Plausible 2017 Black Swan events from Barclays
Jan 06, 2017 12:15 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
Barclay, the British multinational banking and financial services company, has laid out possible high sigma/black swan events that may take place in 2017 and make a major impact in the commodities market. The whole list of...

Worrisome Signs Series: Read the US unemployment right
Jan 06, 2017 11:05 am UTC| Commentary Economy
Today, the Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the non-farm payroll report for the month of December. It is highly anticipated that the report will show either 4.7 percent or 4.6 percent unemployment rate. This rate is...

Worrisome Signs Series: Real wages in decline thanks to inflation
Jan 04, 2017 10:55 am UTC| Commentary Economy
The US Federal reserve is right to worry onlooming inflation, as higher inflation without compensatory growth would eat away the purchasing powers of the consumers. In addition to that, a higher inflation uptick means that...
How to get ready for the economic recession coming in 2017
Dec 31, 2016 16:08 pm UTC| Insights & Views
My outlook for 2017 and beyond is that the U.S. economy will likely see another recession. Yes, the economic picture currently looks wonderful. The Dow and SP 500 are at record levels. Unemployment is well below 5...

Dec 06, 2016 03:39 am UTC| Insights & Views Politics
A referendum is not (and should not be comparable to) a general election; they are two different kinds of electoral instruments. The former asks the people to express their opinion on one or more issues (usually by means...

Don't expect a rerun of the Asian Financial Crisis
Dec 02, 2016 04:54 am UTC| Insights & Views Economy
Asian currencies hit a seven year low in November, on Donald Trumps election and the potential for his policies to spur US inflation and bond yields. Investors who fanned out across emerging markets in recent years are now...
Deutsche Bank turmoil shows risks of weakening bank capital standards
Nov 18, 2016 09:57 am UTC| Insights & Views Business
Deutsche Bank, a venerable 146-year-old bank whose very name symbolizes the German financial system, has recently found itself in considerable turmoil. The kicker came in September when the Department of Justice slapped...