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FxWirePro: Prefer USD/MXN gamma neutral calendar skews on carry-to-vols ratio and Banxico hikes

Apr 07, 2017 09:43 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Banxico hiked 25bp; we see limited MXN gains but prefer calendar skews at the current juncture. Banxico has hiked its policy rate 25bp to 6.5% and signaled a shift in gears towards a slower pace of tightening...

FxWirePro: Stay short EUR/CZK on CNB’s macro projection

Apr 07, 2017 07:16 am UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

EURCZK spot and forward exchange rates as well as Czech interest rates went through huge volatility yesterday after the Czech National Bank ended its EURCZK floor mechanism at an extraordinary board meeting. The EURCZK...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Antipodeans bank upon central banks, Aussie dollar edgy on commodity markets – 3-way straddles vs OTM call for optimal hedging

Apr 07, 2017 06:54 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

The Antipodean pair now wants to retest the 1.0800 area, which looks vulnerable to giving way to 1.0750. We expect NZD to fall through this year, reaching 0.63 at year-end. The support to growth from migration will...

Central Banking Series

Singapore’s MAS likely to keep rates on hold next week, says Scotiabank

Apr 07, 2017 06:51 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks Economy

The Monetary Authority of Singapore (MAS) is expected to hold its benchmark interest rate at the monetary policy meeting scheduled to be held late next week with an expansionary budget unveiled on 20 February, maintaining...

FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 7th April 2017

Apr 07, 2017 05:22 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Lots of economic dockets and events scheduled for today and some with high volatility risks associated. Data released so far: Japan: Labor cash earnings up by 0.4 percent y/y in February. Leading economic index...

Bank of England’s Vlieghe warns of consumer slowdown, reiterates need for caution on interest rates

Apr 06, 2017 13:32 pm UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Speaking at Bloombergs European headquarters in London on Wednesday, Bank of England (BoE) policy maker Gertjan Vlieghe said that there is no need for interest rate rise soon. He warned that consumer finances are...

FxWirePro: What drives loonie’s vulnerability - Stay short CAD vs AUD and USD

Apr 06, 2017 12:57 pm UTC| Central Banks Insights & Views

The monetary policy divergences driving USDCAD sharply higher the past two weeks were only half surprising. To be sure, the recent sharp rise in US yields driven by hawkish Fed speech came as a surprise to markets. The...

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Economy

Oil Prices Climb on Venezuela Blockade, Russia Sanctions Fears, and Supply Risks

Oil prices extended their gains during Asian trading on Thursday as geopolitical tensions involving Venezuela and Russia heightened concerns over global crude supply. Market sentiment was boosted after U.S. President...

Asian Stocks Slide as AI Spending Fears and Global Central Bank Decisions Weigh on Markets

Asian shares fell sharply on Thursday as technology stocks came under renewed pressure, driven by growing investor concerns over heavy artificial intelligence spending and its impact on corporate balance sheets. Market...

Dollar Holds Firm Ahead of Global Central Bank Decisions as Yen, Sterling and Euro React

The U.S. dollar remained steady against major global currencies on Thursday as investors positioned themselves ahead of key central bank decisions in the United Kingdom, Europe and Japan. Currency markets showed cautious...

BoE Set to Cut Rates as UK Inflation Slows, but Further Easing Likely Limited

The Bank of England is widely expected to cut interest rates on Thursday as signs mount that UK inflation is easing and economic growth is weakening. Financial markets anticipate a 25-basis-point reduction, bringing the...

U.S. Stock Futures Edge Higher as Micron Earnings Boost AI Sentiment Ahead of CPI Data

U.S. stock index futures inched higher on Wednesday evening, supported by blowout earnings and strong guidance from Micron Technology, although broader gains remained limited as investors stayed cautious ahead of key U.S....

Politics

Trump Announces $1,776 Cash Bonus for U.S. Military Personnel Ahead of Christmas

U.S. President Donald Trump announced Wednesday evening that eligible U.S. military personnel will receive a one-time cash payment of $1,776, a move he described as a special warrior dividend timed ahead of Christmas. The...

U.S. House Advances GOP Healthcare Bill as ACA Subsidies Near Expiration

A major U.S. federal healthcare subsidy expanded during the COVID-19 pandemic is set to expire at the end of the year after the House of Representatives narrowly advanced a Republican healthcare bill that does not renew...

U.S. Initiates $11.1 Billion Arms Sale to Taiwan Amid Rising China Tensions

Taiwans defence ministry announced on Thursday that the United States government has formally initiated the congressional notification process for a proposed $11.1 billion arms sale to Taiwan, underscoring Washingtons...

Union-Aligned Investors Question Amazon, Walmart and Alphabet on Trump Immigration Policies

A union-aligned investment group has urged major U.S. corporations including Amazon, Walmart and Google-parent Alphabet to explain how President Donald Trumps immigration policies are affecting their finances, workforce...

Venezuela Seeks UN Security Council Meeting Over U.S. Oil Tanker Blockade

Venezuela has formally requested an urgent meeting of the United Nations Security Council to address what it described as ongoing U.S. aggression against the country, according to a letter seen by Reuters. The request...

Science

Jared Isaacman Confirmed as NASA Administrator, Becomes 15th Leader of U.S. Space Agency

The U.S. Senate has officially confirmed billionaire private astronaut Jared Isaacman as the new NASA administrator, making him the 15th leader in the agencys history. The confirmation, which took place on Wednesday, marks...

Senate Sets December 8 Vote on Trump’s NASA Nominee Jared Isaacman

The U.S. Senate Commerce Committee announced it will vote on December 8 on President Donald Trumps renewed nomination of private astronaut and tech entrepreneur Jared Isaacman to lead NASA. Isaacman, known for his...

NASA Cuts Boeing Starliner Missions as SpaceX Pulls Ahead

NASA has significantly scaled back Boeings Starliner program after years of technical issues and delays, announcing that the next Starliner mission to the International Space Station (ISS) will fly without astronauts. The...

Blue Origin’s New Glenn Achieves Breakthrough Success With First NASA Mission

Blue Origins massive New Glenn rocket marked a major milestone as it completed its first mission for paying customers, sending two NASA satellites toward Mars and successfully landing its reusable booster at sea. The...

Cogent Biosciences Soars 120% on Breakthrough Phase 3 Results for Bezuclastinib in GIST Treatment

Cogent Biosciences (NASDAQ: COGT) shares skyrocketed over 120% after the biotech company announced groundbreaking results from its Phase 3 PEAK trial evaluating bezuclastinib in combination with sunitinib for patients with...

Technology

Apple Opens iPhone to Alternative App Stores in Japan Under New Competition Law

Apple has announced a major shift in its App Store policies in Japan, opening iPhones and other Apple devices to alternative app stores in order to comply with new competition laws aimed at reshaping the countrys...

Micron Technology Forecasts Surge in Revenue and Earnings on AI-Driven Memory Demand

Micron Technology delivered record first-quarter results and issued a bullish forecast for the current quarter, driven by rising memory prices and strong demand linked to artificial intelligence workloads. The upbeat...

Oracle Stock Slides After Blue Owl Exit Report, Company Says Michigan Data Center Talks Remain on Track

Oracle shares fell more than 4% on Wednesday after a Financial Times report claimed that Blue Owl Capital, Oracles largest U.S. data center partner, decided not to support a planned $10 billion data center project in...

OpenAI Explores Massive Funding Round at $750 Billion Valuation

OpenAI, the company behind the widely used AI chatbot ChatGPT, has reportedly entered preliminary discussions with investors about a potential new funding round that could value the company at approximately $750 billion....

Republicans Raise National Security Concerns Over Intel’s Testing of China-Linked Chipmaking Tools

Republican lawmakers are raising alarms over potential U.S. national security risks after a Reuters report revealed that Intel evaluated advanced chipmaking equipment from ACM Research, a company with significant ties to...