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FxWirePro: The Day Ahead- 15th December, 2016

Dec 15, 2016 05:59 am UTC| Commentary Economy Central Banks

Lots of economic dockets and events scheduled for today and some with very high volatility risks associated. Data released so far: Australia: Consumer inflation expectations rose to 3.4 percent in December....

U.S. Fed hikes rates by 25bps, may hike again mid-2017 – Nordea Bank

Dec 15, 2016 05:46 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

As was widely anticipated, the U.S. Fed hiked the fed funds rate by 25 basis points to a target range of 0.50-0.75 percent. This is the first rise since December 2015. It was a unanimous decision to hike the rates....

UK households maintain hawkish stance towards Bank of England monetary policy - Markit

Dec 14, 2016 15:24 pm UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Survey published by IHS Markit on Wednesday showed UK current inflation perceptions picked up for the third straight month in December, with the respective seasonally adjusted index rising to 76.0. The indes was up to a...

FX Hedging Strategy Series

FxWirePro: A year rate hike speculation comes to end, ECB surprises steeper EUR vol curve with soft taper, can Fed also deliver astounding forward guidance?

Dec 14, 2016 13:04 pm UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis

Steeper EUR vol curve on ECBs soft taper As has become par for the course in recent years, the December ECB meeting surprised by delivering a soft taper that reduced the pace of asset purchases, but forestalled a vicious...

Sweden 1-2 year inflation expectations continue to rise, reduce likelihood of Riksbank rate cut

Dec 14, 2016 12:21 pm UTC| Insights & Views Economy Central Banks

According to Prosperas quarterly survey, the Riksbanks much watched Sweden inflation expectations for the five-year horizon came in at 1.95 percent in December, down from the 2.00 percent in September. Inflation...

Central Banking Series

FOMC interest rate projections review since 2013

Dec 14, 2016 11:25 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

The above figure represents FOMC interest rate projections since 2013 and we would try to assess todays meeting from the past projections. First of all, a rate hike is completely priced in and the financial markets are...

Deutsche Bank lays out probable markets reactions to Fed

Dec 14, 2016 09:10 am UTC| Commentary Central Banks

Deutsche Bank laid out probable market reactions after US Federal Reserves monetary policy decision. According to the investment bank, there are three probable scenarios; a hawkish hike, a neutral hike, and a dovish hike...

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Economy

Bessent: Global Oil Market Well Supplied as U.S. Eyes Hormuz Navigation Control

U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent reassured markets on Monday that the global oil supply remains stable, pointing to increased vessel traffic through the Strait of Hormuz as a key indicator of improving conditions....

Aluminum Prices Surge Toward Four-Year Highs After Gulf Smelter Strikes

Global aluminum prices shot up sharply on Monday, approaching levels not seen in nearly four years after Iranian missile and drone attacks caused significant damage to major smelting facilities across the Gulf region. The...

Goldman Sachs Sees Value in European Real Estate Stocks Despite Sharp Selloff

European real estate stocks have taken a significant hit since late February, tumbling roughly 14% as rising bond yields and widening credit spreads weigh heavily on the sector. According to Goldman Sachs, valuations have...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady Amid U.S.-Israel-Iran Tensions and BOJ Signals

Asian currencies traded within a narrow range Monday as geopolitical uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran continued to weigh on regional sentiment. Most currencies in the region remained under...

Asian Stocks Drop Amid Iran War Fears and BOJ Rate Hike Signals

Asian equity markets declined sharply on Monday as investors reacted to mounting geopolitical tensions surrounding the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, while hawkish signals from the Bank of Japan added further pressure on...

Politics

Trump Warns of Iran Strikes as Nuclear Deal Talks Intensify

President Donald Trump signaled cautious optimism Monday over ongoing negotiations with Iran, while simultaneously issuing stark warnings about potential military escalation if a deal fails to materialize. In a Truth...

Ukrainian Drones and the #MadeByHousewives Movement: Kyiv Fires Back at Rheinmetall CEO

Ukraines drone program has become a global flashpoint after Rheinmetall CEO Armin Papperger sparked widespread backlash by dismissing Ukrainian defense innovation as amateur work carried out by women with 3D printers at...

U.S.-Iran War Talks Emerge Amid Ongoing Strikes and Economic Fallout

Diplomatic efforts to end the month-long U.S.-Iran war are gaining momentum, even as military operations intensify across the Middle East. President Donald Trump confirmed Sunday that the United States and Iran have...

Myanmar's Military Chief Steps Down to Pursue Presidency After Controversial Election

Myanmars military leader Min Aung Hlaing resigned as commander-in-chief on Monday to pursue the countrys presidency, marking a significant political shift following the nations first elections since the 2021 military coup...

UNIFIL Peacekeeper Killed in Southern Lebanon as Tensions Escalate

A United Nations peacekeeper was killed and several others were wounded after a projectile struck a UNIFIL position near the southern Lebanese village of Adchit al-Qusayr on Sunday. Indonesias foreign ministry confirmed...

Science

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

NASA and SpaceX Target Crew-11 Undocking From ISS Amid Medical Concern

NASA has confirmed that the agency, in coordination with SpaceX, is targeting no earlier than 5 p.m. Eastern Time (2200 GMT) on Wednesday, January 14, for the undocking of the SpaceX Crew-11 mission from the International...

Neuralink Plans High-Volume Brain Implant Production and Fully Automated Surgery by 2026

Elon Musks brain-computer interface company Neuralink is preparing for a major expansion, announcing plans to begin high-volume production of its brain implant devices and transition to a fully automated surgical procedure...

Technology

Cybersecurity Stocks Tumble After Anthropic's Claude Mythos AI Leak Sparks Market Fears

Major cybersecurity stocks took a sharp hit Friday following reports that Anthropic accidentally exposed details about its next-generation AI model before its official launch. CrowdStrike fell 7%, Palo Alto Networks...

Chinese Universities with PLA Ties Found Purchasing Restricted U.S. AI Chips Through Super Micro Servers

Procurement records reveal that four Chinese universities, two of which have direct ties to the Peoples Liberation Army, acquired Super Micro Computer servers loaded with restricted Nvidia AI chips over the past year. The...

Federal Judge Blocks Pentagon's Blacklisting of AI Company Anthropic

A federal judge has temporarily prevented the Pentagon from enforcing its designation of Anthropic as a national security supply-chain risk, dealing an early blow to the Trump administration in a growing dispute over...

SMIC Allegedly Supplies Chipmaking Tools to Iran's Military, U.S. Officials Warn

Chinas top semiconductor manufacturer, SMIC (Semiconductor Manufacturing International Corporation), has reportedly been transferring chipmaking equipment to Irans military industrial complex, according to two senior Trump...

Google's TurboQuant Algorithm Sends Memory Chip Stocks Tumbling

Major memory chipmakers took a significant hit on Thursday after Google researchers introduced a groundbreaking compression algorithm that threatens to reduce artificial intelligence demand for memory chips. Samsung...
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