
Worrisome Signs Series – S&P 500 EPS poses grave concern
Dec 24, 2015 12:39 pm UTC| Commentary
In this series, we have been warning of some worrying signs in US financial market and economy some of which are showing increased risk of recession, others are pointing at an inevitable large correction in SP 500 (if not...

Worrisome Signs Series – is TBS pointing to impending recession in US?
Dec 24, 2015 10:38 am UTC| Commentary
In our previous discussion of Total Business Sales (TBS) of US, released US Census Bureau, we pointed its divergence with SP 500s rise. TBS growth has fallen and staying below zero since January this year and SPs alignment...

Worrisome Signs Series – TBS and S&P 500 diverge –part 1
Dec 24, 2015 09:23 am UTC| Commentary
What drives stocks (other than cheap funding from FED), is their earnings, some which investors get returned in form of dividends and buybacks, rest of which goes into the books as reserve. And what drives earnings higher...

Worrisome Signs Series – is IP indicating impending recession in US
Dec 23, 2015 10:59 am UTC| Commentary
US Federal Reserve hiked rates last week, being confident over US economy and growth ahead. However Industrial production in US may not be in agreement with the FED. This yearly growth chart of Industrial production...

Worrisome Signs Series – Record mergers and acquisitions worrisome
Dec 23, 2015 10:11 am UTC| Commentary
Mergers and Acquisition tend to pick up pace and reach its heights around stock market peak. So it works as a contrarian indicator. Managers and acquirer are most optimist around stock market peak. So this years record...

Worrisome Signs Series – S&P 500 diverges with its pace
Dec 23, 2015 09:26 am UTC| Commentary
After long 6 years of Bull run, SP 500 is on its way to close the year in negative. SP 500 is currently trading at 2045, down -1.3% for the year so far. Since the financial crisis of 2008/09, SP 500 has relied more on...