A ‘hockey stick’ hiking cycle likely from Fed over next two years

Dec 11, 2015 05:19 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

US Federal Reserve is likely to start monetary policy tightening in its upcoming meeting in December 2015, and therefore the central bank will have continued market attention in next year as well, as market would be...

Buybacks and acquisitions to support U.S. equities in 2016

Dec 11, 2015 05:18 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Since US Federal Reserve reduced interest rates to zero level and purchased assets, worth $4 trillion, US corporations have taken up strategies of buy backs, higher dividends and debt fuelled mergers and acquisition to...

Currency War Series

SNB on hold as expected

Dec 10, 2015 19:32 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The Swiss National Bank (SNB) left policy rates unchanged, no surprise. It expects a weaker CHF over time, something that is also needed to support growth and to bring inflation closer to target. More easing from the ECB...

BoE data depended rather than Fed-dependent

Dec 10, 2015 18:39 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As expected the MPC members again voted 8-1 for keeping the rates unchanged and unanimously to maintain the stock of purchased assets at the 9 December MPC meeting. This was the fifth time in row that the MPC member Ian...

CBR to keep rate on hold following disappointing inflation

Dec 10, 2015 18:34 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Russian macroeconomic conditions have soured again just as the Bank of Russia (CBR) approaches a rate decision on Friday 11 December. It is a familiar sequence of events. Global oil prices have declined to new lows,...

RBNZ monetary policy – assessing the bias

Dec 10, 2015 12:08 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Reserve bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has reduced policy rates today by 25 basis points and brought the overnight cash rate (OCR) to 2.5%. New Zealand Dollar, moved up despite policy reduction as market is expecting a big...

Markets agree on Fed hike next week, labor market key to understand tightening bias

Dec 10, 2015 11:32 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

FOMC meets next week, and it is now more than certain that the Fed will rates from near zero, with probabilities around 85%, which is as close as the market can price it ahead of the meeting. Attention now is moving away...