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Fed set to hike in September

Jun 05, 2015 18:28 pm UTC| Commentary

The US job report for May was strong, with 280,000 new jobs added to employment (consensus 226,000). Net revisions to March and April were also positive at 32,000. This lifts the three-month average monthly job growth just...

U.S. on track for full employment by December

Jun 05, 2015 18:12 pm UTC| Commentary

Despite the uptick in the unemployment rate, the labor market is making steady progress toward full employment which should be reached before the end of the year. The uptick in wages fits nicely with our thesis that we are...

US retail sales report key, but unlikely to markedly shift post-payrolls sentiment

Jun 05, 2015 16:52 pm UTC| Commentary

Even in the aftermath of the solid May employment report, the onus remains on lasting evidence of a return to US growth in Q2 and over 2015 for the FOMC to proceed towards the tightening of monetary policy this year.The...

Bounceback in UK activity in Q2 may be more modest than previously expected

Jun 05, 2015 16:40 pm UTC| Commentary

With UK GDP growth of 0.3% in Q1 so far unrevised from its first estimate - against BoE expectations of 0.5% in mature data - some recent softening in business surveys, notably of PMIs, suggests that the bounceback in Q2...

Bundling of upcoming Greek IMF payments pushes the ‘hard’ deadline to end-June

Jun 05, 2015 16:09 pm UTC| Commentary

Bundling of Greek IMF dues in June sets a hard deadline at the end of the month. Ongoing Greek negotiations with creditors, which had seemed to be approaching final bargaining positions - with notable progress around...

U.S. economy likely returning to more solid growth from Q2 onwards

Jun 05, 2015 16:03 pm UTC| Commentary

Nonfarm payrolls were stronger than expected in May. Up by 280k, they were significantly stronger than consensus (226k) expectations. There were net revisions of 32k to the previous months of payrolls, suggesting an even...

U.S. earnings growth to pick up further later this year

Jun 05, 2015 15:56 pm UTC| Commentary

The broadest measure of average hourly earnings was up 0.3% m/m in April, bringing average hourly earnings up 2.3% y/y, versus 2.2% in April. Average hourly earnings for production and non-supervisory workers were up 0.3%...

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Economy

Nigerians throw naira notes around to show love: but it could land you in jail

The legal implication of physically damaging the naira, Nigerias currency, came into focus recently with the prosecution of at least two celebrities by the countrys Economic and Financial Crimes Commission. Nigeria has a...

The US is one of the least trade-oriented countries in the world – despite laying the groundwork for today’s globalized system

Given the spate of news about international trade lately, Americans might be surprised to learn that the U.S. isnt very dependent on it. Indeed, looking at trade as a percentage of gross domestic product a metric...

Beyond the spin, beyond the handouts, here’s how to get a handle on what’s really happening on budget night

Three weeks from now, some of us will be presented with a mountain of budget papers, and just about all of us will get to hear about them on radio, TV or news websites on budget night. The quickest way to find out what...

Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility

Ivan Vladislavić is Johannesburgs literary linkman. He tells us, in the first pages of his new book, The Near North, that before cities were lit, first by gaslight and later electricity, people of means paid torchbearers...

Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget

With Jim Chalmerss third budget on May 14, Australians will be looking for some more cost-of-living relief beyond the tax cuts although they have been warned extra measures will be modest. As this weeks consumer price...

Politics

Taiwan is experiencing millions of cyberattacks every day

Taiwan stands out as a beacon of democracy, innovation and resilience in an increasingly autocratic region. But this is under growing threat. In recent years, China has used a variety of grey zone tactics to pressure...

Sudan’s civil war is rooted in its historical favouritism of Arab and Islamic identity

The current civil war in Sudan goes beyond a simple power struggle between two generals. It reflects a deep-rooted crisis within the countrys governing structure thats been present since it gained independence from the...

South Africa’s youth are a generation lost under democracy – study

South African president Cyril Ramaphosa recently painted a rosy picture in which the countrys youth democracys children had enormous opportunities for advancement, all thanks to successive post-apartheid governments led...

Sadiq Khan on track for third term as London mayor – but nearly half of Londoners dissatisfied with performance

Polls have consistently shown that the incumbent mayor of London, Sadiq Khan, appears to be on track to win a third term in office at the upcoming mayoral elections on May 2. One poll we commissioned as part of our...

The politics stopping the UK from opening a youth mobility scheme with Europe

Earlier this week, it seemed possible that young people in the UK might soon be able to travel freely to work and live in Europe again. The European Commission laid out proposals to open mobility to millions of 18- to...

Science

IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects

About a trillion tiny particles called neutrinos pass through you every second. Created during the Big Bang, these relic neutrinos exist throughout the entire universe, but they cant harm you. In fact, only one of them is...

The Mars Sample Return mission has a shaky future, and NASA is calling on private companies for backup

A critical NASA mission in the search for life beyond Earth, Mars Sample Return, is in trouble. Its budget has ballooned from US$5 billion to over $11 billion, and the sample return date may slip from the end of this...

Dark matter: our new experiment aims to turn the ghostly substance into actual light

A ghost is haunting our universe. This has been known in astronomy and cosmology for decades. Observations suggest that about 85% of all the matter in the universe is mysterious and invisible. These two qualities are...

A Nasa rover has reached a promising place to search for fossilised life on Mars

While we go about our daily lives on Earth, a nuclear-powered robot the size of a small car is trundling around Mars looking for fossils. Unlike its predecessor Curiosity, Nasas Perseverance rover is explicitly intended to...

The rising flood of space junk is a risk to us on Earth – and governments are on the hook

A piece of space junk recently crashed through the roof and floor of a mans home in Florida. Nasa later confirmed that the object had come from unwanted hardware released from the international space station. The 700g,...

Technology

Crypto Market Selloff: BTC, ETH, SOL, XRP, SHIB Prices Plummet, Crash Fears Grow

The cryptocurrency market shows new symptoms of weakness as bulls and bears battle for supremacy. Investors have recently lost about $150 billion, with the cryptocurrency market valuation falling from $2.42 trillion to...

BYD Shark Debuts in Mexico, Rivals Tesla Cybertruck and Ford F-150 Lightning

This month, the streets of Mexico will showcase the BYD Sharks debut, an advanced hybrid electric pickup set to rival the Tesla Cybertruck and highlight BYDs cutting-edge hybrid technology. BYD Shark: A New Hybrid...

South Korea Secures Competitive Edge With US Tax Credit Extension on EVs

South Korea has positively received the U.S. extension of tax credits for electric vehicles (EVs) incorporating Chinese graphite. This critical decision supports Seouls strategy to dominate the American EV market. This...

SHIB Exec Connects Shiba Inu to Bitcoin; Open Interest Falls 7%

SHIBs marketing officer, Lucie, emphasized similarities between Shiba Inu and Bitcoin, highlighting both projects foundational anonymity and community-driven development. Meanwhile, a 7% drop in open interest raises...
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