South Korean consumption recovery to be supported by income and credit growth
Nov 23, 2015 22:35 pm UTC| Commentary
The impressive consumption growth (1.1% qoq) in Q3 2015 should be interpreted as the beginning of a much-awaited consumption recovery in addition to normalisation after the negative shock caused by MERS. The consumption...
Smaller drag from stock-building expected to push US Q3 GDP growth higher
Nov 23, 2015 22:20 pm UTC| Commentary
Data released since the Bureau of Economic Analysis advance report on Q3 real GDP suggest that growth probably clocked in at 2.2% annualized during the summer quarter growth, a marked improvement from the previously posted...
Australia's economic growth rebalancing progressing reasonably well
Nov 23, 2015 22:11 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
Resource investment retrenchment an easing headwind. Mining investment peaked in Q4 2012 and by Q2 2015 it had declined by 33% - or from around 8% of GDP to 5%, according to the RBA. But it estimates that the decline is...
UK economic growth strong but slowing
Nov 23, 2015 21:56 pm UTC| Commentary
The combination of inflation falling to zero and an upturn in earnings growth has led to a surge in real disposable income. At the same time, unemployment has continued to fall and consumer confidence has held at record...
French capex growth to accelerate to 2.7% yoy in 2016
Nov 23, 2015 21:43 pm UTC| Commentary Economy
Non-financial corporate investment increased for the sixth quarter in a row in Q3 15(+0.7% qoq, 2.1% yoy). From an historical point of view, the capex recovery remains modest (it usually increases by 4% during cyclical...
Net exports unlikely to carry future German growth
Nov 23, 2015 21:24 pm UTC| Commentary
With structural headwinds to German exports, the contribution of net exports is expected to be neutral at best over the coming five years. This shift in growth composition should be accompanied by a growing tide in favour...
US Existing home sales start fourth quarter on a weaker footing
Nov 23, 2015 16:19 pm UTC| Commentary
Coming on the heels of a large gain in September, sales of existing homes declined by 3.4% m/m in October, falling to 5.36 million units (annualized). Octobers print was below the consensus forecast, which called for sales...