PMIs probably dominate EA state heads summit
Jun 22, 2015 11:15 am UTC| Commentary
In terms of data (full details below), euro area flash composite PMIs to edge down in June are looked to 53.4 (consensus: 53.5), due to lower services confidence (consensus: 53.6), while manufacturing PMI should inch up to...

Japan's Consumption Tax hike effect drops out of annual rate – downside risks to rise towards summer
Jun 22, 2015 11:10 am UTC| Commentary
Japans nationwide CPI (excluding fresh food) probably remained flat in May from a year ago (0.0% yoy), marking a significant slowdown from the +0.3% yoy observed in April.There was a direct impact of 0.3pp on May CPI due...
Hope for agreement in the Greek debt dispute weighs on gold
Jun 22, 2015 10:58 am UTC| Commentary
Gold is hovering around the $1,200 per troy ounce mark as the new week gets underway, though it is tending more towards weakness. The slightly depreciating US dollar is doubtless preventing any sharper price falls. There...

UK retail sales strong but not that strong!
Jun 22, 2015 10:53 am UTC| Commentary
The first information on retail sales in (early) June will be given by the CBI Distributive Trades survey. The balance actually weakened from 18 to 12 in April and then, even more surprising, it surged to 51 in May.We can...
US oil rig count falls for the 28th consecutive week, but rigs added in two shale oil plays
Jun 22, 2015 10:50 am UTC| Commentary
Brent has climbed to $63.7 per barrel and WTI to above the $60 per barrel mark, notes Commerzbank. Growing concerns about national bankruptcy in Greece had driven oil prices down by as much as 2% on Friday. In actual fact,...

UK's mortgage approvals heading up
Jun 22, 2015 10:44 am UTC| Commentary
In April, official mortgage approvals made the largest monthly gain since February 2009. Fundamental conditions of housing demand are continuing to improve. The 2-year fixed rate mortgage rate has halved in the last two...

UK's manufacturing confidence looking a bit soft
Jun 22, 2015 09:28 am UTC| Commentary
Recent surveys have shown a clear deceleration in manufacturing output growth in line with a softening of orders. It is strange that the main reason for the weakness of orders appears to be a fall in export demand as this...