China, a considerable factor in Fed's rate hike decision
Oct 14, 2015 05:18 am UTC| Commentary
Many participants saw Chinas effects on the US economic activity and inflation as small or transitory. Nevertheless, the FOMC decided that it was prudent to wait for additional information confirming that the economic...
Chinese policy: finding right weapon
Oct 14, 2015 05:17 am UTC| Commentary
China is going through a very awkward transition period. It is not only trying to rebalance the economy, it is also trying to improve the allocation of capital through the reform and anticorruption campaign. Hence, it is...

The slowly disappearing US labor market slack
Oct 14, 2015 05:07 am UTC| Commentary Economy
After the decision not to hike in September, the FOMC statement repeated that the Committee would like to see some further improvement in the labor market and it would like to be reasonably confident that inflation will...
Chinese growth: the good, the bad and the ugly
Oct 14, 2015 05:06 am UTC| Commentary
Regarding GDP data, a fair reading of all of the major data releases in China suggests that the economy is gradually slowing down, not suddenly tumbling into recession. Industrial output is steadily slowing, running at...
US payroll shock weighs on Fed's lift-off
Oct 14, 2015 04:57 am UTC| Commentary
Surveys showed that respondents were about evenly split on US Feds September versus December hike, and the December call had to be defended against claims that the Fed was ready for liftoff.On October 2, the Employment...
U.K. Inflation Forecast Update
Oct 14, 2015 04:53 am UTC| Commentary
U.K. both consumer and producer price data came in again largely in line with expectation.The countrys CPI inflation is expected to average 0.0% this year and 1.3% next year, a touch below our previous forecast of +0.1%...
Aussie slides as Westpac to raise mortgage rates by 20bps
Oct 14, 2015 04:49 am UTC| Commentary
The Australian dollar shifted down a gear on Wednesday morning in Sydney after Westpac Bank hiked mortgage rates in an effort to meet new regulatory capital requirements, prompting fresh calls for the RBA to lower rates in...