Jun 05, 2015 18:28 pm UTC| Commentary
The US job report for May was strong, with 280,000 new jobs added to employment (consensus 226,000). Net revisions to March and April were also positive at 32,000. This lifts the three-month average monthly job growth just...
U.S. on track for full employment by December
Jun 05, 2015 18:12 pm UTC| Commentary
Despite the uptick in the unemployment rate, the labor market is making steady progress toward full employment which should be reached before the end of the year. The uptick in wages fits nicely with our thesis that we are...
US retail sales report key, but unlikely to markedly shift post-payrolls sentiment
Jun 05, 2015 16:52 pm UTC| Commentary
Even in the aftermath of the solid May employment report, the onus remains on lasting evidence of a return to US growth in Q2 and over 2015 for the FOMC to proceed towards the tightening of monetary policy this year.The...
Bounceback in UK activity in Q2 may be more modest than previously expected
Jun 05, 2015 16:40 pm UTC| Commentary
With UK GDP growth of 0.3% in Q1 so far unrevised from its first estimate - against BoE expectations of 0.5% in mature data - some recent softening in business surveys, notably of PMIs, suggests that the bounceback in Q2...
Bundling of upcoming Greek IMF payments pushes the ‘hard’ deadline to end-June
Jun 05, 2015 16:09 pm UTC| Commentary
Bundling of Greek IMF dues in June sets a hard deadline at the end of the month. Ongoing Greek negotiations with creditors, which had seemed to be approaching final bargaining positions - with notable progress around...
U.S. economy likely returning to more solid growth from Q2 onwards
Jun 05, 2015 16:03 pm UTC| Commentary
Nonfarm payrolls were stronger than expected in May. Up by 280k, they were significantly stronger than consensus (226k) expectations. There were net revisions of 32k to the previous months of payrolls, suggesting an even...
U.S. earnings growth to pick up further later this year
Jun 05, 2015 15:56 pm UTC| Commentary
The broadest measure of average hourly earnings was up 0.3% m/m in April, bringing average hourly earnings up 2.3% y/y, versus 2.2% in April. Average hourly earnings for production and non-supervisory workers were up 0.3%...
Johannesburg in a time of darkness: Ivan Vladislavić’s new memoir reminds us of the city’s fragility
Economist Chris Richardson on an ‘ugly’ inflation result and the coming budget
IceCube researchers detect a rare type of energetic neutrino sent from powerful astronomical objects