ilya Sutskever and Jan Leike. OpenAI Disbands Superalignment Team Days After Leaders Resign,...

$73M Crypto Scam: Two Foreign Nationals Arrested for 'Pig Butchering'

The Justice Department prosecuted two Chinese nationals on Friday in a cryptocurrency scam that laundered at least $73 million from deceived victims. Defendants Allegedly Used Shell Corporations to Launder Funds Through...

Tether's $1B USDT Mint Boosts Bitcoin, Eyes on $70K Milestone

Bitcoin has switched its former resistance into support, as Tethers market capitalization continues to rise swiftly in 2024. Tether, the worlds largest stablecoin, has issued another $1 billion, raising its market...
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