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FxWirePro: Predominant projections and cyclical effects of G10 central banks in 2018/19

Oct 30, 2017 11:58 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Post ECB, clarity from two of the three majors Now that the ECB has confirmed its tapering schedule through September 2018 (a reduction from 60bn per month to 30bn), it is reasonably clear what tedious path DM central bank...

FxWirePro: Swiss franc’s tepid IVs second least among the G10 FX gamut – Strangle shorts for intermediary speculators, FVAs versus straddles for hedgers

Oct 30, 2017 11:08 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Please be noted that even after monetary policy season, FX vols have collapsed to the lowest level (especially euro and Swiss franc), lets have a glance through the implied volatilities of EURCHF and USDCHF ATM contracts...

FxWirePro: US data fortifies dollar from multi-facets, spot out EUR/USD cheapness in FVAs after ECB

Oct 30, 2017 07:23 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

US equities made fresh record highs, helped by strong company earnings, and the US dollar rose. US bond yields, in contrast, were weighed down by Catalonias declaration of independence plus Fed Chair candidate Powells...

FxWirePro: CAD skew versus Brent skew – Crude bears to pressurize CAD

Oct 27, 2017 18:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

In the options space, CAD volatility remains stuck at the lows, and we identify an appealing skew opportunity. After the Canadian dollars sharp rise this year, USDCAD risk reversals have been under heavy pressure,...

FxWirePro: Bid USD/CAD 3m skews, bullish risk reversals to hedge crude price risks

Oct 27, 2017 07:53 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We all know that there exists the positive correlation between CAD and crude oil prices, this weeks report was bearish for crude but bullish for gasoline and distillate. Total commercial crude and refined product stocks...

FxWirePro: What fortifies and dampens sterling moves during end of 2017 – Hedging frameworks for GBP crosses

Oct 27, 2017 06:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views Technicals

Our highest conviction macro trade in recent weeks has been short GBP as we felt that UK rate hikes were overpriced given the weak starting point for UK growth and the existential Brexit shock that continues to dominate...

FxWirePro: Envisioning and ascertaining shrinking vol trap in EuroStoxx and Euro crosses

Oct 27, 2017 05:14 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The much-awaited ECB QE recalibration exercise ultimately announced yesterday, but it contained very few surprises after a meticulous 6w build-up and ended in a virtual stalemate for FX and rates markets, with EUR crosses...

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Economy

What should you do if you can’t pay your rent or mortgage?

The cost of living crisis is making it difficult for many people to pay their bills, including housing costs. Private sector rents have increased by an average 9% over the year to February 2024, and rising interest rates...

Reducing energy demand and improving efficiency will help prevent the next gas crisis

Gas prices have relaxed, Europe has come out of the winter with record gas storage levels and a surfeit of liquefied natural gas is set to reach the shores of Europe over the coming years. Many commentators are hopeful...

Minimum wage for South African farm workers: study shows 2013 hike helped reduce poverty even though compliance was poor

Minimum wage policies are typically aimed at reducing poverty. Yet there is little direct evidence of this effect, especially in developing countries. And none for South Africa. In a recent paper, we consider the...

Gas is good until 2050 and beyond, under Albanese gas strategy

The Albanese government is talking up the crucial role of gas as a transition fuel through to 2050 and beyond. In a gas strategy to be released on Thursday, the government envisages the fuels uses would change over...

South Africa’s plan to move away from coal: 8 steps to make it succeed

The South African governments Just Energy Transition Implementation Plan was launched in November 2023. It is a roadmap guiding the country away from reliance on coal-fired power towards renewable energy alternatives by...

Politics

Donald Trump Allegedly Offers Oil Execs a Deal to Scrap EV Incentives for $1B Donation

Former President Donald Trump reportedly proposed a $1 billion deal to oil executives, offering to end electric vehicle (EV) subsidies in return for campaign funding, according to The Washington Post. This move underscores...

US Supreme Court upended decades of precedent in 2022 by allowing voters to vote with gerrymandered maps instead of fixing the congressional districts first

For the 2022 midterm elections, the U.S. Supreme Court allowed Alabama to use congressional districts that violated the law and diluted the voting power of Black citizens. A 5-4 vote by the Supreme Court in February...

Germany lowers voting age to 16 for the European elections

Ahead of the European parliament elections in June, Germany has lowered the age limit on participation to 16. This makes it the largest of just a handful of states in the EU to allow people under the age of 18 to vote....

South Africa will be president of the G20 in 2025: two much-needed reforms it should drive

South Africa will play an important international role in 2025 as president of the G20. The G20 is a group of 19 countries as well as the African Union and the European Union. Between them they represent 85% of global...

What early 2024 polls are revealing about voters of color and the GOP

By the end of winter 2024, the return of Donald Trump to the top of the GOP presidential ticket has revealed a surprising trend in the former presidents base of support: his increasing popularity among Black and Latino...

Science

Why are algorithms called algorithms? A brief history of the Persian polymath you’ve likely never heard of

Algorithms have become integral to our lives. From social media apps to Netflix, algorithms learn your preferences and prioritise the content you are shown. Google Maps and artificial intelligence are nothing without...

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

Technology

Microsoft Integrates AMD AI Chips into Azure, Competing with Nvidia’s GPU Offerings

Microsoft announced Thursday that it will integrate AMDs MI300X processors into its Azure cloud services, offering a competitive alternative to Nvidias GPUs. Azures New AI Processing Power According to Reuters,...

Altcoins a ‘Relatively Huge’ Risk as Big Returns Fade, Analysts Warn Investors

Analysts caution that altcoins now represent a relatively huge risk, with the days of massive returns fading. Markus Thielen of 10xResearch suggests the high-reward era is over as crypto market narratives...

Bitcoin Has Best Day in 2 Months as SHIB to Get More Scarce with Shibarium

Bitcoin experienced its largest single-day rise in nearly two months, while ShibaSwaps expansion to Shibarium is set to increase SHIBs scarcity by boosting its burn rate. ShibaSwap Launches on Shibarium, Increasing SHIB...

Kia's Electric Pickup Spotted in US Testing, Targets Tesla Cybertruck, Ford F-150 Lightning

Kias upcoming electric pickup, designed to rival the Tesla Cybertruck, Rivian R1T, and Ford F-150 Lightning, has been spotted testing in the U.S., marking a significant step in its development. Kias Strategic Move into...

OpenAI Strikes Deal with Reddit to Bring Content to ChatGPT, Boosting Stocks

OpenAI and Reddit announced a partnership on May 16 to integrate Reddit content into ChatGPT, enhancing the chatbots capabilities and driving Reddits stock up 12% in extended trading. Reddit Diversifies Beyond...