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FxWirePro: Turkish Lira Seems Fragile On CBT’s Surprising Rate Cuts – Uphold USD/TRY Debit Call Spread

Apr 23, 2020 12:33 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Yesterdays CBTs MPC meeting could have gone in one of two ways: we held an original base view that CBT would cut the benchmark rate by 100bp; but we later revised this to 50bp because the lira was weakening exponentially...

FxWirePro: Singapore Extends Lockdown As Well As Fiscal Stimulus – Activate ATM Delta Instruments & RVs

Apr 22, 2020 14:59 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Singapore will extend the circuit breaker ala lockdown by four weeks to 1-June. The sensational headlines will read that Singapore has lost control of the fight on Covid-19 as the number of cases shot up 9-fold to above...

FxWirePro: Brazilian Lira Seems Edgy On BCB Rate Cut Speculation – Hedge USD/BRL Via Optionality

Apr 21, 2020 15:19 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Following its last rate meeting the Brazilian central bank did not give the impression that it was going to cut interest rates further. In March it had cut its key rate by 50bp to 3.75% and had said in its statement that...

FxWirePro: Bearish/Bullish Driving Forces of GBPJPY, OTC Updates And Hedging Perspectives Ahead of UK PMIs And BoJ MPS

Apr 21, 2020 09:07 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Bearish GBPJPY Scenarios: 1) The UK-EU fail to agree on a trade deal and the UK exits the transition period on WTO terms (GBPUSD to 1.20, potentially 1.10). 2) The economic lockdown is extended into June, delaying...

FxWirePro: CBR’s Cushions Ruble Momentarily Through FX Reserve – Uphold USD/RUB Options Positions

Apr 20, 2020 14:25 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

CBR governor Elvira Nabiullina held a press conference last Friday, where she de facto confirmed that the central bank was ready to resume cutting rates. This is significant because CBR had paused rate cuts last month...

FxWIrePro: EUR/JPY Hedging Strategies Ahead of EU Summit And BoJ Monetary Policy

Apr 20, 2020 10:36 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Today, the measures to combat the coronavirus in Germany will be eased for the first time. Further steps in this direction should follow. This will also shift the focus on the markets away from the extent of the slump...

FxWirePro: Turkish Lira On Verge Of Retesting All-Time Lows Despite CBT Intervention – Uphold USD/TRY Debit Call Spreads

Apr 17, 2020 13:09 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

USDTRY has been edging ever closer to the 7.00 mark as predicted in our recent post despite the central bank combatting the trend using indirect FX interventions. CBTs own FX reserves have fallen to a low c.$27bn in net...

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Economy

Gold Prices Rise as Weak US Retail Sales Cut Fed Rate Hike Bets

Gold prices edged higher on Friday and headed for a weekly gain as weaker-than-expected U.S. retail sales further reduced expectations for a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. Spot gold rose 0.5% to $4,374.30...

S&P 500 Retreats From Record High as AI Stocks Slide, Retail Sales Disappoint

The SP 500 closed lower on Friday, retreating from its latest record high as weakness in AI-related stocks and disappointing U.S. retail sales weighed on investor sentiment. The SP 500 fell 0.17% to 7,785.76, while the...

Trump Imposes New Tariffs on Drone Imports Over US Security Concerns

President Donald Trump has announced new tariffs on imported drones and drone components, citing national security concerns and the United States heavy dependence on foreign suppliers. Under a proclamation signed by Trump,...

Strait of Hormuz Shipping Near Standstill After New Vessel Attacks

Shipping through the Strait of Hormuz slowed to a near standstill on Friday after two more vessels were attacked, while the United States signaled it could maintain its naval blockade of Iran indefinitely. The disruption...

US Dollar Slips as Weak Retail Sales Reduce Fed Rate Hike Bets

The U.S. dollar edged lower on Friday as weaker economic data prompted traders to scale back expectations for another Federal Reserve rate hike. Despite the decline, the greenback was poised to end a two-week losing streak...

Politics

US Presses Netanyahu to Condemn West Bank Settler Siege

The United States is urging Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to publicly condemn militant Israeli settlers accused of besieging Palestinian families in Qusra, a village in the occupied West Bank, according to U.S....

Haftar Helps Broker Release of American Hostage Held by ISIS Affiliate

Libyan military commander Khalifa Haftar helped broker the release of an American hostage held by an Islamic State affiliate in West Africas Sahel region, according to four sources familiar with the negotiations. Kevin...

Israeli Troops Enter Palestinian Homes as Settler Siege Grips West Bank Village

Israeli troops took positions inside Palestinian homes in the occupied West Bank village of Qusra on Thursday as a settler siege left families trapped without electricity or water, according to the village mayor and...

Jared Kushner May Visit Israel for Gaza Talks Next Week

U.S. President Donald Trumps envoy and son-in-law, Jared Kushner, could travel to Israel next week for talks aimed at advancing the administrations Gaza peace plan, according to a source familiar with the matter. Axios...

Albanese Says AUKUS ‘Full Steam Ahead’ After Trump Call

Australian Prime Minister Anthony Albanese said the AUKUS defence pact remains full steam ahead following a lengthy phone call with U.S. President Donald Trump, as Canberra also pushes Washington for a complete exemption...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Alphabet’s SpaceX Investment Soars 100-Fold to $94 Billion

Alphabets early investment in SpaceX has delivered extraordinary returns, with the Google parents stake valued at roughly $94.2 billion at the end of June. The company originally invested $900 million in Elon Musks rocket...

Stripe, Advent Reportedly Pursue $53 Billion PayPal Takeover

Stripe and private equity firm Advent International reportedly offered to acquire PayPal for $60.50 per share in July, valuing the payments company at roughly $53 billion. PayPal rejected the proposal as too low, but...

J.P. Morgan Upgrades SanDisk, Sets $2,250 Price Target on AI NAND Growth

J.P. Morgan upgraded SanDisk to Overweight from Not Rated and set a December 2027 price target of $2,250, citing stronger long-term growth prospects following the flash memory companys 2026 Investor Day in New York....

Micron Stock Upgraded to Buy as New Street Sees $2 Trillion Valuation Potential

New Street Research has upgraded Micron Technology (NASDAQ: MU) to a Buy rating with a $1,250 price target, arguing that the semiconductor company is entering a fundamentally different memory cycle driven largely by...

Apple Develops China-Specific AI Model With Alibaba as Apple Intelligence Launch Nears

Apple Inc. (NASDAQ: AAPL) has reportedly developed a large language model specifically for China in collaboration with Alibaba (HK: 9988), signaling a significant shift in the iPhone makers artificial intelligence strategy...
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