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FX Hedging Strategy Series

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Amid highly volatile economic environment, shielding currency exposure has become too risky than before. In this series we provide an intelligent insights and analysis on actionable FX derivative strategies that serve different levels of risk appetites and returns.

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: What drives vols flirting in S&P and DXY despite Q4 equity earning season and Trump’s protectionism?

Jan 31, 2017 12:29 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The FX vol market is showing signs of capitulation and front-end vols are softer over the week, leading to vol steepening across the board. Softer vols in U.S. could provide a momentary soft patch as the Dow Jones broke...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Assessment of RVs versus IVs AUD/JPY and MXN/JPY - Relative values in conditional spreads

Jan 31, 2017 10:57 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Pick up relative value in conditional spreads, the conditional long/short vanilla spreads provide another avenue to explore when looking to fade vol risk premia. The idea is to structure zero-cost (or even premium...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Deploy AUD/USD option combinations - ITM put versus OTM call to match IV skews and delta risk reversals on tight range

Jan 31, 2017 06:18 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

AUD remained in ranging mode, mostly between 0.7747 and 0.7162: Remains contained in a consolidative range of 0.7500-0.7600. AUDUSD in medium term perspective: Lower to 0.7400. The US dollars impressive post-election...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: USD/JPY chart pack – after shooting star and hanging man, now gap down candle on verge of forming double top pattern – Trade via tunnel spreads

Jan 30, 2017 05:49 am UTC| Technicals

The flurry of bearish candlestick patterns occurred at peaks of USDJPY rallies. Shooting star pattern is traced out 114.975, hanging man at 115.224 levels, now a gap down opening has popped up at 114.396 levels. As a...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: SARB inaction in benchmark but shift in forecasts – lingering headwinds indicate USD/ZAR upside risks and IVs conducive for option spreads

Jan 25, 2017 12:28 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Central Banks

In the recent unanimous decision of South African central bank (SARB), benchmark rateisunchanged at 7% as had universally been projected. However, the SARB increased its projections and now only expects the overall rate to...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: Can MXN and TRY be deceptive? Don’t catch falling knife as rising EMFX hedging ratio prolongs

Jan 25, 2017 11:33 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We highlight a number of tactical signals for the FX market and some options concepts that could accomplish well in a market scenario characterized by the US dollar strength over the medium term. Since the election of...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: AUD/JPY calendar spreads seem right hedging vehicle amid BoJ, RBA monetary policy stances and JGB apprehensions

Jan 25, 2017 11:13 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The two main risks to our bearish AUD view are that 1) The currency is dragged higher in a more sustained re-rating of the global growth outlook, and that 2) The better global news and some signs of housing...

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Economy

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Inflation is slowly falling, while student debt is climbing: 6 graphs that explain today’s CPI

Australias inflation rate has fallen for the fifth successive quarter, and its now less than half of what it was back in late 2022. The annual rate peaked at 7.8% in the December quarter of 2022 and is now just 3.6%, in...

Politics

US Urges China, Russia to Reject AI Control in Nuclear Arms, Align with Global Norms

Paul Dean, a senior U.S. arms control official, emphasized the critical need for China and Russia to join the U.S. in declaring that humans will always decide on the deployment of nuclear weapons, not artificial...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

Biden administration tells employers to stop shackling workers with ‘noncompete agreements’

Most American workers are hired at will: Employers owe their employees nothing in the relationship except earned wages, and employees are at liberty to quit at their option. As the rule is generally stated, either party...

Labour can afford to be far more ambitious with its economic policies – voters are on board

To say that the Labour party is flying high in the polls is something of an understatement. But despite its consistent lead against the Tories, the opposition finds itself in a rather odd position: on the cusp of power but...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Peter Higgs was one of the greats of particle physics. He transformed what we know about the building blocks of the universe

Peter Higgs, who gave his name to the subatomic particle known as the Higgs boson, has died aged 94. He was always a modest man, especially when considering that he was one of the greats of particle physics the area of...

Technology

Bitfinex CTO Deems Database Breach Claims 'Fake' Amidst Hacker Allegations

Bitfinexs Chief Technology Officer Paolo Ardoino has cast doubts on claims of a database breach by hacker organization FSOCIETY, branding the allegations as fake. Ardoino refuted the purported leak of 22,500 user emails...

Bitcoin's Next Bull Run Hinges on Key Trading Pattern Confirmation: Analysts

Cryptocurrency traders are eyeing a potential bullish reversal for Bitcoin, with analysts suggesting that validating an inverse head and shoulders pattern could propel the next leg up for the leading cryptocurrency....

Walmart Spotted with Tesla Semi in California as True Launch Date Revealed

Walmarts adoption of a Tesla Semi hit the California highways, signaling the electric trucks expanding reach. The sighting follows Teslas revelation of a late 2025 and early 2026 launch window for the highly anticipated...

Tesla Cybertruck 'Odyssey' Roars into Europe, Berlin Display Kicks Off Tour

Teslas futuristic Cybertruck made a striking debut at Berlins Mall of Berlin, marking the launch of its European tour. The event, part of the Cyber Odyssey, precedes the electric pickups journey through 24 cities as Tesla...

Altcoin Market Rally Predicted, Analysts Forecast $4 Trillion Market Cap Surge

Analysts are predicting a substantial rally in the altcoin market, with projections indicating a surge that could drive the market cap to an impressive $4 trillion. This optimistic outlook is supported by positive economic...