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FxWirePro: Sterling Looks Weaker On Gloomy Economic & Geopolitical Surface – Deploy ‘Debit Call Spreads’ To Hedge

Aug 13, 2020 09:06 am UTC| Research & Analysis Economy Insights & Views

The Corona crisis has hit the British economy comparatively hard. In addition, Brexit risks remain high, which is why we assume that the pound will continue to remain weak against the euro. Given that the UK and EU...

FxWirePro: USD/RUB Drivers, Projections & Trade Updates

Aug 12, 2020 13:52 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Russian rouble had weakened earlier in the spring, driven jointly by a collapse of the oil price and collapse of world economic activity. But when both these factors stabilised, the currency was able to rally...

FxWirePro: What Is Spotted-Out In August Seasonality of FX Vol?

Aug 12, 2020 13:14 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

August FX vol bounce is real, particularly in yen crosses but monthly vol rallies tend to be only of the order of 1vol. This relatively benign outcome leaves us comfortable with carrying short skews as a core theta-earning...

FxWirePro: Demand/Supply Equation & Hedging Strategy of Brent Crude

Aug 12, 2020 11:02 am UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

After six consecutive weeks of stalling global mobility, we trim our 2H20 demand assumptions by 1.5 mbd. The core demand scenario calls for a shallower recovery, rather than a renewed sharp downturn as governments,...

FxWirePro: Dollar Seems Apprehensive On Fed’s Concerns, Short USD/CHF

Aug 12, 2020 10:17 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

Negotiations on a new economic stimulus package in the USA are still at an impasse. Since Friday there are said to have been no more direct talks between Democrats and Republicans. The markets and the Dollar are still...

FxWirePro: Kiwis tumbles as RBNZ maintains status-quo but intends for LSAP – Uphold ‘diagonal put spreads’ to hedge NZD/USD

Aug 12, 2020 07:11 am UTC| Research & Analysis Central Banks Insights & Views

The Kiwis central bank (RBNZ) left the stance of monetary policy broadly unchanged today, as widely anticipated. The RBNZs headline was that a further easing in monetary policy has been delivered. But it is further only in...

FxWirePro: EUR/USD/JPY FVA Spread

Aug 11, 2020 15:13 pm UTC| Research & Analysis Insights & Views

We have further raised our EUR-USD forecast, as we believe that the depreciation trend of the US dollar is not yet over. It is becoming increasingly apparent that the Fed will stick to an ultra-expansionary monetary policy...

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Economy

Trump Threatens 100% Tariffs on Countries Imposing Digital Services Taxes on U.S. Tech Firms

U.S. President Donald Trump announced on Friday that the United States will impose a 100% tariff on imports from any country that enforces digital services taxes (DSTs) on American technology companies, significantly...

US Dollar Slips After PCE Inflation Data as Fed Rate Hike Expectations Stay Elevated

The U.S. dollar edged lower on Friday, extending its decline for a second consecutive session after a six-day winning streak pushed the greenback to its strongest level since May 2025. Despite the modest pullback, the...

Gold Price Ends Lower for Fourth Week Despite Rebound as Fed Rate Hike Bets Strengthen

Gold prices rebounded more than 1% on Friday but still finished the week in negative territory, as renewed expectations of Federal Reserve interest rate hikes and a stronger U.S. dollar continued to pressure the precious...

Wall Street Ends Lower as AI Stocks Drag Markets, Fed Rate Outlook Shifts

Wall Street closed slightly lower on Friday, capping a difficult week for U.S. equities as technology stocks led the decline. With geopolitical tensions easing following diplomatic progress in the Middle East and oil...

South Korea’s KOSPI Plunges as Apple Price Hikes and OpenAI IPO Delay Shake AI Chip Stocks

South Koreas benchmark KOSPI index suffered a steep selloff on Friday as investors dumped technology and semiconductor stocks following Apples latest price increases and reports that OpenAI may delay its highly anticipated...

Politics

US Seizes Nearly 400 Illegal World Cup Streaming Domains in Global Anti-Piracy Crackdown

U.S. authorities have seized nearly 400 internet domains that were allegedly used to illegally stream FIFA World Cup matches, marking one of the largest anti-piracy enforcement actions tied to the global soccer tournament....

Iran Revolutionary Guards Claim Strike on U.S. Military Positions After Fresh U.S. Attack

Irans Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) announced on Saturday that it had targeted U.S. military positions across the region in retaliation for what it described as a fresh U.S. military strike against Iran,...

Texas Approves Bible-Inclusive Reading Lists for Public Schools Starting in 2030

Texas has approved new mandatory reading lists for public school students that include passages from the Bible, marking the latest move by state leaders to incorporate conservative and religious values into public...

US Strikes Iran After Strait of Hormuz Attack as Ceasefire Tensions Escalate

The United States launched military strikes against Iran on Friday following an Iranian drone attack on a commercial cargo vessel in the Strait of Hormuz, further escalating tensions despite a ceasefire agreement reached...

NATO Strengthens Arctic Defense as Russia Expands Military Presence

As NATO ramps up efforts to reinforce its Arctic defenses, alliance members are investing in military capabilities to counter Russias growing presence in the strategically important High North. The initiative comes as...

Science

Blue Origin New Glenn Explosion Could Delay Launch Operations Until 2028

Blue Origin is facing a significant setback after a dramatic explosion involving its New Glenn rocket severely damaged a launch pad at Cape Canaveral, Florida. According to NASA Administrator Jared Isaacman, repairs to the...

Blue Origin New Glenn Rocket Explodes During Launch Pad Test, Delaying Space Ambitions

Blue Origin suffered a major setback after its uncrewed New Glenn rocket exploded during a launch pad test in Florida on Thursday, raising new challenges for Jeff Bezos space company as it competes with Elon Musks SpaceX...

SpaceX Delays Starship V3 Launch Ahead of Potential Record IPO

SpaceX on Thursday postponed the highly anticipated launch of its 12th Starship rocket test from Texas after technical issues interrupted the final countdown. The company now plans to attempt the Starship V3 launch again...

Trump Administration Releases New UFO Files and Apollo Mission Records

The U.S. Defense Department has released dozens of previously classified UFO-related files following an order from President Donald Trump, sparking renewed debate over unidentified anomalous phenomena (UAP) and government...

China vs. NASA: The New Moon Race and What's at Stake by 2030

The space race is back and this time, its a direct competition between the United States and China for dominance on the lunar surface. NASAs Artemis II mission recently made history when four astronauts flew farther into...

Technology

Italy Investigates Microsoft Over Microsoft 365 AI Subscription Price Hike

Italys antitrust authority has launched an investigation into Microsoft over allegations of unfair commercial practices tied to the pricing changes for its Microsoft 365 subscription service. The probe focuses on whether...

SpaceX, Charter Communications Explore Mobile Partnership to Expand Starlink Wireless Service

SpaceX and Charter Communications are reportedly in executive-level discussions about forming a strategic partnership that could accelerate the expansion of consumer mobile services across the United States. According to a...

OpenAI IPO Delay Weighs on SoftBank Shares as AI Valuation Concerns Grow

SoftBank Group (TYO:9984) shares tumbled sharply on Friday after a report suggested that OpenAI is considering postponing its highly anticipated initial public offering (IPO), delaying what many investors had expected to...

Apple Supplier Stocks Slide as Samsung, SK Hynix Lead Selloff After Apple Price Hikes

Apples major Asian suppliers came under heavy selling pressure on Friday after the iPhone maker announced significant price increases for its MacBook and iPad lineup, fueling concerns that rising semiconductor costs are...

Samsung, SK Hynix to Unveil Record AI and Semiconductor Investment Plans Worth Over $646 Billion

South Korean technology giants Samsung Electronics and SK Hynix are preparing to unveil sweeping long-term investment strategies centered on semiconductors, artificial intelligence (AI), and next-generation technologies,...
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