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China's Q2 growth may decelerate

Jun 05, 2015 09:57 am UTC| Commentary

Chinas total investment growth likely decelerated further in January-May. Steel product and cement prices did not rebound despite accelerated approvals of new infrastructure projects. This implies that demand for key input...

Australia May unemployment rate likely fell to 6.1%

Jun 05, 2015 09:30 am UTC| Commentary

The Austrsalian Bureau of Statistics will release May labour-market data on 11 June. Strong job creation of 19,000 jobs, following the slight drop of 2,900 jobs are expected in April. The unemployment rate likely dropped...

GLOBALcycle brightens up in May

Jun 05, 2015 09:20 am UTC| Commentary

The GLOBALcycle indicator, which tracks economic conditions in economies covering 80% of world GDP, increased in May after a weak start to the year. Economic conditions improved in EM, led primarily by China. Meanwhile,...

German & US 10yr yields topping out and turning bullish

Jun 05, 2015 09:08 am UTC| Commentary

Bunds and US 10yr yields are topping out and turning bullish. While Bund yields have exceeded the expected topping zone at 85.5bps/89.9bps, the daily candlestick indicates trend exhaustion, as both momentum and Elliott...

Europe — Greece Inching Closer To Default

Jun 05, 2015 08:17 am UTC| Commentary

Europes focus will remain the saga of Greek debt negotiations as other forms of market risk will be relatively subdued and concentrated upon limited data risk next week. The issue of Greece is likely to receive...

United States — Consumers Arriving Too Late & Possibly Fleeting?

Jun 05, 2015 07:58 am UTC| Commentary

Pretty much the only material domestic risk overhanging US markets next week will be Thursdays retail sales release for May. It could well bea very solid print, but the bar is very high for it to be enough to rescue the...

Germany: Solid start into Q2

Jun 05, 2015 07:31 am UTC| Commentary

German manufacturing orders rose in April by 1.4% on the month. If the always very volatile orders in the "other vehicles" sector (aircraft etc.) had not fallen, the increase would even have been one percentage point...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Taiwan is experiencing millions of cyberattacks every day

Taiwan stands out as a beacon of democracy, innovation and resilience in an increasingly autocratic region. But this is under growing threat. In recent years, China has used a variety of grey zone tactics to pressure...

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Nigerian Stakeholders Urge Binance to Identify Bribery Suspect

In a bold move to safeguard integrity, Nigerian cryptocurrency stakeholders are pressing Binance to unveil the identity of an alleged bribe proposer. This demand aims to substantiate claims and ensure transparent...

Whale Trades Propel RNDR Price Rally 40%: What's Next for Render Token?

Last week, Render Token (RNDR) soared by 40% as whale activity intensified, pushing its market cap close to $4 billion. On-chain data highlighted significant transactions, sparking speculation about future gains in the...

NFL, NBA, NASCAR Stars Resolve $2.4M Voyager Promo Lawsuit

NFL icon Rob Gronkowski, NBA player Victor Oladipo, and NASCAR driver Landon Cassill have collectively agreed to a $2.4 million settlement in a lawsuit concerning their roles in promoting the now-defunct cryptocurrency...

Grayscale's Ethereum ETF Twist: Withdraws Application Days Before SEC Verdict

In a dramatic turn of events, Grayscale shocked the cryptocurrency community by retracting its application for an Ethereum futures exchange-traded fund just days before the SECs looming decision deadline. This cast doubt...
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