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FxWirePro: Luring Vega longs in AUD/USD as IV skews move in tandem with RRs ahead of RBA – Hedge using Reverse Put Spreads

Sep 26, 2017 07:38 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We reckon the USD rebound appears to be stalling despite the upbeat US CPI and the rate expectations have remained largely unchanged. A rate hike in December is still only priced in at only two thirds to give US yields an...

FxWirePro: Aussie seems edgy ahead of cash rates, what drives RBA to remain on hold?

Sep 26, 2017 07:15 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

RBA is scheduled for its cash rates announcement on Oct 2nd, the consensus for this monetary policy is to maintain status quo. Well, if the Aussie central bank remains firmly on hold, as we expect, and the US dollar...

FxWirePro: China seems risky venture, Escalating risk premium and rationale hedging amid North Korean potential threats

Sep 25, 2017 13:51 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Escalating risk premium: The rise in geostrategic tensions on the Korean peninsula has certainly impacted domestic market sentiment. The risk aversion around this issue can still rise further and broaden. For EM Asia...

FxWirePro: A bird’s eye-view on EM Asian rates and FX derivatives

Sep 25, 2017 13:06 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Two years on from Chinas melodramatic currency regime (devaluation mechanism of its currency) in August 2015, the event prolongs to cast a long shadow over the foreign exchange market since then. The considerable downward...

FxWirePro: Wise hedging schemes for KRW amid North Korean tail risks

Sep 25, 2017 12:24 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The demand for some protection in Korean assets is evident in risk reversals in the FX market. But after visiting Asian based investors last week there is a clear preference to fade the risk and harvest the vol/skew...

FxWirePro: How to perceive compression of dollar risk reversals - Writing deep OTM far-month USD puts wise way for aggressive bears

Sep 25, 2017 11:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Federal Reserve offered up a clearly hawkish monetary policy - confounding markets skepticism and staging the Dollar Risk trends are perhaps at greatest risk of volatility moving forward post-Fed QE plans, but it...

FxWirePro: BI outpaces rate cut; IDR drifts in narrow range – Hedge USD/IDR upside risks via 3m NDFs

Sep 25, 2017 10:01 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We discuss the reasons behind USDIDR stability but see a modest rise towards year-end 2017. In addition, we believe the INR is sensitive to the more hawkish tones emanating from other major central banks and is exposed to...

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Economy

Asian Markets Hold Steady Ahead of Trump's Iran Deadline as Oil Tops $110

Asian equity markets traded within tight ranges on Tuesday as cautious investors stepped back from risk assets ahead of a critical U.S. deadline tied to the escalating Iran conflict. With President Donald Trump warning...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady as Trump's Iran Deadline Rattles Markets

Most Asian currencies and the U.S. dollar remained largely unchanged on Tuesday as global investors adopted a cautious stance ahead of President Donald Trumps looming deadline for potential military action against Iran....

Global LNG Exports Drop 4% in Q1 2026 as Qatar Shutdown Reshapes Energy Markets

Global liquefied natural gas exports declined 4% quarter-on-quarter in the first three months of 2026, falling to 115 million tonnes, as Qatars sudden terminal shutdown in March sent ripples across international energy...

ECB Warns of Rising Inflation Risks Amid Iran War Energy Shock

The European Central Bank faces mounting pressure to act decisively as inflation risks intensify across the euro zone. ECB Governing Council member Dimitar Radev has cautioned that price expectations could shift more...

Energy Prices and Dollar Climb as U.S.-Iran Conflict Grips Global Markets

The U.S. dollar remained close to recent highs on Tuesday as global markets braced for a critical deadline set by President Donald Trump, demanding Iran reopen the Strait of Hormuz to international shipping or face...

Politics

Russia Secretly Aids Iran With Satellite Intelligence and Cyber Support Across the Middle East

A Ukrainian intelligence assessment has revealed that Russian satellites conducted at least 24 detailed reconnaissance missions over 11 Middle Eastern countries between March 21 and 31, surveying 46 strategic locations to...

Trump May Delay Iran Military Strike If Diplomatic Deal Shows Promise

President Donald Trump is reportedly open to postponing planned military action against Iran should credible signs of a diplomatic breakthrough emerge, according to multiple media outlets citing an Axios report. U.S....

Iran-Israel War Escalates as Trump's Ceasefire Deadline Looms

Tensions in the Middle East reached a critical flashpoint as Iran and Israel continued exchanging strikes, with Tehran firmly rejecting a U.S.-brokered ceasefire proposal just hours before a deadline issued by President...

Vance Visits Hungary to Back Orban Ahead of Pivotal 2025 Elections

U.S. Vice President JD Vance is traveling to Hungary this week in a show of political solidarity with Prime Minister Viktor Orban, who faces his most difficult re-election battle since coming to power in 2010. The two-day...

China's Push to Steal Taiwan's Chip Technology and Talent Raises Security Alarms

Taiwans National Security Bureau has raised serious concerns about Beijings escalating efforts to infiltrate the islands world-class semiconductor industry. According to a report submitted to Taiwanese lawmakers, China is...

Science

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

SpaceX Prioritizes Moon Mission Before Mars as Starship Development Accelerates

Elon Musks SpaceX is shifting its near-term space exploration strategy, choosing to prioritize a return to the Moon before pursuing missions to Mars, according to a recent Wall Street Journal report citing sources familiar...

Technology

Samsung Electronics Posts Eightfold Profit Surge Driven by AI Chip Demand

Samsung Electronics delivered a stunning financial turnaround in the first quarter of 2025, projecting operating profit of approximately 57.2 trillion won (roughly $38 billion) a more than eightfold increase compared to...

Apple's Foldable iPhone Faces Engineering Setbacks, Mass Production Timeline at Risk

Apples highly anticipated foldable iPhone is running into significant engineering hurdles during its test phase, raising concerns about potential delays in both mass production and product shipments, according to a report...

Britain Courts Anthropic Amid US Defense Department Dispute

The United Kingdom is actively working to attract Anthropic, the company behind the popular Claude AI app, to expand its footprint in the country. This diplomatic push comes as Anthropic finds itself in the middle of a...

OpenAI Executive Shake-Up Ahead of Anticipated 2026 IPO

OpenAI is navigating a significant leadership restructuring at one of the most pivotal moments in its history. The AI powerhouse confirmed that Chief Operating Officer Brad Lightcap is transitioning into a newly created...

Elon Musk Ties SpaceX IPO Access to Mandatory Grok AI Subscriptions

Elon Musk is reportedly making Grok subscriptions a prerequisite for banks and advisers involved in SpaceXs highly anticipated initial public offering. According to the New York Times, citing insiders familiar with the...