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FxWirePro: Spike in Turkish tourism seems trivial against widening current account deficit, lira still fragile – Uphold bullish hedging

Nov 30, 2017 12:45 pm UTC| Research & Analysis

The lira continues to be on tenterhooks as Iran sanctions hearings in the US proceed. Yesterday did not bring fresh adverse news on this front, however. Meanwhile, the Tourism Ministry published tourist arrival figures for...

FxWirePro: Why long EUR vega strategy with constructive vols rolldown?

Nov 30, 2017 12:13 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

As per last weekly reporting, European high yield funds registered an outflow of 771mm (1.3% of AUM) for the week ending 22 November. There was a 143mm (2.1% of AUM) net outflow for ETFs and a 53mm (0.6% of AUM) net...

FxWirePro: Hedge dual-risk in EUR rates after recent developments via Vega strategy

Nov 30, 2017 10:44 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The medium-term view on the euro remains bullish in anticipation of a pivot in ECB policy. The recent political developments in the Euro area have also garnered the attention. Buy EUR bottom-right vega EUR vega is...

FxWirePro: USD/KRW forms gap-up, long buzzing rumor and short the fact via 1:2 call ratio spreads on BoK event

Nov 30, 2017 08:53 am UTC| Central Banks Research & Analysis Insights & Views

Finally, USDKRW took a break from the streaks of bearish swings today. Entering the new week, USDKRW stabilized at 1087 level with a gap up opening today. The Bank of Korea raised its base rate by 25 basis points this...

FxWirePro: What does mounting buying sentiments by FX reserves managers in bond markets imply?

Nov 30, 2017 07:42 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

FX reserve managers, which have started accumulating reserves again since the second half of 2016, are on track to be purchasing $140bn of bonds this year with a further rise likely for 2018. Assuming continued capital...

FxWirePro: Fair interpretation of EUR/USD vol curve and precise evaluation of risk reversals and wise hedging strategies to mitigate FX risks

Nov 30, 2017 06:45 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

The recent increase in steepness of EURUSD vol curves is not quite a sub-1Y phenomenon. The unique liquid long-tenured G7 surface that we are meticulously monitoring for ciphers of extreme curve shape is EURUSD, where the...

Announcement: Moody's: Mongolia's credit profile incorporates its strong growth potential, high debt burden and fragile external position

Nov 30, 2017 01:19 am UTC| Research & Analysis

Moodys Investors Service says that Mongolias (Caa1 stable) credit profile reflects the countrys strong growth potential, given its abundant mineral resources, but, also that, as a narrowly diversified economy, it is...

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Economy

Goldman Sachs, ANZ Cut Oil Forecasts Amid U.S.-Iran Ceasefire Hopes

Brent crude oil prices have tumbled more than 11% this week after the United States and Iran agreed to a two-week ceasefire, raising hopes that the Strait of Hormuz one of the worlds most critical oil shipping lanes ...

Bank of Japan Governor Signals Accommodative Stance Amid Negative Real Rates

Bank of Japan Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed on Thursday that Japans real interest rates remain firmly in negative territory, signaling that the countrys financial conditions continue to support economic growth. His...

Japan Consumer Confidence Drops Sharply Amid Rising Fuel Costs and Middle East Tensions

Japans consumer confidence took a significant hit in March, declining for the first time in three months as escalating fuel costs linked to the ongoing Middle East conflict continued to weigh heavily on the countrys...

China Set to Exit Deflation Cycle in Early 2026, ANZ Analysts Say

China may be closer to ending its prolonged deflationary period than financial markets currently anticipate, according to a recent note from ANZ analysts. The bank projects that three key price indicators the producer...

Asian Currencies Hold Steady as Middle East Ceasefire Doubts Weigh on Markets

Asian currencies showed little movement on Thursday following strong gains in the prior session, as investor caution mounted over the stability of a U.S.-Iran ceasefire deal amid escalating Middle East tensions. The U.S....

Politics

Trump Warns Iran: No Deal Means Military Action as U.S. Forces Hold Position

President Donald Trump escalated tensions with Iran on Wednesday, declaring that all U.S. military assets including ships, aircraft, and personnel would remain stationed in the region until a formal agreement with Tehran...

U.S. Pushes for Crypto Regulation to Keep Digital Asset Growth at Home

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent is calling on Congress to pass landmark federal cryptocurrency legislation, warning that regulatory uncertainty is pushing blockchain innovation and investment out of the United States. In...

North Korea Tests Advanced Cluster Bombs, Electromagnetic Weapons in Latest Military Display

North Korea has conducted a series of weapons tests this week, showcasing cutting-edge military technology including cluster-bomb warheads, electromagnetic weapons, and carbon-fibre bombs, according to state media outlet...

Trump Pardon Clears Juan Orlando Hernández as U.S. Court Dismisses Drug Conviction Appeal

A U.S. federal appeals court has dismissed the case against former Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernández, vacating his prior conviction following a presidential pardon granted by Donald Trump in December. The...

Taiwan Defense Budget: U.S. Senator Urges Legislature to Pass Spending Plan

Republican Senator Jim Banks visited Taipei and delivered a direct message to Taiwans President Lai Ching-te: the islands parliament must stop stalling and approve a proposed special defense budget. Banks, a member of the...

Science

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

NASA Artemis II: First Crewed Moon Mission Since Apollo Takes Four Astronauts on 10-Day Lunar Journey

NASAs Artemis II mission launched Wednesday, marking humanitys return to crewed lunar exploration for the first time since the Apollo era. Carrying four astronauts aboard the Orion spacecraft, this historic 10-day mission...

NASA's Artemis II Mission: First Crewed Lunar Journey Since Apollo

NASA's Artemis II Crew Arrives in Florida for Historic Moon Mission

The four astronauts chosen for NASAs Artemis II mission have touched down at Kennedy Space Center in Florida, marking the beginning of final launch preparations for the first crewed lunar journey in over 50 years. NASA...

SpaceX Pivots Toward Moon City as Musk Reframes Long-Term Space Vision

SpaceX CEO Elon Musk has revealed a significant shift in the companys near-term space exploration strategy, announcing that SpaceX is now prioritizing the development of a self-growing city on the Moon rather than focusing...

Technology

Bank of America Identifies Top Asia-Pacific Semiconductor Stocks Poised for AI-Driven Growth

Bank of America has spotlighted a select group of Asia-Pacific semiconductor companies well-positioned to ride the wave of surging artificial intelligence chip demand, with Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company...

China's AI Stocks Surge as Zhipu and MiniMax Hit Record Highs

Chinese artificial intelligence stocks continued their remarkable rally on Thursday, with Zhipu AI and MiniMax Group posting strong gains in Hong Kong trading as a wave of new model launches and product announcements...

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank Posts Strong Q3 Earnings, Announces AI-Driven Job Cuts

Bendigo and Adelaide Bank delivered an impressive financial performance in its third quarter, reporting a 12.8% surge in cash earnings to A$137.9 million for the three months ending March 31. The result came in roughly 12%...

Alibaba Shares Slide as Jefferies Slashes Price Target Over AI Spending and Business Losses

Alibabas Hong Kong-listed shares (HK:9988) dropped 2.9% to HK$122.70 on Thursday, emerging as one of the heaviest drags on the Hang Seng Index, which closed 0.6% lower. The selloff came after investment bank Jefferies...

Anthropic Fights Pentagon Blacklisting in Dual Federal Court Battles

A federal appeals court in Washington, D.C., has refused to halt the Pentagons national security blacklisting of AI company Anthropic, delivering a temporary win for the Trump administration. The ruling comes as another...