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FxWirePro: Luring Vega longs in AUD/USD as IV skews move in tandem with RRs ahead of RBA – Hedge using Reverse Put Spreads

Sep 26, 2017 07:38 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We reckon the USD rebound appears to be stalling despite the upbeat US CPI and the rate expectations have remained largely unchanged. A rate hike in December is still only priced in at only two thirds to give US yields an...

FxWirePro: Aussie seems edgy ahead of cash rates, what drives RBA to remain on hold?

Sep 26, 2017 07:15 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

RBA is scheduled for its cash rates announcement on Oct 2nd, the consensus for this monetary policy is to maintain status quo. Well, if the Aussie central bank remains firmly on hold, as we expect, and the US dollar...

FxWirePro: China seems risky venture, Escalating risk premium and rationale hedging amid North Korean potential threats

Sep 25, 2017 13:51 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Escalating risk premium: The rise in geostrategic tensions on the Korean peninsula has certainly impacted domestic market sentiment. The risk aversion around this issue can still rise further and broaden. For EM Asia...

FxWirePro: A bird’s eye-view on EM Asian rates and FX derivatives

Sep 25, 2017 13:06 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Two years on from Chinas melodramatic currency regime (devaluation mechanism of its currency) in August 2015, the event prolongs to cast a long shadow over the foreign exchange market since then. The considerable downward...

FxWirePro: Wise hedging schemes for KRW amid North Korean tail risks

Sep 25, 2017 12:24 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The demand for some protection in Korean assets is evident in risk reversals in the FX market. But after visiting Asian based investors last week there is a clear preference to fade the risk and harvest the vol/skew...

FxWirePro: How to perceive compression of dollar risk reversals - Writing deep OTM far-month USD puts wise way for aggressive bears

Sep 25, 2017 11:59 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The Federal Reserve offered up a clearly hawkish monetary policy - confounding markets skepticism and staging the Dollar Risk trends are perhaps at greatest risk of volatility moving forward post-Fed QE plans, but it...

FxWirePro: BI outpaces rate cut; IDR drifts in narrow range – Hedge USD/IDR upside risks via 3m NDFs

Sep 25, 2017 10:01 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We discuss the reasons behind USDIDR stability but see a modest rise towards year-end 2017. In addition, we believe the INR is sensitive to the more hawkish tones emanating from other major central banks and is exposed to...

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Economy

Oil Prices Drop as Middle East Supply Recovery Eases Market Concerns

Global oil prices continued to decline on Thursday, reaching levels close to those seen before tensions escalated between Iran and its regional rivals. The sharp drop in crude prices reflects growing confidence that oil...

White House Seeks $87.6 Billion Emergency Funding for Iran War, Farmers, and Ebola Response

The White House has formally asked Congress to approve an $87.6 billion supplemental spending package aimed at covering expenses tied to the ongoing Iran war, while also providing funding for American farmers and...

Japan Signals Preference for Low Interest Rates as BOJ Policy Debate Intensifies

Japans government is preparing to push for a monetary policy that supports stronger private demand, highlighting its preference for keeping borrowing costs low even as the Bank of Japan (BOJ) continues normalizing interest...

Gold Drops Below $4,000 as Strong US Dollar and Fed Rate Hike Expectations Pressure Bullion

Gold prices continued their downward trend during Asian trading on Thursday, falling to their lowest level in more than seven months as a stronger U.S. dollar and growing expectations of additional Federal Reserve interest...

South Korea’s KOSPI Jumps Over 5% as Samsung, SK Hynix Rally on Micron Earnings Boost

South Koreas benchmark KOSPI index soared more than 5% at Thursdays market open, prompting the Korea Exchange (KRX) to temporarily halt program trading after a sharp rally fueled by leading semiconductor stocks. The...

Politics

US Mobilizes Aid After Powerful Earthquakes Devastate Venezuela

Powerful earthquakes that struck Venezuela on Wednesday have prompted an immediate response from the United States, which is coordinating with Venezuelan authorities and preparing emergency assistance for the disaster-hit...

US Urges States and Businesses to Strengthen Taiwan Ties Amid China Pressure

The United States has urged state governments and private businesses to strengthen their engagement with Taiwan after raising concerns that Chinese officials have been attempting to discourage such relationships. According...

Young Brazilian Voters Shift Right Ahead of 2026 Election

As Brazil prepares for its October presidential election, a growing number of young voters are moving away from the left, signaling a major political shift that could influence the countrys future. Many who once supported...

Pelosi Discloses Major Intel and Uber Call Option Purchases Worth Up to $6 Million

Representative Nancy Pelosi has disclosed a new financial transaction report revealing that her spouse, Paul Pelosi, purchased substantial call options in Intel Corporation (NASDAQ: INTC) and Uber Technologies Inc. (NYSE:...

Trump Requests $11 Billion More in Farm Aid as Rising Costs Pressure U.S. Farmers

U.S. President Donald Trump has asked Congress to approve more than $11 billion in additional farm aid to help American farmers cope with soaring fuel and fertilizer expenses linked to the recent Iran conflict. According...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Kioxia Targets U.S. Listing as AI Chip Boom Accelerates

Japan-based Kioxia Holdings Corp. (TYO:285A) is preparing to launch U.S. depositary shares in the spring of 2027, a strategic move aimed at expanding its global investor base and taking advantage of growing enthusiasm for...

Doncasters Raises $919 Million in NYSE IPO as Aerospace Growth Accelerates

Doncasters has successfully raised $919.3 million through its U.S. initial public offering (IPO), marking a significant milestone in the aerospace components manufacturers long-term transformation. The historic British...

SK Hynix Targets $29.4 Billion Nasdaq Listing to Expand AI Chip Business

SK Hynix has announced plans to raise as much as $29.4 billion through a Nasdaq listing in the United States, positioning the deal as one of the largest global stock offerings in history. The South Korean memory chip...

Alibaba Shares Fall After Anthropic Alleges Massive AI Model Distillation Campaign

Alibaba Groups Hong Kong-listed shares dropped sharply on Thursday after reports revealed that U.S.-based artificial intelligence company Anthropic accused the Chinese tech giant of conducting a large-scale campaign to...

Samsung and SK Hynix Shares Jump After Micron Earnings Boost AI Chip Optimism

Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix posted strong gains on Thursday after Micron Technology delivered record quarterly earnings and issued a stronger-than-expected revenue forecast, reinforcing confidence in the growing...