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Currency War Series

US Fed unlikely to signal about future path post first hike, data-dependent approach to dominate

Dec 14, 2015 05:40 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

US Federal Reserve is likely to begin its hiking cycle this year, in its December meeting, by rising its near-zero interest rates, as widely anticipated. The likely path of the cycle(not the already priced in first hike)...

Bracing for Fed normalization

Dec 14, 2015 02:45 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Depending on how the market interprets Fed guidance at the upcoming FOMC on December 15/16, there could be some volatility in USD rates. A Fed hike of 25bps should come as no surprise. The market has already put the...

Currency War Series

Currencies nervous ahead of Fed rate lift-off expected on 16 Dec

Dec 14, 2015 02:39 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Currencies are nervous ahead of the first US rate lift-off widely expected on 16 Dec. The weak tone in equities is reflected by the flight to safety into the Japanese yen and the Swiss franc. USD/JPY is below 121.62, the...

Currency War Series

Bank Indonesia rate steady at 7.5%

Dec 14, 2015 02:07 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Bank Indonesia (BI) loosened its monetary policy stance by lowering the reserve requirement rate in November. What the central bank will do this week is likely to be dependent on the US Fed rate decision and its potential...

Currency War Series

Don’t underestimate the chance of a further rate cut in Taiwan

Dec 14, 2015 01:57 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Taiwans central bank (CBC) is scheduled to review monetary policy this Thursday, immediately after the FOMC meeting. Market opinions are divided regarding whether the CBC will cut rates at a same time when the Fed is about...

Currency War Series

Banxico to lag the Fed

Dec 14, 2015 00:30 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

An underperformance of MXN is expected, particularly on Thursday, since no change is expected in the fondeo rate, compared with market consensus for a 25bp increase. The path implied in the TIIE curve for the overnight...

Currency War Series

More weakness for the Columbian peso if Banrep holds

Dec 14, 2015 00:10 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

In Colombia, Banrep is expected to pause its hiking cycle, as the economic outlook for 2016 has deteriorated in recent weeks. OPECs lack of agreement on a production quota is likely to keep oil prices depressed next year,...

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Economy

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

Politics

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Technology

Kakao Enhances AI Focus, Merges Kakao Brain Into Core Operations

South Koreas Kakao Corporation finally decided to absorb Kakao Brains AI unit. The tech and internet giant is taking over its AI research and development (RD) business, which will include all of the departments staff and...

Shiba Inu (SHIB) Team Insider Unravels Key Burn Mystery: Exclusive Details

In a revealing discussion, Lucie, a member of the Shiba Inu team, sheds light on the enigmatic key burns orchestrated by the projects founder, Ryoshi. Lucies insights, shared in response to community inquiries, clarify...

World's Largest Electric Container Ship Sets Sail with 50,000 kWh Battery Power

COSCO Shipping, a Chinese state-owned firm, has unveiled what it calls the worlds largest river-to-sea electric container vessel. The Green Water 01 is a 10,000-ton+ electric vessel that sets a new standard for...

Tesla Drivers Get $4k Off 2024 Chevy Blazer EV; Costco Auto Slashes Prices on New EVs

Tesla owners rejoice as Chevrolet rolls out an unprecedented $4,000 discount on the 2024 Blazer EV, open to Tesla drivers and a quirky list of EV owners. The electric vehicle market got more enticing with incentives...
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