The Bank of Korea meets tomorrow to decide interest rates and expectations are for the BOK to turn dovish. The probability of a rate cut is currently high due to a weaker global manufacturing index, lower stock prices and lower inflation, which more than offset a weaker KRW.
But the BOK would prefer to wait until financial market volatility subsides. All 13 economists (including Nomura) surveyed by Bloomberg expect the BOK to stay on hold at 1.50% tomorrow.
The January meeting minutes implies that there is only one dovish member in the Monetary Policy Committee, who mentioned the increasing downside threats to inflation and growth that requires to be addressed by monetary policy.
"Given deteriorating macro data, we assign a 40% probability to a rate cut tomorrow and a 60% probability to a cut thereafter. As such, we would not be surprised if one or two MPC members dissented with their votes." said Nomura in a report


BOJ Expected to Hold Rates Steady While Signaling More Hikes Ahead
Fed Holds Interest Rates Steady as Kevin Warsh Says Rising Treasury Yields Tighten Financial Conditions
Brazil Cuts Selic Rate to 14% as Inflation Eases but Risks Persist
BOJ Seen Holding Rates at 1% While Keeping Inflation Risk Warning
Australia Inflation Cools as Core CPI Misses Forecasts, Easing RBA Rate Hike Pressure
Best Gold Stocks to Buy Now: AABB, GOLD, GDX




